Freilyn Guzman — OGILVIE

Freilyn Guzman P DSL Athletics

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 160 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%19.3%

BB%14.3%

K-BB%5.0%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	5	24	119	23	19	1	45%	2.2	13.1%	20.0%	-6.8%	1.1%	7.23	5.14	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	5	24	119	23	19	1	45%	2.2	19.3%	16.0%	3.4%	0.8%	7.23	4.11	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	8	40	185	21	25	0	67%	3.3	7.7%	16.9%	-9.2%	0.0%	4.28	4.59	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	12	8	40	185	21	25	0	67%	3.3	7.7%	16.9%	-9.2%	0.0%	4.28	4.59	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	12	8	40	185	21	25	0	67%	3.3	11.4%	13.5%	-2.2%	0.0%	4.28	3.92	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	13	3	21	108	11	15	0	23%	1.6	6.9%	17.4%	-10.4%	0.0%	9.28	4.71	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	13	3	21	108	11	15	0	23%	1.6	6.9%	17.4%	-10.4%	0.0%	9.28	4.71	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	13	3	21	108	11	15	0	23%	1.6	10.2%	13.9%	-3.7%	0.0%	9.28	4.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	OAK	15	0	16	68	13	10	2	0%	1.1	19.3%	14.3%	5.0%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	85	18	11	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.00	4.88	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.00	4.88	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.00	4.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	101	20	0%	1.1	20.8%	12.4%	8.4%	2.9%	5.00	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		36	16	85	412	37	74	1	44%	2.4	9.1%	17.9%	-8.8%	0.3%	6.35	4.78	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	38	200	969	88	174	3	44%	2.4	9.1%	17.9%	-8.8%	0.3%	6.35	4.78	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Freilyn Guzman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	19.3%	14.3%	2.9%	—	4.88	20.8%	8.4%	20	-0.39	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	91
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	84
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	84
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	82
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	82
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	81
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	81
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	81
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	81
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	81
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	79
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	79
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	79
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	79
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	79
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	79
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	78