Yoeilin Cespedes

SS Greenville Drive

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 181 lbs A+ HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #605MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP42ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ASalem Red Sox	477	.227/.295/.376	10	11	42	—	.179/.231/.302
2026	20	AABOS	108	.190/.241/.300	2	2	25	—	.175/.213/.272
2026	20	A+BOS	378	.249/.313/.477	18	2	65	—	.195/.238/.373
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBBOS	2	.213/.256/.370	0	0	69	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	22	MLBBOS	181	.219/.265/.384	6	2	75	-0.1
2029PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBBOS	275	.223/.271/.393	9	4	79	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$2M2033Arb-2$4M2034Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%51

K%37

Speed31

Whiff%29

ISO26

BB%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 81%

CompsBryan Ramos (age 21) · Johan Mieses (age 22) · Rodolfo Castro (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .256 / .370

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%5

BABIP268

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	209	191	66	15	4	6	14	24	2	1	2	346	396	560	956	215	368	11	7	414	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	105	91	29	10	1	5	12	19	1	3	1	319	404	615	1.019	297	353	18	11	436	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	477	428	97	24	5	10	41	101	1	11	6	227	295	376	671	150	269	21	9	297	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	100	19	5	0	2	7	29	0	2	0	190	241	300	541	110	246	27	6	244	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	378	342	85	22	1	18	29	94	3	2	5	249	313	477	789	228	286	25	8	343	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	209	196	40	8	2	3	9	30	2	1	2	204	246	311	558	107	225	14	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	105	95	22	7	1	4	8	27	1	3	1	232	298	453	751	221	261	26	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	477	441	79	19	4	9	29	141	1	11	6	179	231	302	533	122	231	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	108	103	18	4	0	2	5	35	0	2	0	175	213	272	485	97	240	32	5	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	378	354	69	16	1	15	17	123	3	2	5	195	238	373	611	178	240	33	4	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	209	196	40	8	2	3	9	30	2	1	2	204	246	311	558	107	224	14	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	209	191	66	15	4	6	14	24	2	1	2	346	396	560	956	215	368	11	7	414	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	105	95	22	7	1	4	8	27	1	3	1	232	298	453	751	221	277	26	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	105	91	29	10	1	5	12	19	1	3	1	319	404	615	1.019	297	353	18	11	436	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	477	441	79	19	4	9	29	141	1	11	6	179	231	302	533	122	236	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	477	428	97	24	5	10	41	101	1	11	6	227	295	376	671	150	269	21	9	297	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	486	456	87	21	1	17	23	159	3	4	5	191	234	353	588	162	246	33	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	486	442	104	27	1	20	36	123	3	4	5	235	297	437	733	201	277	25	7	321	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	209	196	40	8	2	3	9	30	2	1	2	204	246	311	558	107	225	14	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	105	95	22	7	1	4	8	27	1	3	1	232	298	453	751	221	261	26	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	477	444	79	19	4	9	29	141	1	11	6	178	231	300	531	122	231	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	486	457	87	21	1	17	23	159	3	4	5	190	234	352	587	162	240	33	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	105	95	22	7	1	4	8	27	1	3	1	232	298	453	751	221	261	26	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	477	444	79	19	4	9	29	141	1	11	6	178	231	300	531	122	231	30	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	486	457	87	21	1	17	23	159	3	4	5	190	234	352	587	162	240	33	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	596	558	114	26	2	18	30	169	3	6	4	207	250	361	611	155	258	28	5	269	69	-22	-0	-6	+6	+13	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	BOS	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	213	256	370	627	157	268	50	0	276	69	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	BOS	35%	525	489	103	23	2	17	28	144	3	6	4	212	259	375	633	162	260	27	5	279	75	-16	-0	-4	+6	+11	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	567	527	114	25	2	20	32	151	3	7	4	217	265	384	649	168	262	27	6	286	79	-14	-0	-3	+6	+12	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	612	568	124	27	2	22	36	161	3	8	4	220	270	390	661	171	264	26	6	291	83	-12	+0	-3	+7	+13	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	627	580	129	28	3	22	38	163	4	8	5	222	274	394	667	172	266	26	6	294	85	-11	-0	-3	+7	+14	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	634	586	130	28	3	22	39	163	4	8	5	223	276	394	670	171	267	26	6	295	86	-11	-0	-3	+7	+14	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	634	585	129	28	2	22	40	164	4	8	5	222	275	392	667	170	267	26	6	294	85	-11	-0	-3	+7	+14	0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	629	582	128	28	2	22	39	164	3	6	5	220	273	387	661	167	266	26	6	291	83	-13	-1	-3	+7	+14	0.4
2035	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	619	573	125	27	2	21	38	164	3	5	5	218	271	382	652	164	265	26	6	288	81	-14	-1	-4	+7	+13	0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	609	564	121	26	2	20	37	163	3	4	6	215	267	375	642	159	263	27	6	284	78	-16	-2	-5	+7	+13	-0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	595	551	117	25	2	19	36	161	3	4	6	211	263	365	628	154	260	27	6	278	74	-18	-2	-5	+6	+13	-0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	BOS	35%	181	168	37	9	1	6	10	50	1	2	1	219	265	384	648	165	270	28	6	285	75	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	275	257	57	14	1	9	15	73	1	4	2	223	271	393	664	170	273	27	5	292	79	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	323	299	67	16	1	11	19	85	2	4	2	226	276	399	676	173	275	26	6	297	83	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	343	317	72	17	1	12	21	89	2	4	2	228	280	403	682	174	276	26	6	300	85	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	353	326	75	18	1	12	22	91	2	4	3	229	282	403	685	174	278	26	6	302	86	-6	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	349	322	73	17	1	12	22	91	2	4	3	228	281	401	682	172	277	26	6	300	85	-6	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	344	318	72	17	1	12	21	90	2	3	3	227	280	396	676	170	276	26	6	298	83	-7	-1	-2	+4	+7	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	330	305	68	16	1	11	20	87	2	3	3	225	277	391	668	166	275	26	6	294	81	-7	-1	-2	+4	+7	0.0
2036	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	320	295	66	16	1	10	20	86	2	2	3	222	273	384	657	162	274	27	6	290	78	-8	-1	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	310	287	62	15	1	9	19	84	1	2	3	218	269	375	643	157	271	27	6	284	74	-10	-1	-3	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3128	2894	649	155	10	104	189	826	17	32	25	224	276	393	668	168	275	26	6	295	76	-69	-4	-18	+34	+68	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	135	32	2	22	39	172	4	7	5	225	276	394	671	170	275	26	6	295	76	-14	-1	-4	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7648	7092	1510	334	31	250	448	2046	42	86	65	213	264	375	638	162	260	27	6	281	76	-148	-7	-39	+68	+138	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	128	28	3	21	38	174	4	7	6	212	264	373	637	161	260	27	6	281	76	-15	-1	-4	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#4Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#5Tim Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,743 PA	2.6	1,743	63	13	248	301	431	+19	-13	6.1	6.1
/162	664	24	5	+7.1	-4.8	2.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.7	3,130	107	33	219	268	386	+34	-10	4.7	4.4
/162	664	23	7	+7.1	-2.1	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Tommy Corcoran'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,117 PA	4.7	3,117	7	102	235*	269*	379*	+32	-3	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	1	22	+6.7	-0.7	-0.1	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yoeilin Cespedes (OGILVIE)	21	25→34	43→49	40	30	205/248/358	153	258	10	3	28%	5%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	42	50	46→50	43	220/278/368	148	268	19	5	26%	6%	82	-0.0	212/275/345	133	268	16	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	196/266/318	122	249	15	10	27%	7%	63	-1.0
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	36→33	53→55	44→50	36	199/248/370	171	271	21	8	35%	5%	71	-0.8	186/238/339	153	256	20	4	35%	5%	60	-1.6	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	38→42	48→55	46→50	35	200/242/343	143	282	16	6	35%	5%	61	-1.5	216/272/376	160	285	20	8	31%	6%	81	-0.1	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Alex Jackson 2018 · AA	22	40→38	49→60	42→30	34	204/259/348	144	300	17	3	37%	5%	70	-0.8	193/257/364	171	286	22	3	40%	5%	74	-0.6	173/252/371	198	240	29	2	40%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Durán 2019 · A	21	41	53→50	45	37	223/259/392	169	283	23	4	30%	4%	80	-0.2	205/240/335	130	273	16	4	30%	4%	59	-1.7	229/272/378	149	281	17	3	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Orelvis Martinez 2023 · AA	21	33→36	57→60	44→40	40	196/265/388	192	249	27	6	34%	7%	82	+0.0	202/272/382	180	258	23	4	31%	7%	83	+0.1	188/264/363	174	237	22	2	31%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2013 · A	21	40→48	51→55	47→30	39	212/249/364	152	254	20	3	26%	4%	70	-0.9	210/247/341	131	266	14	3	26%	4%	63	-1.4	242/283/403	161	284	21	0	23%	4%	90	+0.4
✕Creed Willems 2024 · A	21	33→43	47→50	45→30	38	180/243/305	126	255	16	3	35%	6%	55	-2.0	206/269/346	140	260	17	3	27%	6%	74	-0.6	210/277/346	136	255	18	1	25%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Ronny Rodríguez 2013 · A	21	41→51	50→55	44→50	35	214/242/367	153	268	18	7	28%	3%	68	-1.0	227/254/344	117	285	11	8	24%	3%	65	-1.2	254/282/422	168	303	21	13	23%	3%	93	+0.7
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2024 · AAA	23	37→42	52→55	41→45	40	203/265/366	163	260	22	3	31%	6%	76	-0.4	209/265/378	169	271	22	3	31%	6%	80	-0.2	201/256/375	174	256	24	1	32%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	38→47	50	49→45	40	199/259/356	156	271	17	9	33%	6%	72	-0.7	217/277/354	137	301	14	7	31%	7%	78	-0.3	217/278/367	150	284	17	4	29%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Chad Spann 2006 · AA	22	41→38	45	40	38	205/258/331	126	287	13	4	33%	6%	65	-1.2	220/271/333	113	307	11	4	30%	6%	70	-0.8	215/267/316	101	300	10	2	30%	5%	61	-0.9
✕Russell Mitchell 2006 · A	21	43→47	48→55	43→45	41	221/267/359	138	272	16	4	25%	5%	75	-0.5	218/258/369	151	270	17	4	26%	4%	74	-0.6	227/267/365	138	264	15	4	20%	5%	75	-0.5
✕Diego Cartaya 2024 · AA	22	34→35	52→50	46→30	42	188/270/345	156	257	21	2	35%	8%	74	-0.5	180/255/292	112	293	13	4	40%	8%	56	-1.9	178/255/284	106	262	13	2	35%	8%	53	-1.4
●Trayce Thompson 2012 · A	21	36→46	49→60	45→50	37	190/249/339	149	284	17	6	38%	6%	64	-1.3	196/257/347	151	285	17	13	36%	7%	69	-0.9	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Anthony García 2014 · A	22	39→48	50→55	44→45	37	204/261/359	155	279	17	6	33%	5%	74	-0.6	210/280/350	140	262	15	6	25%	7%	78	-0.3	219/291/361	142	265	17	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Sebastian Valle 2011 · A	21	42→45	46→45	42→40	38	216/257/348	132	277	14	3	28%	4%	68	-1.0	214/242/326	112	298	12	2	31%	3%	57	-1.8	217/269/329	111	291	11	2	28%	6%	66	-0.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	50	46→40	41	202/264/358	156	275	19	7	33%	7%	74	-0.5	203/263/329	126	302	12	6	35%	6%	67	-1.1	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Kevin Parada 2024 · AA	22	40→43	46→45	42→45	37	200/260/327	127	293	14	3	35%	6%	65	-1.2	205/267/327	122	305	13	5	35%	7%	68	-1.0	203/268/318	115	299	12	5	34%	7%	64	-0.9

Yoeilin Cespedes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps