Brando Mayea

OF Tampa Tarpons

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKNYY	84	.297/.369/.500	3	4	46	—	.195/.262/.299
2026	20	ANYY	316	.262/.342/.383	8	12	62	—	.221/.285/.310
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBNYY	426	.242/.300/.357	8	8	85	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBNYY	125	.245/.304/.372	3	3	89	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBNYY	212	.247/.307/.379	5	4	92	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV70

Speed57

K%47

Whiff%30

Z-Con%30

BB%29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsPablo Olivares (age 21) · Niko Decolati (age 21) · Hao-Yu Lee (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 311 proj PA

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .297 / .354

PA311

HR6

SB6

K%26

BB%6

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	170	145	40	7	1	3	22	27	3	22	7	276	382	400	782	124	322	16	13	357	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	154	135	38	2	2	0	16	43	3	19	3	281	370	326	696	44	413	28	10	324	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	84	74	22	4	1	3	6	19	3	4	3	297	369	500	869	203	365	23	7	382	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	316	282	74	10	0	8	28	81	6	12	3	262	342	383	725	121	342	26	9	329	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	170	153	28	4	1	1	14	34	3	22	7	183	265	242	507	59	225	20	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	154	141	27	1	1	0	10	64	3	19	3	191	260	213	473	21	346	42	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	84	77	15	3	1	1	4	27	3	4	3	195	262	299	561	104	278	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	316	290	64	8	0	6	20	110	6	12	3	221	285	310	595	90	328	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	170	153	28	4	1	1	14	34	3	22	7	183	265	242	507	59	229	20	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	170	145	40	7	1	3	22	27	3	22	7	276	382	400	782	124	322	16	13	357	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	154	141	27	1	1	0	10	64	3	19	3	191	260	213	473	21	351	42	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	154	135	38	2	2	0	16	43	3	19	3	281	370	326	696	44	413	28	10	324	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	84	77	15	3	1	1	4	27	3	4	3	195	262	299	561	104	286	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	84	74	22	4	1	3	6	19	3	4	3	297	369	500	869	203	365	23	7	382	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	316	290	64	8	0	6	20	110	6	12	3	221	285	310	595	90	333	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	316	282	74	10	0	8	28	81	6	12	3	262	342	383	725	121	342	26	9	329	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	170	151	28	4	1	1	14	34	3	22	7	185	265	245	510	60	225	20	8	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	154	140	27	1	1	0	10	64	3	19	3	193	260	214	474	21	346	42	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	84	77	15	3	1	1	4	27	3	4	3	195	262	299	561	104	278	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	316	287	64	8	0	6	20	110	6	12	3	223	285	314	598	91	328	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	154	140	27	1	1	0	10	64	3	19	3	193	260	214	474	21	346	42	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	84	77	15	3	1	1	4	27	3	4	3	195	262	299	561	104	278	32	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	316	287	64	8	0	6	20	110	6	12	3	223	285	314	598	91	328	35	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	426	390	94	17	2	8	27	112	6	8	2	242	300	357	657	115	316	26	6	294	85	-7	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	363	332	81	15	2	7	23	93	5	7	2	244	304	367	670	122	315	26	6	300	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	437	399	98	18	2	9	29	111	6	9	2	246	306	373	679	127	315	25	7	304	92	-4	+1	+0	-3	+9	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	486	444	109	20	2	11	33	122	6	10	3	247	309	378	686	130	314	25	7	306	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	512	466	116	21	3	12	35	127	6	10	3	248	310	381	690	133	313	25	7	308	95	-3	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	526	477	119	22	3	12	37	130	7	10	3	247	310	382	692	134	312	25	7	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	531	482	119	22	3	12	37	132	7	10	3	246	309	379	688	133	311	25	7	307	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.5
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	529	481	119	22	3	12	37	133	6	8	2	244	307	374	681	130	310	25	7	304	92	-5	+1	-1	-3	+11	0.3
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	521	474	114	21	2	11	36	132	6	6	2	242	304	368	672	126	309	25	7	301	90	-6	+0	-1	-3	+11	0.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	512	466	111	20	2	11	35	132	6	4	2	239	300	360	660	121	307	26	7	296	86	-8	+0	-2	-3	+11	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	125	114	29	5	1	3	8	32	2	3	1	245	304	372	676	126	315	26	6	302	89	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	212	193	48	9	1	5	14	54	3	4	1	247	307	379	686	131	315	25	7	306	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	256	234	57	10	1	6	17	64	3	5	1	249	310	384	693	135	314	25	7	309	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	280	255	63	11	1	7	19	70	4	6	1	249	311	386	697	138	313	25	7	311	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	293	266	65	12	1	7	21	73	4	6	2	249	311	388	699	139	312	25	7	311	95	-2	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	292	265	65	12	1	7	21	73	4	5	1	248	310	385	695	137	311	25	7	310	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	289	264	65	12	1	7	20	73	3	4	1	246	308	380	688	134	310	25	7	307	92	-3	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	278	254	61	11	1	6	19	71	3	3	1	243	305	373	678	130	309	26	7	303	90	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	269	245	58	10	1	6	19	69	3	2	1	240	301	365	666	125	307	26	7	298	86	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2294	2090	511	92	9	54	158	579	29	38	10	244	307	375	681	130	312	25	7	307	86	-22	+4	-2	-14	+50	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	145	26	3	15	45	164	8	11	3	245	307	375	682	130	312	25	7	307	86	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5452	4967	1190	210	27	111	369	1429	74	137	40	240	302	360	662	120	312	26	7	295	86	-48	+6	-4	-28	+102	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	141	25	3	13	44	170	9	16	5	238	301	356	657	118	311	26	7	295	86	-7	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#3Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,605	57	45	246	303	374	-16	+0	3.3	3.1
/162	664	15	11	-4.0	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brando Mayea (OGILVIE)	21	45	40	50	47	240/297/354	114	316	6	6	26%	6%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Olivares 2019 · A	21	50→44	41→40	48→50	42	240/300/332	92	315	8	11	26%	6%	81	-0.1	216/293/291	75	280	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.9	196/284/258	61	257	2	15	22%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Niko Decolati 2019 · A	21	48→46	46→45	51→55	44	236/296/365	129	308	13	13	27%	7%	87	+0.4	211/268/309	98	301	9	15	32%	5%	63	-1.3	205/288/284	80	300	7	22	31%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2024 · A	21	49→51	43→50	50→55	46	237/307/351	113	309	11	15	26%	8%	88	+0.4	250/313/394	144	313	14	16	23%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/409	156	313	15	15	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Deibinson Romero 2008 · A	21	47→45	44→50	48→40	44	231/289/351	120	292	12	8	25%	6%	81	-0.1	207/269/302	95	287	8	4	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/298/362	137	274	14	2	22%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Cirilo Cumberbatch 2008 · A	22	50→44	41→40	48→45	45	243/303/342	99	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.2	221/272/295	74	287	6	8	24%	5%	61	-1.5	206/252/250	44	271	3	7	24%	4%	42	-2.0
✕Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	49→55	41→50	47→45	44	236/288/342	106	300	8	9	24%	6%	78	-0.3	236/292/346	110	300	10	6	23%	7%	80	-0.1	240/319/380	139	292	16	4	22%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Ramon Alvarado 2006 · A	21	44	44→45	49→50	44	216/294/338	122	281	11	10	26%	7%	81	-0.1	204/268/307	103	274	10	9	28%	6%	63	-1.3	147/203/227	80	183	12	9	27%	4%	22	-0.8
✕Alex Call 2017 · A	22	48→47	41→50	48→50	44	231/288/334	102	295	8	12	24%	6%	76	-0.4	197/258/303	106	272	9	8	29%	6%	59	-1.7	235/338/356	121	285	11	12	20%	12%	102	+0.8
✕Brennen Davis 2021 · A	21	48→43	47→50	51→45	43	237/301/376	139	306	15	9	27%	7%	92	+0.7	206/288/340	134	299	15	8	34%	8%	80	-0.2	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	46→50	42→50	51→50	42	219/286/327	109	306	9	11	30%	7%	74	-0.5	211/283/339	128	327	14	12	37%	7%	77	-0.3	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	44→54	41→50	53→50	48	212/289/312	100	263	9	11	22%	8%	73	-0.6	206/260/326	120	247	14	9	22%	6%	65	-1.2	257/301/394	137	287	15	10	16%	5%	94	+0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2024 · A	21	51→54	40	50	50	241/318/332	91	306	7	13	22%	9%	88	+0.4	240/315/330	90	307	8	14	22%	8%	86	+0.3	238/317/323	85	303	7	15	22%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A	21	47→50	44→50	51→50	42	230/288/353	123	315	11	11	30%	7%	81	-0.1	238/298/379	141	324	14	11	29%	7%	91	+0.6	238/300/387	148	320	15	11	29%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Marcus Wilson 2018 · A	21	48→51	42→50	49→50	45	229/294/339	110	322	9	11	30%	8%	80	-0.2	208/270/332	124	322	13	12	37%	7%	70	-0.9	191/276/341	150	316	16	16	41%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	46→55	48→50	49→55	47	231/302/370	139	297	17	16	27%	8%	91	+0.6	241/295/373	132	307	14	19	25%	6%	88	+0.5	247/296/385	137	310	14	21	24%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Jack Marder 2012 · A	22	48	44→45	49→50	41	235/292/354	119	291	11	12	23%	4%	83	+0.1	240/299/357	117	292	10	13	21%	5%	86	+0.3	238/300/350	112	289	10	12	20%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	50→51	44→45	50→55	47	239/306/363	124	325	11	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	237/310/354	117	348	9	17	31%	10%	89	+0.5	237/311/358	121	351	9	21	32%	10%	87	+0.2
●Jahmai Jones 2018 · A	20	49→51	43→50	51→50	43	238/290/350	111	304	9	16	24%	6%	81	-0.1	214/275/316	102	282	8	13	26%	7%	68	-1.0	250/346/426	175	326	16	18	26%	11%	116	+1.4
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1

Brando Mayea

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps