Jogly García

P Lake County Captains

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 202 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #739

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	19	14	73	5.52	3.09	26.6%	7.4%	—	K 18.7% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.56
2025	21	MIX2 levels	11	8	39	2.77	1.51	38.7%	10.4%	—	K 31.7% · BB 13.1% · FIP 2.08
2026	22	A+CLE	32	4	74	5.99	5.65	21.8%	17.6%	—	K 16.8% · BB 20.3% · FIP 6.68
2027PROJ	23	MLBCLE	59	0	62	5.93	5.93	19.1%	18.1%	-0.9
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCLE	28	0	29	5.60	5.49	20.4%	15.7%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCLE	44	0	46	5.34	5.22	21.0%	14.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command40FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRadhames Liz (age 23) · Zach Linginfelter (age 24) · Wills Montgomerie (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%19.1%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CMD3040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	9	9	33	160	28	24	0	100%	3.7	11.9%	18.8%	-6.9%	0.0%	3.51	4.47	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	9	9	33	160	28	24	0	100%	3.7	17.5%	15.0%	2.5%	0.0%	3.51	3.58	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	9	33	157	36	30	1	82%	3.0	15.6%	23.9%	-8.3%	0.7%	5.45	5.17	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	11	9	33	157	36	30	1	82%	3.0	22.9%	19.1%	3.8%	0.6%	5.45	4.04	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	73	338	90	25	8	74%	3.9	18.7%	9.0%	9.7%	3.5%	5.52	4.56	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	14	73	338	90	25	8	74%	3.9	18.7%	9.0%	9.7%	3.5%	5.52	4.56	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	14	73	338	90	25	8	74%	3.9	26.6%	7.4%	19.2%	2.4%	5.52	3.09	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	8	39	163	63	17	1	73%	3.5	31.7%	13.1%	18.6%	0.0%	2.77	2.08	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	8	39	163	63	17	1	73%	3.5	31.7%	13.1%	18.6%	0.0%	2.77	2.08	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	8	39	163	63	17	1	73%	3.5	38.7%	10.4%	28.2%	0.6%	2.77	1.51	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	32	4	74	340	74	60	12	12%	2.3	16.8%	20.3%	-3.5%	4.4%	5.99	6.68	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	32	4	74	340	74	60	12	12%	2.3	16.8%	20.3%	-3.5%	4.4%	5.99	6.68	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	32	4	74	340	74	60	12	12%	2.3	21.8%	17.6%	4.1%	3.5%	5.99	5.65	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CLE	59	0	62	262	50	47	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	18.1%	1.1%	3.2%	5.93	5.93	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	65	0	68	287	58	45	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	15.7%	4.7%	3.2%	5.60	5.49	-0.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	290	61	41	9	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.1%	6.9%	3.2%	5.34	5.22	-0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	290	62	40	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.8%	7.5%	3.1%	5.21	5.16	-0.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	65	0	68	286	61	40	9	0%	1.0	21.4%	13.8%	7.6%	3.2%	5.18	5.17	-0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	63	0	66	278	59	39	9	0%	1.0	21.3%	14.0%	7.3%	3.3%	5.23	5.26	-0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	60	0	63	265	56	38	9	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.2%	6.8%	3.4%	5.32	5.39	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	28	0	29	122	25	19	4	0%	1.0	20.4%	15.7%	4.7%	3.2%	5.60	5.49	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	44	0	46	194	41	27	6	0%	1.0	21.0%	14.1%	6.9%	3.2%	5.34	5.22	-0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	52	0	55	232	50	32	7	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.8%	7.5%	3.1%	5.21	5.16	-0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55	0	58	245	52	34	8	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.8%	7.6%	3.2%	5.18	5.17	-0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	56	0	59	249	53	35	8	0%	1.1	21.3%	14.0%	7.3%	3.3%	5.23	5.26	-0.5
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	54	0	57	241	51	34	8	0%	1.1	21.0%	14.2%	6.8%	3.4%	5.32	5.39	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		289	0	303	1279	270	181	41	0%	1.0	21.1%	14.1%	7.0%	3.2%	5.29	4.88	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	119	27	0%	1.1	21.1%	14.1%	7.0%	3.2%	5.29	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		82	44	252	1158	215	188	28	54%	3.1	18.6%	16.2%	2.3%	2.4%	4.96	4.90	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	35	200	918	171	149	22	54%	3.1	18.6%	16.2%	2.3%	2.4%	4.96	4.90	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jogly García (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	19.1%	18.1%	3.2%	—	5.29	20.9%	6.4%	206	-0.64	—	—	—
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	86
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	85
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	84
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.48	352	83
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	83
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	80
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	80
Adrian Chaidez R 2022 · 5.75 FIP	23	SP-	5.75	20.1%	15.0%	4.5%	.281	4.96	19.4%	3.1%	45	-0.79	4.96	144	79
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	78
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	77
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	77
Miguel Medrano R 2021 · 5.49 FIP	23	SP-	5.49	17.7%	15.5%	3.5%	.299	6.10	18.1%	-0.5%	50	+0.61	2.73	232	77
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	77
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	76
Luke Anderson R 2022 · 6.08 FIP	23	SW	6.08	17.7%	14.7%	4.8%	.363	5.79	15.4%	-11.1%	34	-0.29	5.12	130	75
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	75
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	75
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	75
Danny Cody R 2021 · 6.32 FIP	24	SW	6.32	20.5%	15.0%	5.6%	.369	6.32	11.4%	-6.9%	37	+0.00	6.32	106	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	66	20.8%	14.8%	1.25	5.40
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*