Ethan Hedges — OGILVIE

Ethan Hedges3B Spokane Indians

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION513 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP296

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 48 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT48

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	89	77	15	3	0	0	10	17	2	2	0	195	303	234	537	39	250	19	11	260	62	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	6	24	2	2	0	148	225	173	398	25	203	27	7	185	11	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	6	24	2	2	0	148	225	173	398	25	211	27	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	89	77	15	3	0	0	10	17	2	2	0	195	303	234	537	39	250	19	11	260	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	6	24	2	2	0	148	225	173	398	25	203	27	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	89	81	12	2	0	0	6	24	2	2	0	148	225	173	398	25	203	27	7	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	COL	—	513	478	88	17	0	12	25	192	8	3	3	184	237	295	532	111	275	37	5	232	43	-35	-1	+0	+2	+11	-2.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	COL	—	513	463	119	26	0	16	40	137	8	3	3	257	327	417	744	160	330	27	8	332	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	COL	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		281	40	10	249	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	COL	—	523	487	89	17	0	12	26	196	8	3	3	183	236	292	528	109	274	37	5	232	43	-35	-1	+0	+2	+11	-2.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	35%	339	313	63	12	1	8	19	113	4	4	2	201	256	323	579	121	283	33	6	260	62	-15	+0	+1	+1	+7	-0.6
2027	23	MLB CTX	COL	35%	117	108	23	5	0	3	7	39	1	1	1	213	267	343	610	130	298	33	6	266	62	-5	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	117	108	23	5	0	3	7	39	1	1	1	213	267	343	610	130	299	33	6	266	51	-5	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	128	28	0	17	39	217	6	6	6	213	269	345	614	132	298	33	6	266	51	-30	-1	+3	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	438	403	76	14	1	8	26	141	6	6	2	189	248	288	536	99	266	32	6	244	51	-16	+0	+1	+1	+8	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	113	21	1	12	39	209	9	9	3	189	249	288	537	99	266	32	6	244	51	-30	+0	+3	+2	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Hedges (OGILVIE)	22	30→48	40→43	50	45	192/245/303	111	281	4	2	35%	5%	54	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jiandido Tromp 2016 · A	22	36→46	42→50	49→45	33	183/223/290	107	271	10	8	36%	4%	42	-2.9	213/254/353	140	283	14	9	29%	5%	68	-1.0	214/259/354	140	279	14	8	28%	5%	68	-0.8
✕Marcus Wilson 2019 · A	22	43→50	43→50	49→50	41	210/269/319	109	307	10	12	33%	7%	66	-1.1	204/271/334	130	328	14	13	39%	8%	71	-0.8	183/267/329	146	306	16	16	42%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Bubba Starling 2015 · A	22	39→47	42→45	54→50	37	193/252/297	103	291	10	13	36%	6%	55	-1.9	194/240/305	111	286	11	10	34%	5%	52	-2.2	217/256/332	115	281	13	10	27%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2022 · A	22	42→52	41→45	48→50	38	208/254/308	100	283	9	9	29%	5%	57	-1.8	235/289/328	93	322	9	12	28%	6%	76	-0.4	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Ethan Murray 2022 · A	22	43→49	42→40	50	46	208/277/311	103	279	9	8	28%	8%	68	-1.0	194/264/285	91	288	7	12	32%	8%	57	-1.8	197/274/280	84	283	6	13	30%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	34→43	46→45	50→55	39	183/243/312	128	244	14	13	31%	6%	55	-1.9	192/254/310	118	276	11	18	33%	7%	59	-1.7	197/258/324	127	284	12	14	34%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Luis Silverio 2017 · A	22	41→46	46→45	49→45	34	205/249/339	134	299	14	9	36%	4%	63	-1.3	206/243/311	105	303	7	7	33%	4%	54	-2.0	200/235/305	104	295	6	7	33%	4%	46	-1.7
✕Todd Glaesmann 2013 · A	22	41→44	45→50	51→50	33	205/249/325	120	305	12	8	36%	4%	60	-1.6	210/247/330	120	283	11	7	29%	4%	60	-1.6	207/238/349	142	264	15	7	28%	3%	59	-0.9
✕Orlando Calixte 2014 · AA	22	44→49	42→45	45→55	38	215/255/325	109	296	9	10	30%	5%	61	-1.5	216/253/316	100	289	9	15	28%	5%	59	-1.7	224/266/309	86	296	9	20	27%	5%	60	-0.7
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→50	55	35	194/253/305	111	300	12	14	38%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/323	122	287	13	19	34%	5%	61	-1.5	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Stephen Wrenn 2017 · A	22	41→43	43→45	53→60	35	202/240/314	112	294	10	13	34%	4%	53	-2.1	205/257/299	94	294	7	20	31%	6%	57	-1.8	198/258/302	104	291	8	31	33%	6%	56	-1.4
✕Miguel Abreu 2007 · A	22	41→51	43→45	56→55	40	205/252/319	114	271	10	12	28%	6%	59	-1.6	235/254/340	105	269	9	15	16%	2%	64	-1.3	244/260/341	96	275	8	18	14%	1%	63	-1.1
✕Kevin Smith 2018 · A	22	39→45	44→55	53→50	34	197/234/315	118	286	11	8	35%	4%	51	-2.2	206/249/353	147	289	17	13	34%	5%	67	-1.1	202/253/359	157	273	20	15	33%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Eduardo Diaz 2019 · A	22	43→45	41→50	53→50	35	209/250/310	101	293	8	12	31%	4%	57	-1.8	212/257/333	121	287	12	11	30%	4%	65	-1.2	208/252/338	130	279	14	13	30%	4%	62	-1.1
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	39→49	41→40	48→50	39	196/247/289	93	281	9	12	33%	6%	51	-2.3	222/283/313	91	316	7	13	30%	7%	70	-0.9	231/296/319	89	325	6	15	29%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Emilio Guerrero 2015 · A	22	44→42	41→45	47→45	38	214/260/308	93	296	8	8	30%	5%	59	-1.6	216/256/325	109	297	9	6	29%	5%	62	-1.4	218/255/332	114	290	9	5	28%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→43	43→45	45	38	188/239/301	113	261	9	5	31%	5%	51	-2.3	207/258/327	120	276	13	6	29%	6%	64	-1.3	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1