Lluveres Severino
P
Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 21 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%21.2%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 3.80 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 12 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 4.50 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 12 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.9% | 3.4% | 11.5% | 1.1% | 4.50 | 2.90 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 17 | 0 | 22 | 113 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 8.4% | 15.5% | -7.1% | 4.4% | 8.72 | 6.75 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 17 | 0 | 22 | 113 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.4% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 8.72 | 5.55 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 45 | 198 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.4% | 10.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.57 | 4.61 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 45 | 198 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 17.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 4.57 | 3.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 25 | 0 | 38 | 177 | 39 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.3% | 16.7% | -0.4% | 1.5% | 4.26 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TOR | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 59 | 267 | 58 | 34 | 5 | — | — | 21.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 4.37 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 74 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 0 | 126 | 581 | 73 | 72 | 13 | 0% | 1.6 | 12.5% | 12.4% | 0.1% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 4.87 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 0 | 200 | 925 | 116 | 115 | 21 | 0% | 1.6 | 12.5% | 12.4% | 0.1% | 2.3% | 5.30 | 4.87 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Lluveres Severino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 22.1% | 12.9% | 22 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 94 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 90 |
| Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 90 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 90 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.12 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.55 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.43 | 3.41 | 214 | 90 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 90 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 89 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 89 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 88 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 88 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 88 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 88 |
| Jose Geraldo R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.95 | 18.9% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .337 | 4.41 | 19.0% | 9.9% | 49 | +0.46 | 3.13 | 140 | 88 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 88 |
| Reilly Hovis R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.03 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.41 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.38 | 4.03 | 130 | 87 |
| Devon Roedahl R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.92 | 16.5% | 9.2% | 100 | +0.98 | 3.94 | 122 | 87 |
| Scott Williams R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.49 | 20.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% | .256 | 2.90 | 18.5% | 11.2% | 42 | -1.59 | 2.90 | 119 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 87 |
| Collin Kober R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 3.04 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.35 | 2.40 | 294 | 87 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 87 |