Jarrette Bonet

P Wilson Warbirds

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 230 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.4 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	20	MIX2 levels	26	18	118	4.72	4.21	21.0%	11.5%	—	K 15.7% · BB 13.8% · FIP 5.34
2027PROJ	21	MLBMIL	12	12	76	5.39	5.39	17.3%	13.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBMIL	8	8	55	5.17	5.05	19.3%	11.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBMIL	13	13	85	4.92	4.78	20.5%	10.5%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJacob Meador (age 23) · Kyle Davies (age 21) · Nolberto Henriquez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%17.3%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP76

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	118	504	106	58	13	69%	4.6	15.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.3%	4.72	5.34	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	18	118	504	106	58	13	69%	4.6	15.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.3%	4.72	5.34	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	18	118	504	106	58	13	69%	4.6	21.0%	11.5%	9.5%	2.6%	4.72	4.21	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	MIL	12	12	76	321	56	43	10	100%	6.3	17.3%	13.4%	4.0%	3.1%	5.39	5.39	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	17	17	112	472	91	55	14	100%	6.6	19.3%	11.6%	7.7%	3.0%	5.09	4.97	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	18	18	116	490	100	51	14	100%	6.4	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	3.0%	4.84	4.70	+0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	18	18	119	502	106	49	15	100%	6.6	21.2%	9.8%	11.4%	2.9%	4.65	4.54	+0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	18	18	120	508	110	48	15	100%	6.7	21.6%	9.4%	12.2%	2.9%	4.53	4.45	+0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	18	18	120	508	111	48	15	100%	6.7	21.8%	9.4%	12.4%	2.9%	4.47	4.43	+0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	18	18	119	501	109	47	15	100%	6.6	21.8%	9.4%	12.3%	3.0%	4.47	4.46	+0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIL	17	17	115	486	105	47	15	100%	6.8	21.6%	9.6%	12.1%	3.1%	4.52	4.55	+0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIL	17	17	110	464	99	46	15	100%	6.5	21.4%	9.8%	11.6%	3.2%	4.62	4.68	+0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIL	16	16	103	436	92	44	15	100%	6.5	21.1%	10.1%	10.9%	3.4%	4.76	4.86	+0.0
2037	31	MLB MLE	MIL	15	15	96	406	84	43	15	100%	6.4	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.6%	4.94	5.06	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	8	8	55	232	45	27	7	100%	6.9	19.3%	11.6%	7.7%	3.1%	5.17	5.05	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	13	13	85	359	73	38	11	100%	6.5	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	3.1%	4.92	4.78	+0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	15	15	98	414	88	41	13	100%	6.5	21.2%	9.8%	11.4%	3.1%	4.73	4.62	+0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	16	16	106	448	97	42	14	100%	6.6	21.6%	9.4%	12.2%	3.1%	4.61	4.53	+0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	17	17	110	464	101	43	14	100%	6.5	21.8%	9.4%	12.4%	3.1%	4.55	4.51	+0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	17	17	110	464	101	44	14	100%	6.5	21.8%	9.4%	12.3%	3.1%	4.55	4.54	+0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIL	16	16	108	456	99	44	15	100%	6.8	21.6%	9.6%	12.1%	3.2%	4.60	4.63	+0.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIL	16	16	104	439	94	43	15	100%	6.5	21.4%	9.8%	11.6%	3.4%	4.71	4.77	+0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIL	15	15	98	414	87	42	15	100%	6.5	21.1%	10.1%	10.9%	3.6%	4.85	4.95	+0.0
2037	31	MLB CTX	MIL	14	14	91	384	79	40	15	100%	6.5	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.8%	5.04	5.16	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		147	147	966	4077	865	404	133	100%	6.6	21.2%	9.9%	11.3%	3.3%	4.74	4.35	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	179	84	28	100%	6.6	21.2%	9.9%	11.3%	3.3%	4.74	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		26	18	118	504	79	69	17	69%	4.6	15.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.3%	4.72	5.34	+3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	30	200	852	134	117	28	69%	4.6	15.7%	13.8%	1.9%	3.3%	4.72	5.34	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jarrette Bonet (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	17.3%	13.4%	3.1%	—	4.73	20.3%	9.7%	347	-0.66	—	—	—
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	87
Kyle Davies R 2005 · 4.27 FIP	21	SP-	4.27	15.4%	10.9%	2.0%	.311	4.79	15.5%	5.6%	312	+0.52	3.58	921	87
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	87
Braden Webb R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	18.0%	12.5%	2.4%	.276	4.78	17.9%	1.8%	172	+0.30	4.48	308	86
Sal Biasi R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	16.0%	12.6%	2.5%	.230	5.59	18.5%	5.0%	109	+0.91	4.68	188	86
Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	14.9%	14.1%	2.2%	.275	4.88	17.2%	4.6%	128	+0.05	4.26	225	86
Chris McElvain R 2023 · 4.76 FIP	22	SP	4.76	15.8%	11.6%	2.8%	.275	5.24	15.8%	4.7%	198	+0.48	4.07	294	85
Chase Cohen R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	22	SP-	4.69	15.8%	13.0%	2.3%	.317	4.22	22.1%	9.2%	85	-0.47	3.52	263	85
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	85
Luis Vargas R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	21	SP-	4.65	16.8%	11.6%	2.7%	.295	4.21	23.5%	10.7%	171	-0.44	3.31	386	85
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.2%	6.4%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	84
David Palladino R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	22	SP-	4.93	14.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	4.93	122	84
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	84
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	83
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	83
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	83
Juan Mota R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	21	SP-	4.28	18.4%	14.8%	1.6%	.309	5.10	17.5%	5.8%	111	+0.82	3.89	279	83
Carlos Marmol R 2006 · 5.89 FIP	23	SP-	5.89	16.6%	16.0%	3.9%	.252	3.03	31.5%	18.0%	231	-2.86	1.59	608	83
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	83
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.83	17.8%	6.5%	200	+0.57	4.26	292	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	6.0	110	20.9%	10.2%	1.19	4.73
Pete Redfern ('76-'82, 3 WAR*)	3.6	119	21.7%*	9.8%*	1.16*	4.74*
George Brunet ('56-'71, 8 WAR*)	7.2	143	19.2%*	9.4%*	1.13*	4.66*
John Tsitouris ('57-'68, 1 WAR*)	3.3	110	19.5%*	9.7%*	1.30*	4.80*
Robert Person ('03)	4.5	128	19.8%	11.2%	1.29	4.64
Zack Godley ('21)	2.8	95	22.1%	9.6%	1.16	4.92
Felix Doubront ('15)	2.6	103	19.5%	9.7%	1.10	4.89