Colin Houck — OGILVIE

Colin HouckSS Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION297 act + 198 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†10

AVG/OBP/SLG.138 / .204 / .227

PA198

HR3

K%49

BB%7

BABIP268

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	36	32	5	0	1	0	4	13	0	0	1	156	250	219	469	62	263	36	11	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	36	29	7	0	1	0	7	8	0	0	1	241	389	310	699	69	333	22	19	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	471	423	62	12	2	5	34	248	10	8	4	147	227	220	447	73	328	53	7	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	471	408	84	16	5	5	49	171	10	8	4	206	306	306	613	100	335	36	10	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	480	430	81	20	4	10	39	200	4	14	3	188	262	323	585	135	313	42	8	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	480	417	95	21	7	10	52	155	4	14	3	228	319	384	703	156	328	32	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	NYM	—	297	276	37	8	0	5	16	161	2	5	2	134	187	217	404	83	283	54	5	178	-6	-35	+0	+0	+3	+8	-2.4
YTD	21	A+	NYM	—	297	268	54	13	0	7	24	120	2	5	2	201	272	328	600	127	326	40	8	270	65	-12	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.0
ROS	21	A+	NYM	0%	198	181	25	5	1	3	13	97	2	3	1	138	204	227	431	88	261	49	7	199	10	-20	+0	-0	+2	+6	-1.3
ROS	21	MLB	NYM	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						261	0	0	192	5	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	NYM	—	298	277	37	8	0	5	16	161	2	5	2	134	186	217	403	83	281	54	5	178	-6	-36	+0	-0	+3	+8	-2.4
TOT	21	A+	NYM	—	495	457	62	13	1	8	29	258	4	8	3	136	194	221	415	85	277	52	6	186	1	-56	+0	-0	+5	+14	-3.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYM	35%	546	498	77	16	2	12	38	250	5	7	2	155	222	267	489	112	266	46	7	221	27	-45	+1	-1	+6	+15	-2.5
2028	23	MLB	NYM	49%	590	538	88	18	2	15	42	257	5	8	3	164	231	288	519	125	270	44	7	236	39	-41	+0	-1	+6	+17	-1.9
2027	22	MLB	NYM	35%	189	172	27	6	1	4	13	87	2	2	1	157	225	273	498	116	266	46	7	214	22	-17	+0	-0	+2	+5	-1.0
2028	23	MLB	NYM	49%	286	260	43	9	1	7	21	125	3	4	1	165	236	288	524	123	270	44	7	229	34	-21	+0	-1	+3	+8	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	476	433	70	15	2	11	34	212	5	6	2	162	231	282	513	120	278	45	7	223	29	-38	+0	-1	+5	+13	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	95	20	3	15	46	289	7	8	3	161	230	281	511	120	276	44	7	223	29	-52	+0	-1	+7	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	2321	2102	338	71	12	45	170	1065	26	40	14	161	232	270	503	109	290	46	7	228	33	-176	+2	-3	+25	+66	-8.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	95	20	3	13	48	298	7	11	4	161	233	272	505	110	290	46	7	228	33	-49	+1	-1	+7	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	36	29	7	0	1	0	7	8	0	0	1	241	389	310	699	69	333	22	19	331	112	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	471	408	84	16	5	5	49	171	10	8	4	206	306	306	613	100	335	36	10	282	74	-14	+0	—	—	+13	-0.0
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	212	187	37	7	2	2	19	78	1	3	1	198	275	289	564	91	312	37	9	254	53	-11	+0	—	—	+6	-0.5
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	268	230	58	14	5	8	33	77	3	11	2	252	353	461	814	209	340	29	12	358	132	+10	+1	—	—	+8	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	477	12	6	160	225	281	+5	+0	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	16	8	160	225	281	+7.1	+0.0	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Houck (OGILVIE)	21	20→30	30→50	55	50	136/194/221	85	277	8	8	52%	6%	1	-3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	35	44→45	51→50	38	182/236/292	110	262	13	7	35%	6%	41	-2.3	191/241/289	98	269	11	11	32%	6%	42	-2.3	180/229/266	86	246	11	15	31%	5%	29	-1.4
✕Tanner Murphy 2016 · A	21	32	40	47→50	39	166/226/253	87	248	8	3	35%	7%	27	-3.3	175/242/247	72	244	6	3	29%	7%	33	-2.9	158/233/209	52	216	5	2	28%	8%	18	-1.5
✕Gabriel Rosa 2014 · A	21	35	40	51→50	38	177/237/265	88	260	9	12	34%	6%	35	-2.8	188/252/281	93	273	8	12	32%	6%	45	-2.1	143/210/234	90	200	9	18	32%	6%	14	-1.2
✕Angel Aguilar 2016 · A	21	37	40→45	51→50	34	187/228/281	94	273	7	11	34%	4%	34	-2.8	189/224/293	104	267	10	9	32%	4%	36	-2.7	184/215/289	105	253	10	9	31%	3%	27	-2.0
✕Luke Bailey 2012 · A	21	34	41→45	48→45	32	167/229/267	100	292	9	6	44%	6%	32	-3.0	173/222/268	95	283	9	4	40%	4%	29	-3.2	150/196/234	84	241	8	1	40%	3%	7	-1.3
✕Edwin Díaz 2017 · A	21	32→31	38→50	45→40	33	161/214/232	72	265	6	4	40%	5%	16	-4.1	172/230/275	103	271	11	3	38%	6%	34	-2.8	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	40	-2.4	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	51	-1.7	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	23	-1.3
✕Kingston Liniak 2022 · A	22	32→26	43→45	52→50	37	171/231/278	108	255	11	13	36%	6%	35	-2.8	191/261/298	107	281	10	10	33%	8%	53	-1.5	150/252/236	86	212	7	3	30%	12%	32	-0.6
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Yeurys Tejeda 2009 · A	21	37	38→40	51→50	36	182/239/256	74	283	6	11	36%	5%	33	-2.9	201/249/290	89	282	7	7	30%	5%	45	-2.1	175/208/266	92	228	10	4	28%	3%	20	-0.8
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→34	40→50	51→50	37	182/232/268	86	265	8	14	34%	5%	33	-2.9	189/238/276	87	283	8	10	34%	6%	37	-2.6	139/173/208	69	201	7	2	34%	4%	-12	-1.5
✕Luis Chaves 2016 · A	21	33	38→45	53→45	33	163/213/248	85	275	5	7	41%	5%	19	-3.9	174/220/243	69	287	3	6	38%	5%	20	-3.8	110/140/147	38	187	0	0	40%	3%	-41	-2.0
✕Juan Carlos Negret 2019 · A	20	36→26	43→45	48→50	36	184/249/295	111	273	11	12	35%	5%	48	-1.9	165/236/279	114	275	13	6	42%	6%	39	-2.5	127/201/251	124	190	17	2	43%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Domnit Bolivar 2011 · A	22	35	41→45	48→45	32	176/214/268	92	278	8	8	39%	4%	25	-3.5	197/246/296	99	288	9	9	33%	5%	46	-2.0	198/250/295	97	279	10	9	31%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Edgardo Fermin 2019 · A	21	36→29	40	46→45	37	180/224/274	94	253	7	7	31%	5%	30	-3.1	191/241/287	96	308	7	10	38%	5%	41	-2.3	177/239/265	88	313	7	11	43%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Kenny Diekroeger 2013 · A	22	36	44→40	52→45	36	185/233/294	109	278	13	7	38%	6%	40	-2.4	190/229/263	73	280	7	7	33%	4%	30	-3.1	195/233/257	63	273	6	8	30%	4%	26	-1.9
✕Israel Pineda 2021 · A	21	35→41	40→45	44→40	35	177/225/257	80	272	8	4	37%	5%	27	-3.3	195/240/330	135	278	17	3	35%	5%	53	-1.5	182/228/317	135	252	18	1	35%	5%	41	-1.1
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/247/265	87	298	5	7	39%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/272	96	319	7	8	43%	9%	45	-2.1	141/235/232	91	260	8	8	44%	10%	24	-1.3