Amilcar Medina — OGILVIE

Amilcar Medina P ACL Athletics

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 161153vR 144

ERA6.72

FIP6.72

K%19.8%

BB%26.0%

K-BB%-6.2%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	13	1	17	95	13	30	0	8%	1.3	9.3%	39.5%	-30.2%	0.0%	7.27	7.31	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	13	1	17	95	13	30	0	8%	1.3	9.3%	39.5%	-30.2%	0.0%	7.27	7.31	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	13	1	17	95	13	30	0	8%	1.3	13.7%	31.6%	-17.9%	0.0%	7.27	6.79	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	14	0	9	61	12	14	1	0%	0.7	13.4%	28.7%	-15.3%	2.6%	13.50	7.06	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	14	0	9	61	12	14	1	0%	0.7	13.4%	28.7%	-15.3%	2.6%	13.50	7.06	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	14	0	9	61	12	14	1	0%	0.7	19.7%	23.0%	-3.3%	1.6%	13.50	6.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	23	0	16	89	26	24	1	0%	0.7	19.9%	33.7%	-13.8%	1.6%	9.37	6.56	—
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	23	0	16	89	26	24	1	0%	0.7	19.9%	33.7%	-13.8%	1.6%	9.37	6.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	OAK	23	0	16	89	26	24	1	0%	0.7	29.2%	27.0%	2.2%	1.1%	9.37	4.67	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	84	18	18	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	21.2%	-0.1%	2.9%	6.18	5.98	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	OAK	10	0	10	42	9	9	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	21.2%	-0.1%	2.9%	6.18	5.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	9	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	21.2%	-0.1%	2.9%	6.18	5.60	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	183	20	0%	1.1	21.1%	21.2%	-0.1%	2.9%	6.18	5.60	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		50	1	43	245	35	85	3	2%	0.9	14.2%	34.7%	-20.5%	1.2%	9.42	6.97	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		233	5	200	1140	161	395	14	2%	0.9	14.2%	34.7%	-20.5%	1.2%	9.42	6.97	-3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Amilcar Medina (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.72	19.8%	26.0%	3.0%	—	5.98	21.1%	-0.1%	20	-0.74	—	—	—
Jace Beck R 2022 · 6.24 FIP	22	SU	6.24	19.2%	23.6%	3.2%	.205	4.33	27.6%	8.3%	76	-1.91	4.03	211	85
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	85
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	84
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	84
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	84
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	82
Danny Dopico R 2016 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	18.3%	22.6%	2.1%	.309	3.19	23.9%	11.2%	189	-2.39	3.00	318	81
Alec Kenilvort R 2016 · 6.44 FIP	23	SU	6.44	15.1%	17.0%	4.5%	.333	3.97	18.3%	9.1%	85	-2.47	2.97	109	80
Walker Brockhouse R 2021 · 6.65 FIP	22	SU	6.65	20.2%	19.7%	5.0%	.265	4.69	19.3%	3.2%	111	-1.96	4.24	126	79
Alejandro Méndez R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	22	SU	5.85	20.6%	28.1%	1.7%	.211	5.17	15.0%	-6.0%	38	-0.67	4.65	136	79
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	79
Cole Ayers R 2022 · 5.58 FIP	22	SU	5.58	13.0%	15.4%	2.9%	.305	4.01	21.2%	10.1%	152	-1.57	3.58	171	78
Yoniel Ramirez R 2023 · 6.16 FIP	22	SU	6.16	17.4%	23.2%	2.9%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	144	78
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	78
Nick Starr R 2019 · 5.84 FIP	22	SU	5.84	16.6%	16.3%	3.8%	.450	5.56	21.5%	12.9%	64	-0.28	3.43	124	78
Dallas Woolfolk R 2018 · 7.66 FIP	21	SU	7.66	16.8%	24.7%	5.2%	.262	6.62	12.9%	-9.0%	34	-1.04	5.12	100	78
Salvador Justo R 2017 · 5.57 FIP	22	SU	5.57	12.8%	17.3%	2.5%	.328	5.22	15.7%	4.6%	107	-0.35	4.32	218	77
Leonardo Taveras R 2021 · 6.15 FIP	22	SU	6.15	21.7%	27.4%	2.6%	.279	4.35	24.1%	8.7%	127	-1.80	3.79	275	77
Mark Adamiak R 2023 · 6.87 FIP	22	SU	6.87	14.4%	20.8%	4.3%	.410	4.20	18.2%	8.2%	110	-2.67	3.83	122	77
Rael Santos R 2022 · 7.36 FIP	21	SU	7.36	17.1%	32.7%	2.8%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	122	77