Leodarlyn Colon

P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKWSH	14	10	44	3.65	4.32	17.3%	11.9%	—	K 11.8% · BB 14.9% · FIP 5.55
2025	20	ROKWSH	14	0	16	4.60	3.74	24.7%	15.1%	—	K 16.8% · BB 18.8% · FIP 4.86
2026	21	MIX2 levels	19	3	24	3.80	3.52	20.8%	12.9%	—	K 12.8% · BB 14.6% · FIP 3.87
2027PROJ	22	MLBWSH	11	0	12	5.27	5.27	18.5%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBWSH	10	0	11	5.01	4.90	20.1%	12.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJunior Rincon (age 23) · Michael Perez (age 21) · Fabian Anguamea (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

K%18.5%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%4.4%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	8	1	16	71	19	6	1	12%	2.0	18.2%	10.6%	7.6%	2.1%	2.76	4.06	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	8	1	16	71	19	6	1	12%	2.0	26.8%	8.5%	18.3%	1.4%	2.76	2.67	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	10	1	9	55	6	11	2	10%	0.9	7.4%	25.0%	-17.6%	5.1%	11.57	8.43	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	10	1	9	55	6	11	2	10%	0.9	10.9%	20.0%	-9.1%	3.6%	11.57	8.14	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	10	44	202	35	24	4	71%	3.2	11.8%	14.9%	-3.1%	2.8%	3.65	5.55	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	10	44	202	35	24	4	71%	3.2	11.8%	14.9%	-3.1%	2.8%	3.65	5.55	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	14	10	44	202	35	24	4	71%	3.2	17.3%	11.9%	5.4%	2.0%	3.65	4.32	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	0	16	73	18	11	1	0%	1.1	16.8%	18.8%	-2.1%	1.4%	4.60	4.86	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	14	0	16	73	18	11	1	0%	1.1	16.8%	18.8%	-2.1%	1.4%	4.60	4.86	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	14	0	16	73	18	11	1	0%	1.1	24.7%	15.1%	9.6%	1.4%	4.60	3.74	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	3	24	101	21	13	1	16%	1.2	12.8%	14.6%	-1.8%	0.0%	3.80	3.87	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	3	24	101	21	13	1	16%	1.2	12.8%	14.6%	-1.8%	0.0%	3.80	3.87	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	3	24	101	21	13	1	16%	1.2	20.8%	12.9%	7.9%	1.0%	3.80	3.52	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	WSH	11	0	12	51	9	7	1	0%	1.1	18.5%	14.1%	4.4%	2.9%	5.27	5.27	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	WSH	21	0	22	93	19	12	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	2.8%	5.01	4.90	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	11	46	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	2.8%	5.01	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	9	6	1	0%	1.1	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	2.8%	5.01	4.52	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	110	18	0%	1.0	20.1%	12.4%	7.7%	2.8%	5.01	4.52	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		65	15	109	502	66	80	11	23%	1.7	13.1%	15.9%	-2.7%	2.2%	4.36	5.22	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	27	200	918	121	146	20	23%	1.7	13.1%	15.9%	-2.7%	2.2%	4.36	5.22	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Leodarlyn Colon (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.27	18.5%	14.1%	2.9%	—	4.90	20.1%	7.7%	22	-0.37	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	89
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	84
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	84
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	83
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	83
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	83
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	83
Calvin Coker R 2018 · 4.14 FIP	22	SU	4.14	18.6%	13.4%	1.7%	.373	4.26	15.8%	10.5%	37	+0.12	3.94	219	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	83
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	82
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	82
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	81
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	81
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	81
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	81
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	476	81
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	81