Colin Houck

3B Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ANYM471.206/.306/.3065826—.149/.227/.217
202520A+/ANYM480.228/.319/.384101450—.180/.247/.305
202621A+NYM400.212/.290/.3469817—.142/.196/.234
2027PROJMLE22MLBNYM1.144/.207/.2370027-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB23MLBNYM122.152/.217/.2582236-0.6
Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed53
ISO42
BB%23
wRC+21
Z-Con%20
wOBA17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsKingston Liniak (age 22) · Sthervin Matos (age 22) · Lizandro Espinoza (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†27
AVG/OBP/SLG.144 / .207 / .237
PA1
HR0
K%45
BB%6
BABIP250
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -18.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-18BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -1.00-1.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.0-0.62728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202318 ROKFCL Mets — 3629 7010 780 01 241389310699 69333 2219 331 36 — — — — — —
202419 ASt. Lucie Mets — 471408 841655 4917110 84 206306306613 100335 3610 282 26 — — — — — —
202520 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 212187 37722 19781 31 198275289564 91312 379 254 10 — — — — — —
202520 ASt. Lucie Mets — 268230 581458 33773 112 252353461814 209340 2912 358 81 — — — — — —
202621 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 400358 761729 351544 83 212290346636 134338 389 286 17 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202318 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 3632 5010 4120 01 156250219469 62261 3311 221 36 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 471424 631134 3323510 84 149227217444 68308 507 206 26 — — — — — —
202520 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 212195 28512 111011 31 144193210403 67261 485 183 10 — — — — — —
202520 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 268239 501247 24993 112 209289381670 172308 379 288 81 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 400372 531117 212024 83 142196234430 91273 505 193 17 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 3632 5010 4120 01 156250219469 62250 3311 221 36 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWFCL Mets — 3629 7010 780 01 241389310699 69333 2219 331 36 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 471424 631134 3323510 84 149227217444 68312 507 206 26 — — — — — —
202419 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 471408 841655 4917110 84 206306306613 100335 3610 282 26 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 480433 781759 362004 143 180249305554 125299 428 242 50 — — — — — —
202520 A RAW2 teams — 480417 9521710 521554 143 228319384703 156328 3211 312 50 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 400372 531117 212024 83 142196234430 91277 505 193 17 — — — — — —
202621 A+ RAWBrooklyn Cyclones — 400358 761729 351544 83 212290346636 134338 389 286 17 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEFCL Mets — 3632 5010 4120 01 156250219469 62261 3311 221 36 — — — — — —
202419 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 471425 631134 3323510 84 148227216443 68308 507 206 26 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 480437 781759 362004 143 178249302552 124287 428 242 50 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 400372 531117 212024 83 142196234430 91273 505 193 17 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 471425 631134 3323510 84 148227216443 68308 507 206 26 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 480437 781759 362004 143 178249302552 124287 428 242 50 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 400372 531117 212024 83 142196234430 91273 505 193 17 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLENYM 0% 510467 701438 332275 72 149211243455 95259 456 208 27 -44 +1 -0 +2 +11 -1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXNYM 0% 11 0000 000 00 144207237444 92250 00 204 27 -0 +0 -0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLENYM 35% 353324 511027 231533 52 157221265485 108263 437 221 36 -27 +0 +0 +1 +8 -1.8
202823 MLB CTXNYM 35% 122112 17312 8531 21 152217258474 105254 437 216 36 -9 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 122112 17312 8531 21 152215250465 98259 437 216 32 -9 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 9116511 432825 115 152216251467 99259 437 216 32 -50 +0 +0 +2 +14 -3.4
Career— MLE — 19501778 278551330 13089623 3814 156223253476 96285 467 215 32 -45 +0 +0 +2 +12 -3.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 9218410 432998 135 155222250472 94283 467 215 32 -52 +0 +0 +2 +14 -3.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 400 PAwOBA .281 → .193 (−89)K% 38.5% → 50.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.50%÷1.000×1.310——50.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.75%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0125.31%
HBP% /PA1.00%—×0.770—×1.0120.78%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷1.000×0.870×0.950×1.01219.68%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.780×0.950×1.0126.25%
Triples /BIP0.98%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×1.0120.80%
Home runs /BIP4.41%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0123.93%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .281 → .193; ISO .134 → .095; BABIP .338 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASt. Lucie Mets · 268 PAwOBA .352 → .288 (−63)K% 28.7% → 36.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.73%÷1.060×1.360——36.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.31%÷0.953×0.690—×1.0159.05%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.780—×1.0150.89%
Singles /BIP20.26%÷0.977×0.920×0.972×1.01518.83%
Doubles /BIP9.15%÷0.903×0.830×0.972×1.0158.29%
Triples /BIP3.27%÷1.150×0.910×0.972×1.0152.55%
Home runs /BIP5.23%÷0.855×0.800—×1.0154.97%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 95, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 112, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .352 → .288; ISO .209 → .175; BABIP .340 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 212 PAwOBA .254 → .183 (−71)K% 36.8% → 47.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.79%÷1.011×1.310——47.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.96%÷1.022×0.600—×1.0275.40%
HBP% /PA0.47%—×0.770—×1.0270.37%
Singles /BIP23.85%÷1.021×0.870×0.979×1.02720.44%
Doubles /BIP6.42%÷0.989×0.780×0.979×1.0275.09%
Triples /BIP1.83%÷1.051×0.850×0.979×1.0271.49%
Home runs /BIP1.83%÷1.073×0.880—×1.0271.55%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 110, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .254 → .183; ISO .091 → .067; BABIP .312 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASt. Lucie Mets · 471 PAwOBA .277 → .206 (−71)K% 36.3% → 49.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.31%÷0.990×1.360——49.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.19%÷1.030×0.690—×1.0307.03%
HBP% /PA2.12%—×0.780—×1.0301.71%
Singles /BIP24.47%÷0.957×0.920×0.963×1.03023.33%
Doubles /BIP6.75%÷0.954×0.830×0.963×1.0305.83%
Triples /BIP2.11%÷1.150×0.910×0.963×1.0301.66%
Home runs /BIP2.11%÷0.826×0.800—×1.0302.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 91, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .277 → .206; ISO .100 → .074; BABIP .335 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Mets · 36 PAwOBA .324 → .221 (−103)K% 22.2% → 33.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.949×1.440——33.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.44%÷1.004×0.620—×1.00812.10%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷1.046×0.820—×1.00822.56%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.953×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP4.76%÷0.979×0.720—×1.0083.53%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.040×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .324 → .221; ISO .069 → .047; BABIP .333 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).