Avery Ortiz

IF Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 22 R/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	21	AWSH	72	.246/.361/.459	3	2	62	—	.172/.264/.312
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBWSH	182	.200/.270/.323	4	3	67	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBWSH	60	.204/.274/.329	1	1	70	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%92

ISO85

BB%75

wRC+73

wOBA72

Z-Con%44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsTaylor Snyder (age 22) · Jacob Heyward (age 22) · Jake Gelof (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .268 / .321

PA84

HR2

K%34

BB%8

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	72	61	15	4	0	3	11	24	0	2	0	246	361	459	820	213	353	33	15	365	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	72	64	11	3	0	2	8	33	0	2	0	172	264	312	576	141	314	46	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	72	64	11	3	0	2	8	33	0	2	0	172	264	312	576	141	310	46	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	72	61	15	4	0	3	11	24	0	2	0	246	361	459	820	213	353	33	15	365	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	72	64	11	3	0	2	8	33	0	2	0	172	264	312	576	141	314	46	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	72	64	11	3	0	2	8	33	0	2	0	172	264	312	576	141	314	46	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	182	164	33	6	1	4	15	62	1	3	1	200	270	323	594	123	291	34	8	268	67	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	176	159	32	6	1	4	14	59	1	3	1	204	274	330	604	127	291	34	8	272	70	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	60	55	10	2	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	204	274	329	603	125	291	33	8	272	70	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	60	55	10	2	0	1	5	20	0	1	0	182	250	273	523	91	265	33	8	272	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	109	22	0	11	54	217	0	11	0	183	251	275	526	92	266	33	8	272	68	-23	+2	+0	+0	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	332	300	58	12	1	8	29	121	1	6	1	193	267	320	587	127	291	36	9	268	68	-9	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	113	23	2	16	57	237	2	12	2	193	266	320	587	128	289	36	9	268	68	-24	+1	+0	+0	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Avery Ortiz (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	199/268/321	122	291	2	1	34%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Taylor Snyder 2017 · A	22	41→33	45→50	48→50	38	202/262/327	125	304	12	9	36%	6%	65	-1.2	187/231/300	113	287	11	11	37%	4%	48	-2.5	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/266/309	113	300	11	8	37%	7%	63	-1.3	198/282/315	117	299	12	10	35%	9%	72	-0.7	182/278/312	130	266	15	9	35%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Jake Gelof 2024 · A	22	42→38	47→55	51→50	40	201/267/339	139	322	14	9	40%	8%	70	-0.8	190/268/339	149	263	17	12	32%	9%	72	-0.7	186/271/356	170	244	21	12	32%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	41→37	44→45	49→50	41	202/273/319	117	276	11	8	30%	6%	69	-0.9	208/282/339	131	278	13	10	29%	6%	77	-0.3	207/286/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Zach Levenson 2024 · A	22	44→39	48→45	48→45	40	220/273/361	140	306	16	8	33%	6%	78	-0.3	200/278/327	127	264	14	8	28%	9%	72	-0.7	188/274/314	126	243	15	7	28%	9%	65	-0.8
✕Joe DeCarlo 2016 · A	22	36→38	42→50	44→30	43	179/269/282	103	280	10	3	37%	9%	59	-1.6	195/277/332	137	277	16	3	34%	8%	74	-0.6	191/272/338	147	261	18	1	32%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	204/277/310	106	298	11	13	33%	8%	68	-1.0	202/279/357	155	294	19	17	36%	8%	80	-0.2	186/267/343	157	262	20	18	36%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Yusuf Carter 2007 · A	22	36→33	46→50	44→50	34	189/234/310	121	290	15	6	39%	5%	51	-2.2	202/240/339	137	303	16	11	38%	5%	59	-1.6	217/262/367	149	293	19	10	32%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	37→42	46→55	44→50	48	186/273/317	131	265	13	8	33%	10%	68	-1.0	200/284/350	150	294	15	9	35%	9%	80	-0.2	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Niko Hulsizer 2019 · A	22	43→30	47→60	51→50	42	207/297/346	139	317	15	12	36%	8%	84	+0.2	204/282/377	173	332	21	8	42%	8%	86	+0.3	194/269/385	191	316	25	12	44%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Nolasco 2024 · A	22	38→31	49→45	47→45	41	185/271/332	147	319	17	8	44%	10%	72	-0.7	180/256/301	121	349	13	9	48%	8%	59	-1.7	150/224/258	108	310	13	10	52%	8%	35	-2.1
✕Michael Durant 2009 · A	22	39→34	48→50	49→40	39	196/264/339	142	302	16	6	39%	7%	70	-0.9	187/259/310	123	327	13	4	43%	8%	61	-1.5	151/233/261	110	278	12	0	46%	9%	39	-2.2
✕Felix Stevens 2021 · A	22	41→36	40→50	48→45	41	194/265/291	97	300	7	8	35%	7%	59	-1.7	190/248/327	137	321	15	5	43%	6%	61	-1.5	183/258/337	154	293	20	5	42%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Bryson Ware 2024 · A	23	39→32	44→45	50	40	196/260/308	112	283	12	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	189/249/307	118	281	13	11	36%	6%	56	-1.9	182/242/307	125	267	15	11	36%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	37	43→50	45	42	189/257/303	113	261	11	4	31%	7%	59	-1.7	184/237/278	94	281	8	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	133/186/201	68	218	4	0	39%	6%	6	-1.0
✕Kala'i Rosario 2024 · A	22	41→40	46→50	46→50	40	195/270/326	131	320	14	4	41%	8%	69	-0.9	204/281/355	151	313	17	12	37%	9%	80	-0.2	200/279/360	160	295	20	16	37%	9%	77	-0.3