Cristian Monegro prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Cristian Monegro P DSL Arizona Black

Age 21 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 5 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133124vR 116

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%22.7%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%6.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	16	0	10	74	10	25	0	0%	0.6	9.2%	42.2%	-33.0%	0.0%	23.28	7.67	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	16	0	10	74	10	25	0	0%	0.6	9.2%	42.2%	-33.0%	0.0%	23.28	7.67	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	16	0	10	74	10	25	0	0%	0.6	13.5%	33.8%	-20.3%	0.0%	23.28	8.79	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	5	0	6	33	10	11	0	0%	1.2	30.3%	33.3%	-3.0%	0.0%	10.50	4.76	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	5	0	6	33	10	11	0	0%	1.2	30.3%	33.3%	-3.0%	0.0%	10.50	4.76	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	5	0	6	33	10	11	0	0%	1.2	30.3%	33.3%	-3.0%	0.0%	10.50	5.27	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.7%	16.0%	6.7%	3.0%	5.23	5.23	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	20	12	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	13.7%	10.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.82	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	13.7%	10.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	13.7%	10.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	122	20	0%	1.1	23.7%	13.7%	10.0%	2.9%	4.95	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		21	0	16	107	17	42	0	0%	0.7	15.7%	39.5%	-23.8%	0.0%	18.38	6.78	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		268	0	200	1366	214	539	0	0%	0.7	15.7%	39.5%	-23.8%	0.0%	18.38	6.78	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristian Monegro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	22.7%	16.0%	3.0%	—	4.82	23.7%	10.0%	20	-0.41	—	—	—
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	87
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	86
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	85
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	85
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	85
Ty Tice R 2017 · 4.29 FIP	21	SU	4.29	22.2%	12.9%	2.6%	.271	3.53	19.4%	8.3%	108	-0.76	3.24	288	83
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	83
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	83
Tim Naughton R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	21	SU	4.53	17.9%	15.6%	1.8%	.312	3.58	20.7%	6.4%	83	-0.95	2.93	305	83
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	83
Erbert Gonzalez R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	20	SU	5.52	23.8%	15.2%	4.5%	.295	4.56	20.9%	4.0%	60	-0.96	3.76	106	82
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	82
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	82
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	82
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	82
Gabriel Ponce R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	24.4%	16.2%	2.8%	.328	4.53	22.5%	7.8%	110	-0.09	4.45	161	82
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	82
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	82