Jeremy Gonzalez

P ACL White Sox

Age 22 LHP 6'0" / 168 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKCWS	7	6	19	11.37	5.52	22.4%	17.3%	—	K 15.3% · BB 21.7% · FIP 6.74
2025	20	ROKCWS	20	3	34	4.98	2.52	20.9%	9.5%	—	K 14.2% · BB 11.8% · FIP 3.39
2026	21	MIX2 levels	21	0	37	8.84	3.78	17.6%	13.9%	—	K 14.0% · BB 15.7% · FIP 4.42
2027PROJ	22	MLBCWS	17	0	18	5.23	5.23	18.9%	14.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCWS	16	0	17	4.98	4.87	20.3%	12.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMatt Minnick (age 23) · Jack O'Loughlin (age 22) · Sean Mellen (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116124vR 133

ERA5.23

FIP5.23

K%18.9%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%4.9%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	11	7	29	143	26	18	1	64%	2.6	12.4%	15.7%	-3.4%	0.8%	5.90	4.49	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	11	7	29	143	26	18	1	64%	2.6	18.2%	12.6%	5.6%	0.7%	5.90	3.62	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	10	10	36	153	44	13	3	100%	3.6	19.6%	10.6%	8.9%	2.2%	3.75	4.02	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	10	10	36	153	44	13	3	100%	3.6	28.8%	8.5%	20.3%	2.0%	3.75	2.82	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	7	6	19	98	22	17	3	86%	2.7	15.3%	21.7%	-6.4%	4.0%	11.37	6.74	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	7	6	19	98	22	17	3	86%	2.7	15.3%	21.7%	-6.4%	4.0%	11.37	6.74	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	7	6	19	98	22	17	3	86%	2.7	22.4%	17.3%	5.1%	3.1%	11.37	5.52	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	20	3	34	148	31	14	0	15%	1.7	14.2%	11.8%	2.4%	0.0%	4.98	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	20	3	34	148	31	14	0	15%	1.7	14.2%	11.8%	2.4%	0.0%	4.98	3.39	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	20	3	34	148	31	14	0	15%	1.7	20.9%	9.5%	11.5%	0.0%	4.98	2.52	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	37	187	33	26	1	0%	1.7	14.0%	15.7%	-1.8%	0.9%	8.84	4.42	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	37	187	33	26	1	0%	1.7	14.0%	15.7%	-1.8%	0.9%	8.84	4.42	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	37	187	33	26	1	0%	1.7	17.6%	13.9%	3.7%	0.5%	8.84	3.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CWS	17	0	18	76	14	11	2	0%	1.1	18.9%	14.0%	4.9%	2.9%	5.23	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CWS	33	0	34	144	29	18	4	0%	1.0	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	2.8%	4.98	4.87	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CWS	16	0	17	72	15	9	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	2.8%	4.98	4.87	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	71	14	9	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	2.8%	4.98	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	107	24	0%	1.1	20.3%	12.3%	8.0%	2.8%	4.98	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		69	26	155	729	110	107	10	38%	2.2	15.1%	14.7%	0.4%	1.4%	6.56	4.45	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		89	34	200	941	142	138	13	38%	2.2	15.1%	14.7%	0.4%	1.4%	6.56	4.45	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeremy Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.23	18.9%	14.0%	2.9%	—	4.87	20.3%	8.0%	34	-0.36	—	—	—
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	82
Jack O'Loughlin L 2022 · 4.83 FIP	22	SW	4.83	17.0%	13.7%	2.6%	.269	4.76	17.5%	7.2%	239	-0.07	3.78	348	80
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Matt Walker L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	16.7%	13.3%	1.5%	.324	4.62	15.5%	4.0%	94	+0.41	4.21	156	78
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	77
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	77
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	77
Alex Winkelman L 2016 · 4.44 FIP	22	SW	4.44	15.8%	14.7%	1.5%	.344	3.77	18.8%	6.5%	181	-0.67	3.40	246	76
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	76
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	75
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	75
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	75
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	75
Scott Squier L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	22	SW	5.28	12.2%	11.2%	3.3%	.362	4.06	13.9%	7.9%	234	-1.22	3.29	276	74
Marino Santy L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	22	SW	4.80	17.6%	16.1%	2.1%	.322	4.51	20.3%	1.1%	82	-0.29	3.91	270	74
Davis Schwab L 2019 · 4.46 FIP	22	SU	4.46	13.6%	13.8%	1.4%	.368	5.22	18.9%	-0.8%	92	+0.76	4.46	114	74
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	73
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	73
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	73
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	19.8%	12.9%	1.10	5.07
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19