Blake Mitchell

C Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 202 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #105MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP51ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%4%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+KC	216	.207/.374/.296	2	9	50	—	.159/.285/.231
2025	20	INTLSurprise Sagu…	83	.230/.434/.311	1	2	131	—
2026	21	A+KC	511	.234/.419/.459	23	27	91	—	.179/.324/.341
2027PROJ4% MLB	22	MLBKC	14	.176/.305/.309	0	0	82	0.0
2028PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBKC	261	.184/.310/.332	8	6	90	0.8
2029PROJ66% MLB	24	MLBKC	342	.191/.314/.346	11	7	94	1.3

Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$5M2032Arb-2$9M2033Arb-3$11M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%97

Chase%90

wOBA84

wRC+83

ISO82

Speed51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 14, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 84%

CompsZack Collins (age 23) · Isan Díaz (age 22) · Daniel Vellojin (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .305 / .309

PA14

HR0

K%36

BB%14

BABIP279

ISO142

MLB%4%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$42M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT37

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED34

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$9M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$10M	+$10M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+1.7	$10M	+$7M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+1.7	$9M	+$4M
2033	Arb-3	$11M	+1.6	$8M	+$2M
Totals		$28M		$50M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	52	34	5	1	0	0	17	14	0	1	0	147	431	176	608	29	238	27	33	322	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	111	200	111	311		182	35	5	162	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	466	378	90	16	3	18	79	142	6	25	7	238	378	439	817	201	326	30	17	366	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	216	169	35	7	1	2	45	71	0	9	4	207	374	296	670	89	340	33	21	318	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	39	28	8	2	0	1	8	10	3	3	1	286	487	464	951	179	412	26	21	435	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	83	61	14	2	0	1	20	22	2	2	0	230	434	311	745	82	342	27	24	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	511	381	89	17	0	23	113	174	9	27	6	234	419	459	879	226	346	34	22	390	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	52	40	4	1	0	0	11	20	0	1	0	100	294	125	419	25	188	38	21	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	1	9	1	1	0	111	200	111	311		176	45	5	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	466	404	67	12	2	13	53	200	6	25	7	166	272	302	574	136	278	43	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	216	182	29	5	1	2	32	90	0	9	4	159	285	231	516	71	288	42	15	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	39	31	6	1	0	1	5	15	3	3	1	194	359	323	682	129	315	38	13	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	511	414	74	13	0	18	80	221	9	27	6	179	324	341	665	162	296	43	16	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	52	40	4	1	0	0	11	20	0	1	0	100	294	125	419	25	190	38	21	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	52	34	5	1	0	0	17	14	0	1	0	147	431	176	608	29	238	27	33	322	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	486	422	69	12	2	13	54	209	7	26	7	164	269	294	563	130	276	43	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	486	396	92	16	3	18	80	149	7	26	7	232	371	424	795	192	319	31	16	357	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	338	282	46	9	1	3	49	138	5	14	5	163	298	234	532	71	303	41	14	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	338	258	57	11	1	4	73	103	5	14	5	221	402	318	720	97	349	30	22	343	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	511	414	74	13	0	18	80	221	9	27	6	179	324	341	665	162	308	43	16	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	511	381	89	17	0	23	113	174	9	27	6	234	419	459	879	226	346	34	22	390	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	52	41	4	1	0	0	11	20	0	1	0	98	294	122	416	24	188	38	21	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	486	422	69	12	2	13	54	209	7	26	7	164	269	294	563	130	274	43	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	338	281	46	9	1	3	49	138	5	14	5	164	298	235	532	71	292	41	14	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	511	417	74	13	0	18	80	221	9	27	6	177	324	338	662	161	296	43	16	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	486	422	69	12	2	13	54	209	7	26	7	164	269	294	563	130	274	43	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	338	281	46	9	1	3	49	138	5	14	5	164	298	235	532	71	292	41	14	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	511	417	74	13	0	18	80	221	9	27	6	177	324	338	662	161	296	43	16	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	4%	603	505	90	16	1	17	86	233	7	16	4	179	307	320	628	141	282	39	14	290	82	-13	+2	+1	+11	+13	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	4%	14	12	1	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	176	305	309	614	133	279	36	14	285	82	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	50%	520	436	82	15	1	17	73	194	6	12	3	188	313	344	657	156	284	37	14	301	90	-6	+1	+1	+9	+11	1.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	66%	520	436	85	15	1	18	73	189	6	11	3	194	317	359	676	165	286	36	14	307	94	-4	+1	+2	+9	+11	2.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	73%	520	438	87	15	1	19	71	185	6	10	3	199	319	369	688	170	287	36	14	312	97	-2	+1	+2	+9	+11	2.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	76%	520	439	89	16	1	19	70	182	6	9	2	202	320	374	694	172	287	35	13	314	98	-1	+1	+2	+9	+11	2.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	76%	520	440	90	16	1	19	69	179	6	8	2	203	319	373	692	170	286	34	13	313	98	-1	+1	+2	+9	+11	2.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	76%	520	440	88	16	1	18	69	180	6	6	2	201	317	368	685	167	285	35	13	310	96	-3	+0	+1	+9	+11	2.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	74%	520	441	87	15	1	18	69	182	5	4	2	198	314	361	675	163	283	35	13	306	93	-4	+0	+1	+9	+11	1.7
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	73%	520	442	87	15	1	18	68	183	5	3	2	195	310	353	663	158	280	35	13	301	90	-6	-0	-0	+9	+11	1.4
2036	31	MLB MLE	KC	73%	504	428	82	14	1	16	66	180	5	3	1	191	305	342	648	152	276	36	13	296	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	KC	72%	489	419	77	13	1	15	63	177	4	3	1	186	299	329	629	144	271	36	13	288	81	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2038	33	MLB MLE	KC	72%	473	405	73	12	1	14	61	174	4	3	1	179	292	314	606	135	265	37	13	279	75	-14	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.2
2039	34	MLB MLE	KC	68%	431	371	63	10	0	12	54	161	3	2	1	171	283	296	579	124	258	37	13	268	68	-17	+0	-3	+8	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	50%	261	219	41	7	1	8	37	98	3	6	2	184	310	332	642	147	281	38	14	295	90	-3	+0	+1	+5	+6	0.8
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	66%	342	287	55	10	1	11	48	124	4	7	2	191	314	346	660	156	283	36	14	302	94	-2	+1	+1	+6	+7	1.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	73%	379	320	62	11	1	13	52	135	4	7	2	195	316	355	671	161	283	36	14	305	97	-1	+1	+1	+7	+8	1.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	76%	397	336	66	12	1	13	54	139	4	7	2	198	316	360	677	163	284	35	14	307	98	-1	+1	+2	+7	+9	1.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	76%	396	336	66	12	1	13	53	136	4	6	2	199	315	360	675	161	283	34	13	306	98	-1	+0	+2	+7	+9	1.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	76%	396	336	66	12	1	13	53	137	4	5	1	197	313	355	668	158	282	35	13	304	96	-2	+1	+1	+7	+9	1.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	74%	386	328	63	11	1	12	51	135	4	3	1	195	311	348	659	154	280	35	13	300	93	-3	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	73%	381	324	62	11	1	12	50	134	4	2	1	191	307	340	647	149	277	35	13	296	90	-4	+0	-0	+7	+8	1.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	KC	73%	366	311	58	10	1	11	48	131	4	2	1	187	302	330	632	143	273	36	13	290	86	-6	+0	-1	+7	+8	0.8
2037	32	MLB CTX	KC	72%	354	302	55	10	0	10	46	128	3	2	1	182	296	318	614	136	269	36	13	283	81	-8	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.5
2038	33	MLB CTX	KC	72%	341	291	51	9	0	9	44	125	3	2	1	176	289	303	592	127	263	37	13	274	75	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2039	34	MLB CTX	KC	68%	291	250	42	7	0	7	37	109	2	1	1	168	280	285	566	117	255	37	13	263	68	-11	-0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4290	3640	687	122	9	132	573	1531	43	50	17	189	306	336	642	147	278	36	13	295	85	-54	+3	+2	+77	+93	12.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	552	103	18	1	20	87	232	7	8	3	187	305	332	637	145	274	36	13	295	85	-8	+0	+0	+12	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	7764	6560	1232	216	15	246	1046	2878	87	150	43	188	307	338	645	150	283	37	13	294	85	-84	+6	+4	+114	+138	18.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	549	103	18	1	21	88	241	7	13	4	188	307	339	646	151	282	37	14	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+12	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Charles Johnson'94-'05 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,385 PA	6.6	4,385	167	6	235*	316*	421*	+78	+0	21.1	19.6
/162	664	25	1	+11.8	+0.0	3.2	pk7: 18
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Wes Westrum'47-'57 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,849 PA	4.3	2,849	96	10	209*	342*	380*	+51	+0	14.2	14.3
/162	664	22	2	+11.8	+0.1	3.3	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.5	4,305	145	52	194	307	352	+77	+13	14.1	12.7
/162	664	22	8	+11.9	+1.9	2.2	pk7: 11
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Blake Mitchell (OGILVIE)	22	32→37	48→57	41→34	56	178/305/317	140	282	9	8	39%	14%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	48→50	41→40	47	185/278/325	140	290	16	2	39%	11%	72	-0.7	204/302/356	152	310	17	3	36%	12%	88	+0.4	199/306/353	154	293	17	2	34%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	40→43	47→55	45	43	202/273/336	134	296	14	8	35%	8%	72	-0.7	214/284/363	149	300	16	8	32%	8%	82	+0.0	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	40	45	42→45	52	200/295/324	124	280	13	6	32%	12%	78	-0.3	181/261/276	95	256	9	6	31%	9%	54	-2.0	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
●Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	42→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/276/367	156	300	17	5	34%	6%	81	-0.1	212/267/380	168	296	20	5	34%	6%	80	-0.1	247/319/462	214	314	30	2	30%	9%	119	+1.2
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	44→43	52→50	44→45	49	222/309/386	165	300	20	6	31%	10%	97	+1.1	215/293/359	144	302	17	6	32%	10%	85	+0.2	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	38→42	48→65	42→40	37	197/249/342	145	289	16	3	37%	6%	64	-1.3	193/251/352	159	293	18	4	39%	6%	68	-1.0	220/279/438	218	287	32	2	35%	7%	98	+0.8
●Derek Norris 2011 · A	22	43→53	50→55	44→50	53	214/320/371	157	294	18	6	32%	12%	98	+1.2	213/305/381	168	277	20	11	29%	11%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Jason Martin 2018 · AA	22	43→52	49→60	47→50	41	221/271/374	153	296	16	13	31%	6%	80	-0.2	235/282/374	139	306	13	12	26%	6%	83	+0.1	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Nathan Hickey 2023 · A	23	43→40	54→50	43→40	51	219/317/402	183	298	22	3	32%	12%	104	+1.6	202/283/351	149	288	17	4	34%	10%	80	-0.2	186/266/323	137	264	16	3	34%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Dylan Johnston 2009 · A	22	42	46→55	42→50	34	205/258/335	130	332	15	9	41%	6%	66	-1.1	197/251/310	113	357	12	8	45%	6%	57	-1.8	130/191/201	72	269	9	6	52%	7%	9	-1.7
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	43→45	48→55	44→40	40	219/279/357	139	300	16	5	32%	6%	79	-0.2	222/269/363	141	295	16	3	30%	5%	76	-0.4	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
✕Owen Caissie 2024 · AA	22	52→56	49→55	41→45	44	237/314/387	150	370	16	8	37%	9%	99	+1.3	237/311/396	159	356	17	9	35%	9%	100	+1.3	231/308/398	166	340	19	8	35%	9%	97	+0.8
●Jack Suwinski 2022 · AA	24	42→43	51→60	45→50	46	210/291/368	158	305	19	9	36%	10%	86	+0.3	213/300/408	195	286	26	11	33%	10%	99	+1.3	203/291/399	196	263	27	11	33%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Christin Stewart 2017 · AA	23	40→48	52→55	46→45	48	209/301/378	169	282	20	5	32%	10%	93	+0.8	223/297/391	168	287	20	3	28%	8%	94	+0.9	227/301/404	177	282	22	1	27%	8%	98	+1.0
✕Jared Greenwood 2007 · A	24	39	50→55	43→45	42	206/271/353	147	290	19	7	35%	8%	75	-0.5	204/266/329	125	321	14	6	38%	7%	68	-1.0	169/232/282	113	281	12	0	42%	7%	41	-1.0
●Ryan Lavarnway 2010 · A	22	44→46	53→55	43→30	41	226/285/402	176	308	20	3	32%	7%	92	+0.7	236/302/401	165	298	20	2	27%	8%	98	+1.2	235/303/390	155	288	20	1	25%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Colson Montgomery 2024 · AA	22	49→48	45→55	41→45	50	235/328/366	131	311	12	3	26%	10%	100	+1.3	202/284/363	161	279	20	5	33%	8%	83	+0.1	189/270/365	176	256	24	4	35%	8%	78	-0.3
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→46	56→60	38→45	48	221/315/416	195	294	24	3	32%	10%	107	+1.8	229/303/389	160	305	18	7	29%	8%	96	+1.0	227/297/375	148	293	16	7	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA	22	45→48	49→50	43→45	53	225/318/378	152	281	17	5	25%	11%	99	+1.2	223/313/373	150	295	15	5	28%	10%	96	+1.0	210/302/356	146	295	15	3	32%	10%	86	+0.2
●Heriberto Hernández 2022 · A	22	44→48	48→60	45→50	42	212/294/358	146	333	16	7	38%	9%	85	+0.2	206/284/363	157	311	19	6	37%	9%	83	+0.1	222/305/421	199	281	26	11	30%	10%	104	+1.3

Blake Mitchell

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps