Nick Starr
P
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 29
RHP
6'3" / 225 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.1%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 30.8% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 0.50 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 30.8% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 0.0% | 2.70 | 0.70 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 8 | 0 | 11 | 58 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 16.3% | 0.3% | 3.3% | 11.91 | 5.56 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 8 | 0 | 11 | 58 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 11.91 | 5.22 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 60 | 13 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.0% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 5.12 | 8.38 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 39 | 173 | 60 | 13 | 11 | 0% | 1.3 | 34.7% | 7.5% | 27.2% | 6.4% | 5.12 | 4.70 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 28 | 0 | 31 | 122 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 2.05 | 3.49 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 28 | 0 | 31 | 122 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 0.8% | 2.05 | 2.87 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 33 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 52 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.4% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 4.3% | 5.96 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 33 | 0 | 48 | 206 | 52 | 14 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.2% | 6.8% | 18.4% | 3.4% | 5.96 | 3.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 25 | 0 | 26 | 112 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 72 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 132 | 572 | 121 | 50 | 32 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 5.24 | 5.54 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 0 | 200 | 864 | 183 | 76 | 49 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 5.24 | 5.54 | -0.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Starr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.52 | 22.8% | 13.4% | 26 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 88 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 87 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 85 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 84 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 84 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 84 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2029 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 83 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 83 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 82 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.45 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .299 | 3.95 | 25.9% | 8.4% | 19 | -0.50 | 3.53 | 134 | 82 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 81 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 80 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.27 | 24.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .274 | 5.34 | 13.0% | -0.4% | 31 | +2.07 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 80 |
| Joakim Soria R 2028 · 3.58 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.58 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .258 | 2.93 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.65 | 2.01 | 380 | 80 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 80 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 80 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.02 | 21.7% | 7.6% | 3.3% | .272 | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 62 | -0.45 | 3.57 | 224 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 1.22 | 4.40 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |