Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 177 | 25 | 20 | 1 | 100% | 3.1 | 9.6% | 14.1% | -4.5% | 0.8% | 4.86 | 4.52 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 177 | 25 | 20 | 1 | 100% | 3.1 | 14.1% | 11.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 4.86 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 221 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 100% | 4.4 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 2.92 | 3.36 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 221 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 100% | 4.4 | 22.6% | 6.8% | 15.8% | 0.5% | 2.92 | 2.30 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 9 | 4 | 31 | 149 | 24 | 28 | 1 | 44% | 3.5 | 11.0% | 23.5% | -12.5% | 1.0% | 3.73 | 5.72 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 9 | 4 | 31 | 149 | 24 | 28 | 1 | 44% | 3.5 | 16.1% | 18.8% | -2.7% | 0.7% | 3.73 | 4.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.6% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 4 | 4 | 22 | 94 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | DET | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 84 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 28 | 121 | 547 | 67 | 79 | 5 | 85% | 3.7 | 12.3% | 14.4% | -2.1% | 0.9% | 3.73 | 4.38 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 46 | 200 | 907 | 112 | 131 | 8 | 85% | 3.7 | 12.3% | 14.4% | -2.1% | 0.9% | 3.73 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Frank Moreno (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.6% | 9.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.30 | 23.3% | 13.9% | 22 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Chad Patrick R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 84 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 84 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 84 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 84 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 83 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 83 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 82 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 82 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 81 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 81 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 80 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.40 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.85 | 16.4% | 5.4% | 150 | +0.45 | 5.40 | 322 | 80 |
| Trent Palmer R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 79 |
| River Ryan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.58 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .321 | 3.86 | 20.4% | 9.1% | 134 | +0.28 | 2.13 | 218 | 79 |
| Nick Fraze R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 79 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 78 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 78 |
| Brandon White R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.11 | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .264 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 245 | -1.01 | 3.90 | 264 | 77 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.82 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.12 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 296 | +0.30 | 3.36 | 432 | 77 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 77 |