Marco Patino — OGILVIE

Marco Patino P FCL Braves

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.57

FIP5.57

K%19.4%

BB%16.6%

K-BB%2.9%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	13	0	25	112	22	9	2	0%	1.9	13.4%	10.0%	3.3%	2.8%	2.84	4.80	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	13	0	25	112	22	9	2	0%	1.9	19.6%	8.0%	11.6%	1.8%	2.84	3.46	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	14	0	25	103	22	6	3	0%	1.8	14.5%	7.3%	7.2%	4.6%	4.32	5.30	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	14	0	25	103	22	6	3	0%	1.8	21.4%	5.8%	15.5%	2.9%	4.32	3.62	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	14	2	28	131	20	23	1	14%	2.0	10.4%	21.9%	-11.6%	0.8%	6.18	5.47	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	14	2	28	131	20	23	1	14%	2.0	10.4%	21.9%	-11.6%	0.8%	6.18	5.47	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	14	2	28	131	20	23	1	14%	2.0	15.3%	17.6%	-2.3%	0.8%	6.18	4.62	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	13	0	29	123	12	20	2	0%	2.2	6.6%	20.3%	-13.7%	2.7%	3.10	6.57	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	13	0	29	123	12	20	2	0%	2.2	6.6%	20.3%	-13.7%	2.7%	3.10	6.57	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	13	0	29	123	12	20	2	0%	2.2	9.8%	16.3%	-6.5%	1.6%	3.10	5.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	ATL	16	0	17	72	14	12	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	16.6%	2.9%	3.0%	5.57	5.57	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	26	0	27	114	24	16	3	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.26	5.14	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	12	0	13	55	11	8	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.26	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	12	8	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	14.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.26	4.76	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	120	30	0%	1.1	20.8%	14.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.26	4.76	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		54	2	107	469	52	72	12	4%	2.0	11.0%	15.5%	-4.4%	2.6%	4.12	5.56	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	4	200	877	97	136	23	4%	2.0	11.0%	15.5%	-4.4%	2.6%	4.12	5.56	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marco Patino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.57	19.4%	16.6%	3.0%	—	5.14	20.8%	6.6%	27	-0.43	—	—	—
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	89
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	89
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	88
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	88
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	87
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	87
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	87
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	86
Miguel Alfonseca R 2022 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	20.1%	16.4%	2.4%	.354	5.73	11.6%	-3.8%	56	+0.95	4.19	123	86
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	86
Junior Montero R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	18.5%	15.8%	1.8%	.319	5.31	20.2%	-3.7%	32	+0.77	4.54	100	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	86
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	85
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	85
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85