Luke Anderson — OGILVIE

Luke Anderson P Stockton Ports

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 9 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.89

FIP4.89

K%22.9%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP9

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	2	0	3	10	3	0	0	0%	1.5	30.0%	0.0%	30.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.57	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	2	0	3	10	3	0	0	0%	1.5	30.0%	0.0%	30.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2022	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	27	13	96	464	111	58	17	48%	3.6	17.7%	14.8%	3.0%	4.8%	5.81	6.08	—
2022	23	A RAW	Stockton Ports	27	13	96	464	111	58	17	48%	3.6	23.9%	12.5%	11.4%	3.7%	5.81	4.90	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	12	0	18	97	16	21	2	0%	1.5	12.7%	24.9%	-12.2%	2.1%	7.36	6.35	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	12	0	18	97	16	21	2	0%	1.5	16.5%	21.6%	-5.2%	2.1%	7.36	6.21	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	16	87	21	21	0	0%	0.9	18.7%	28.4%	-9.7%	0.0%	5.51	5.12	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	0	16	87	21	21	0	0%	0.9	18.7%	28.4%	-9.7%	0.0%	5.51	5.12	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	0	16	87	21	21	0	0%	0.9	24.1%	24.1%	0.0%	0.0%	5.51	4.39	—
2025	26	A MLE	Stockton Ports	5	0	3	16	3	5	0	0%	0.5	18.8%	31.2%	-12.5%	0.0%	16.88	5.47	—
2025	26	A MLE	Stockton Ports	5	0	3	16	3	5	0	0%	0.5	18.8%	31.2%	-12.5%	0.0%	16.88	5.47	—
2025	26	A RAW	Stockton Ports	5	0	3	16	3	5	0	0%	0.5	18.8%	31.2%	-12.5%	0.0%	16.88	6.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	OAK	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.9%	13.5%	9.4%	3.0%	4.89	4.89	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	OAK	19	0	20	84	19	11	3	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.3%	9.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.96	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	OAK	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	13.3%	9.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.96	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.7%	13.3%	9.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	100	33	0%	1.1	22.7%	13.3%	9.4%	3.1%	4.91	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		65	13	136	674	117	122	24	20%	2.1	17.3%	18.1%	-0.8%	3.6%	6.07	5.90	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	19	200	989	171	179	35	20%	2.1	17.3%	18.1%	-0.8%	3.6%	6.07	5.90	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luke Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	22.9%	13.5%	3.0%	—	4.96	22.7%	9.4%	20	+0.07	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	74
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	74
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	73
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	73
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	73
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	73
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	73
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	72
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	72
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	72
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	72
Jeff Ames R 2019 · 4.45 FIP	28	SU	4.45	25.6%	16.8%	2.5%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	272	72
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	72
Josh Lueke R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	28	SU	4.09	25.3%	11.1%	3.1%	.333	3.28	24.6%	20.9%	90	-0.81	2.29	191	72
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	71
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	71
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	71
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	71