Ethan Hedges — OGILVIE

Ethan Hedges3B Spokane Indians

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION338 act + 225 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .260 / .309

PA225

HR4

K%34

BB%6

BABIP296

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	89	81	11	2	0	0	6	24	2	2	0	136	213	160	374	25	193	27	7	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	89	77	15	3	0	0	10	17	2	2	0	195	303	234	537	39	250	19	11	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	COL	—	338	313	61	11	0	7	18	126	6	2	2	195	252	297	549	102	298	37	5	240	42	-22	-0	+0	+1	+10	-1.2
YTD	22	A+	COL	—	338	303	82	16	0	10	28	90	6	2	2	271	344	422	767	152	353	27	8	343	121	+8	-0	+0	+1	+10	1.9
ROS	22	A+	COL	0%	225	207	42	8	1	4	13	76	3	3	1	203	260	309	568	106	292	34	6	256	54	-12	+0	+1	+1	+6	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						314	0	0	263	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	COL	—	339	314	61	11	0	7	18	126	6	2	2	194	251	296	548	102	297	37	5	240	42	-22	-0	+0	+1	+10	-1.2
TOT	22	A+	COL	—	563	520	103	19	1	11	31	202	9	5	3	198	255	302	557	104	297	36	6	246	47	-34	-0	+1	+2	+16	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	COL	35%	581	534	111	21	2	12	35	188	7	8	3	208	266	322	588	114	291	32	6	265	61	-26	+0	+2	+2	+16	-0.5
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	609	558	119	22	2	14	38	192	8	10	4	213	273	335	608	122	292	32	6	272	66	-23	+0	+2	+2	+17	-0.1
2027	23	MLB	COL	35%	201	184	42	8	1	5	12	65	3	3	1	228	286	364	651	136	313	32	6	275	69	-7	+0	+1	+1	+6	0.0
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	282	258	58	11	1	7	18	89	4	5	2	225	286	357	642	132	315	32	6	283	75	-8	+0	+1	+1	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	484	443	100	19	2	12	30	154	7	8	3	226	285	359	644	133	315	32	6	279	72	-15	+0	+2	+2	+14	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	135	26	3	16	40	207	9	11	4	227	286	361	647	134	317	32	6	279	72	-21	+1	+3	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	1504	1380	283	53	5	30	92	480	20	23	8	205	265	316	581	111	288	32	6	261	58	-71	+1	+6	+5	+43	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	122	23	2	13	40	207	9	10	3	205	265	315	581	111	288	32	6	261	58	-31	+1	+2	+2	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	89	77	15	3	0	0	10	17	2	2	0	195	303	234	537	39	250	19	11	260	57	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	483	11	7	211	267	330	+2	+2	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	15	10	211	267	330	+2.4	+3.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Hedges (OGILVIE)	22	30→48	40→43	50	45	198/255/302	104	297	11	5	36%	6%	47	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	41→51	42→45	48→50	38	205/253/308	104	278	10	9	30%	5%	52	-1.6	235/290/335	100	323	11	12	29%	6%	75	-0.0	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	39	204/256/303	99	288	9	8	31%	6%	52	-1.6	199/262/282	83	293	7	9	32%	7%	50	-1.8	183/253/253	70	269	6	8	32%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Marcus Wilson 2019 · A	22	44→49	43→50	49→50	41	213/271/324	111	307	10	12	33%	7%	64	-0.8	203/271/337	134	330	15	13	40%	8%	68	-0.5	187/269/341	154	316	17	16	43%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Bubba Starling 2015 · A	22	41→46	43→45	54→50	38	202/259/310	108	297	10	13	34%	6%	56	-1.3	199/243/323	124	288	13	10	34%	5%	52	-1.6	216/254/336	119	279	14	10	27%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Eduardo Diaz 2019 · A	22	42→44	41→50	53→50	35	207/249/308	101	292	8	12	31%	4%	50	-1.7	210/254/333	123	287	13	11	30%	4%	59	-1.1	201/245/332	131	273	14	13	31%	4%	52	-1.2
✕Gerson Montilla 2012 · AA	22	39→46	43→45	48→45	38	199/244/310	111	261	10	8	28%	4%	49	-1.8	219/257/339	120	264	13	6	22%	5%	62	-0.9	214/260/326	113	259	14	4	23%	5%	59	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Orlando Calixte 2014 · AA	22	43→51	43→45	45→55	37	212/251/327	115	295	10	10	32%	5%	56	-1.3	214/251/315	101	291	9	15	29%	5%	52	-1.6	233/273/324	91	306	9	20	26%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A	22	42	43→50	48→50	43	202/279/307	104	304	10	13	35%	8%	64	-0.8	200/283/348	148	300	18	17	37%	9%	76	+0.1	182/269/332	150	267	19	18	37%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Ethan Murray 2022 · A	22	42→50	42→40	50	46	208/277/311	103	279	10	8	28%	8%	63	-0.8	190/262/286	96	291	7	12	34%	8%	51	-1.7	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	42→43	40→50	49→50	41	207/257/300	93	280	7	14	28%	6%	51	-1.7	210/266/344	134	281	15	13	30%	6%	67	-0.5	192/249/359	166	239	24	9	31%	7%	62	-0.4
✕Jiandido Tromp 2016 · A	22	36→45	44→55	49→45	33	184/225/298	114	272	11	8	36%	4%	37	-2.6	214/256/361	147	284	15	9	30%	5%	67	-0.5	215/259/359	144	281	15	8	29%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Miguel Abreu 2007 · A	22	41→51	43→45	56→55	40	205/252/319	114	271	10	12	28%	6%	54	-1.4	235/254/340	105	269	9	15	16%	2%	59	-1.1	244/260/341	97	275	8	18	15%	1%	58	-1.0
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	39→47	44→50	49→40	43	197/259/310	113	258	12	5	28%	7%	56	-1.3	217/272/328	111	278	9	4	24%	6%	66	-0.6	216/278/345	129	272	14	2	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	40→50	41→40	48→50	38	199/248/293	95	285	10	12	33%	6%	46	-2.0	225/287/317	92	321	7	13	30%	7%	68	-0.5	235/301/325	90	331	5	15	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Kevin Smith 2018 · A	22	39→43	44→55	53→50	34	197/234/315	118	286	11	8	35%	4%	45	-2.1	204/248/358	154	288	19	13	35%	5%	63	-0.8	197/249/369	171	265	21	17	34%	5%	65	-0.6
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jeff Bianchi 2009 · A	22	43→53	42→45	50	36	213/246/323	110	285	8	12	28%	4%	53	-1.5	233/270/333	100	311	8	15	26%	4%	65	-0.7	239/275/321	82	293	8	11	21%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	45	39→40	52→60	40	212/268/302	90	310	6	12	32%	7%	56	-1.3	184/266/257	73	309	5	22	38%	9%	46	-2.0	142/239/196	53	243	5	33	39%	9%	17	-1.1