Ludwing Espinoza

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKCHC	173	.229/.318/.314	1	19	13	—	.150/.214/.206
2026	20	ACHC	73	.220/.361/.339	1	3	65	—	.194/.306/.306
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCHC	183	.191/.259/.269	1	4	50	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCHC	65	.199/.267/.291	1	2	56	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCHC	147	.204/.272/.304	2	4	61	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed86

Z-Con%78

K%54

wRC+52

BB%51

Chase%51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsOmar Hernandez (age 21) · Chris Roller (age 21) · Kyle Nevin (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .256 / .267

PA84

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	183	158	31	9	3	1	19	48	6	6	4	196	306	310	616	114	275	26	10	287	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	170	140	31	6	4	1	23	44	5	8	3	221	351	343	694	121	309	26	14	318	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	173	153	35	6	2	1	18	40	2	19	6	229	318	314	632	85	304	23	10	292	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	73	59	13	2	1	1	9	17	4	3	0	220	361	339	700	119	286	23	12	324	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	183	164	19	5	2	0	13	60	6	6	4	116	208	171	378	55	180	33	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	170	147	19	3	2	1	16	55	5	8	3	129	238	197	435	68	200	32	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	173	160	24	4	1	1	11	60	2	19	6	150	214	206	420	56	228	35	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	73	62	12	2	1	1	6	23	4	3	0	194	306	306	612	113	270	32	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	183	164	19	5	2	0	13	60	6	6	4	116	208	171	378	55	183	33	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	183	158	31	9	3	1	19	48	6	6	4	196	306	310	616	114	275	26	10	287	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	170	147	19	3	2	1	16	55	5	8	3	129	238	197	435	68	194	32	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	170	140	31	6	4	1	23	44	5	8	3	221	351	343	694	121	309	26	14	318	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	173	160	24	4	1	1	11	60	2	19	6	150	214	206	420	56	232	35	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	173	153	35	6	2	1	18	40	2	19	6	229	318	314	632	85	304	23	10	292	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	73	62	12	2	1	1	6	23	4	3	0	194	306	306	612	113	282	32	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	73	59	13	2	1	1	9	17	4	3	0	220	361	339	700	119	286	23	12	324	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	183	162	19	5	2	0	13	60	6	6	4	117	208	173	380	56	180	33	7	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	170	147	19	3	2	1	16	55	5	8	3	129	238	197	435	68	200	32	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	173	158	24	4	1	1	11	60	2	19	6	152	214	209	423	57	228	35	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	73	63	12	2	1	1	6	23	4	3	0	190	306	302	607	111	270	32	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	170	147	19	3	2	1	16	55	5	8	3	129	238	197	435	68	200	32	9	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	173	158	24	4	1	1	11	60	2	19	6	152	214	209	423	57	228	35	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	73	63	12	2	1	1	6	23	4	3	0	190	306	302	607	111	270	32	8	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	183	166	31	6	1	1	13	52	2	4	1	191	259	269	528	78	265	28	7	242	50	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	188	170	34	6	2	2	13	52	3	4	1	197	265	286	551	89	267	28	7	252	56	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	304	275	55	10	2	4	22	83	4	7	2	202	270	299	569	98	269	27	7	259	61	-14	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	386	350	72	13	3	6	28	104	5	9	2	206	274	310	584	105	271	27	7	265	65	-16	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	434	393	82	15	3	7	32	116	6	10	2	208	277	318	595	109	273	27	7	269	68	-16	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	463	420	88	16	3	8	34	123	6	11	3	210	279	323	603	113	273	27	7	272	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	475	431	89	16	3	8	35	126	6	11	3	209	279	321	599	112	273	27	7	271	70	-17	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	479	435	89	16	3	8	35	129	6	10	3	208	277	316	593	109	272	27	7	269	68	-18	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	65	59	12	2	1	1	5	18	1	2	0	199	267	291	558	92	271	28	8	254	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	147	134	27	5	1	2	10	40	2	4	1	204	272	304	576	100	273	27	7	262	61	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	204	184	39	7	2	3	15	55	3	5	1	208	276	314	590	106	275	27	7	267	65	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	238	216	45	8	2	4	17	64	3	6	1	210	279	322	601	111	276	27	7	271	68	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	258	234	49	9	2	4	19	68	3	6	1	212	281	327	608	115	277	26	7	275	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	261	237	49	9	2	4	19	69	3	6	1	211	280	324	605	113	277	26	7	273	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	262	238	49	9	2	4	19	70	3	6	1	210	278	320	598	110	276	27	7	271	68	-10	+1	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1435	1302	270	49	12	22	104	384	18	35	6	207	275	314	589	107	275	27	7	270	58	-56	+5	-0	+15	+31	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	122	22	5	10	47	174	8	16	3	207	274	312	586	105	274	27	7	270	58	-25	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3412	3084	599	109	26	47	251	955	54	100	29	194	267	292	559	98	263	28	7	255	58	-113	+6	-1	+30	+61	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	114	21	5	9	48	182	10	19	6	194	266	293	559	99	263	28	7	255	58	-26	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.3	1,518	24	35	207	273	313	+16	+15	0.2	0.3
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+6.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ludwing Espinoza (OGILVIE)	21	30	20	60	35	190/256/267	77	265	1	2	28%	7%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Omar Hernandez 2023 · A	21	37	36→30	52→55	36	180/223/245	65	267	3	12	33%	5%	31	-3.7	192/242/254	62	259	4	17	26%	6%	40	-3.0	208/245/263	55	275	4	21	25%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	40→44	35→45	55→65	41	190/234/243	53	254	2	18	26%	5%	34	-3.5	203/260/293	90	270	8	18	26%	6%	57	-1.8	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Alfredo González 2013 · A	21	39	35→40	51→45	39	186/228/249	63	238	2	10	22%	4%	34	-3.5	215/275/288	73	289	5	9	25%	7%	61	-1.5	232/294/283	51	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Jose Vinicio 2014 · A	21	40→32	36→40	51→55	33	194/224/259	65	280	3	19	32%	3%	34	-3.5	223/252/290	67	302	3	13	26%	3%	51	-2.2	254/278/317	63	323	1	12	21%	3%	64	-0.4
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Jesus Villegas 2008 · A	21	40	36→40	50	40	188/251/259	71	251	3	8	25%	5%	46	-2.6	224/279/291	67	292	4	7	23%	6%	63	-1.4	235/284/293	59	303	4	8	23%	5%	62	-0.5
✕Albertson Asigen 2023 · A	21	43	35→40	56→55	50	201/277/262	60	263	2	12	23%	9%	56	-1.9	215/296/295	80	325	5	20	32%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Sander Mora 2022 · A	21	37	37→30	52→55	46	179/260/252	72	259	5	12	31%	9%	48	-2.5	179/252/257	78	300	6	9	39%	8%	46	-2.6	133/219/193	60	224	6	11	40%	10%	18	-1.9
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	37	36→40	56→60	41	177/232/249	72	241	3	22	27%	6%	36	-3.4	196/239/267	71	288	3	14	31%	5%	42	-2.9	183/213/232	49	272	0	18	32%	3%	22	-0.9
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	41	36→40	54→45	48	191/268/264	73	243	2	13	21%	8%	54	-2.0	204/266/293	89	275	7	9	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/249/263	77	271	7	8	32%	7%	44	-1.1

Ludwing Espinoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps