Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 13 | 0 | 25 | 112 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.84 | 5.03 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 13 | 0 | 25 | 112 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 1.8% | 2.84 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 14 | 0 | 25 | 103 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 14.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.32 | 5.64 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Braves | 14 | 0 | 25 | 103 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 21.4% | 5.8% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 3.62 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | 14 | 2 | 28 | 131 | 20 | 23 | 1 | 14% | 2.0 | 10.4% | 21.9% | -11.6% | 0.7% | 6.18 | 5.39 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | 14 | 2 | 28 | 131 | 20 | 23 | 1 | 14% | 2.0 | 15.3% | 17.6% | -2.3% | 0.8% | 6.18 | 4.62 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 13 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 2.2 | 6.6% | 20.3% | -13.7% | 3.2% | 3.10 | 6.87 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Braves | 13 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 12 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 2.2 | 9.8% | 16.3% | -6.5% | 1.6% | 3.10 | 5.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | ATL | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | ATL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.01 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 54 | 2 | 107 | 469 | 52 | 72 | 14 | 4% | 2.0 | 11.0% | 15.5% | -4.4% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 5.74 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 4 | 200 | 877 | 97 | 136 | 26 | 4% | 2.0 | 11.0% | 15.5% | -4.4% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 5.74 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marco Patino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.39 | 22.7% | 13.0% | 20 | -0.24 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 91 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 88 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 88 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 87 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 86 |
| Owen Holt R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 86 |
| Jeremy Beasley R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.71 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.08 | 17.7% | 8.7% | 234 | -0.63 | 3.17 | 337 | 86 |
| Gerlin Rosario R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.79 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .294 | 4.57 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 139 | +0.78 | 2.91 | 233 | 86 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 86 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 85 |
| Logan Lombana R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.63 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .315 | 3.97 | 15.7% | 8.1% | 123 | -0.66 | 3.82 | 155 | 85 |
| Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.65 | 22.0% | 9.9% | 3.9% | .275 | 4.67 | 16.1% | 5.5% | 43 | +0.02 | 4.65 | 140 | 85 |
| Kyle Marman R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.98 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .270 | 5.27 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 71 | +1.29 | 3.98 | 117 | 85 |
| Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.59 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .260 | 7.31 | 21.3% | 4.8% | 30 | +3.72 | 3.59 | 112 | 85 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 85 |
| Mike Morrison R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.87 | 17.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.02 | 19.0% | 7.1% | 128 | -0.85 | 3.37 | 145 | 84 |
| Luke Bell R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 84 |
| Reece Karalus R 2027 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 84 |
| Caleb Freeman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.98 | 24.6% | 12.9% | 2.4% | .267 | 5.17 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 58 | +1.19 | 3.98 | 222 | 84 |