Carlos AltuveC DSL Cubs Blue
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 192 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .271 / .282
PA66
HR1
K%29
BB%7
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.60.81.01.00.9+$36M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $7M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 6966 14100 2171 01 212246227474 15286 253 222 28 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 6964 19200 4111 01 297348328676 31358 166 311 96 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 113102 16101 7413 41 157232196428 39246 366 190 4 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 11397 21101 12293 41 216321258579 41294 2611 276 69 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 124106 17121 13364 52 160276236512 75229 2910 226 31 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 124100 21221 19244 52 210358300658 90263 1915 311 96 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBCHC — 6660 13211 5191 10 217288333621 117286 298 256 54 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCHC 34% 117105 22312 9332 20 210284314599 105288 288 267 63 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202823 MLBCHC 48% 252228 48724 19703 41 211280311591 101290 288 275 69 -9 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
202924 MLBCHC 53% 351316 711137 27975 51 225296345641 120291 288 281 73 -11 +1 +0 +6 +10 0.6
203025 MLBCHC 55% 411371 821338 321135 62 221292337629 116291 278 284 76 -11 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.8
203126 MLBCHC 56% 448404 891439 351236 72 220292337629 116291 278 286 77 -12 +1 +0 +8 +13 1.0
203227 MLBCHC 55% 466420 9214310 371286 72 219292338630 119291 278 286 77 -12 +1 +0 +8 +13 1.0
203328 MLBCHC 55% 474427 9314310 381316 72 218291335626 117290 288 285 76 -13 +1 -1 +8 +13 0.9
202722 MLBCHC 34% 4036 8101 3111 10 222300333633 111289 288 259 56 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202823 MLBCHC 48% 122110 24412 9342 20 218289327617 109291 287 267 63 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.1
202924 MLBCHC 53% 185167 37614 14512 31 222290341631 120292 288 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.2
203025 MLBCHC 55% 225202 46725 18623 31 228300356657 129292 288 276 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
203126 MLBCHC 56% 249225 50825 19683 41 222291342634 120292 278 277 70 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.4
203227 MLBCHC 55% 256231 51825 20703 41 221291338629 117292 278 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.4
203328 MLBCHC 55% 259233 51825 21723 41 219292335627 116291 288 276 70 -9 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 13361204 267421027 10436817 215 222293341633 119294 288 275 69 -48 +2 -0 +24 +38 1.6
/ 162G— — 650586 12920513 511798 102 220291338629 118292 288 275 69 -23 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.8
Career— — 28912605 557812153 22480842 4814 214287322609 108287 288 275 68 -103 +4 -1 +52 +82 3.4
/ 162G— — 650586 12518512 501829 113 213285323607 109286 288 275 68 -23 +1 -0 +12 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Cubs Red — 6964 19200 4111 01 297348328676 31358 166 311 96 -0 -0 — — +2 0.1
202318 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 11397 21101 12293 41 216321258579 41294 2611 276 69 -4 +0 — — +3 -0.0
202419 ROKDSL Cubs Blue — 124100 21221 19244 52 210358300658 90263 1915 311 96 -1 +0 — — +4 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,4032721220288334+25+202.52.5
/1626641310+11.9+9.51.2pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Altuve (OGILVIE) 21 — — — — 202/271/282 80286 11 29% 7% 54 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Jonathan Ornelas
2021 · A 		21 41→51 39→45 50 42 199/261/284 85279 611 30% 7% 50 -1.8 227/277/335 108310 1110 29% 6% 69 -0.4 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo
2017 · A 		22 36 38→45 46→50 45 179/245/253 75239 510 26% 7% 35 -2.8 198/277/298 100282 810 30% 8% 60 -1.0 201/298/325124262101225%10%74-0.0
✕Niko Vasquez
2010 · A 		21 41 37→50 46→45 42 193/260/264 71288 56 33% 8% 44 -2.1 197/271/306 109274 103 30% 9% 59 -1.1 224/278/37214829019629%6%77+0.1
✕Cutter Dykstra
2010 · A 		21 40→50 40 47→55 43 198/260/282 84275 811 30% 7% 48 -1.9 217/273/292 75304 616 29% 6% 56 -1.3 232/301/3168431561626%8%72-0.2
✕Adan Velazquez
2011 · A 		21 42→52 41→45 52→50 40 203/262/305 102282 710 29% 6% 55 -1.4 223/270/319 96299 89 27% 5% 62 -0.9 248/287/342943018620%4%71-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A 		20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Jordyn Adams
2021 · A 		21 40 40→45 47→60 41 196/258/286 91287 89 33% 7% 49 -1.8 189/245/281 92306 824 38% 6% 41 -2.3 186/248/297110286132638%7%45-1.1
✕Steven Baron
2013 · A 		22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Rey Duran
2009 · A 		20 36 41→50 49→40 41 183/243/277 94256 96 31% 6% 40 -2.4 213/267/338 125268 145 25% 6% 66 -0.6 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Leonel Espinoza
2023 · A 		20 38→44 40 50→55 41 188/259/274 86266 711 31% 6% 46 -2.0 209/272/298 89302 714 31% 6% 58 -1.2 202/259/2939029281832%5%47-1.0
✕Claudio Finol
2022 · A 		22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Yeldrys Molina
2009 · A 		20 43 38→40 48→50 44 206/265/287 82281 49 27% 7% 51 -1.7 194/252/272 78285 48 31% 7% 42 -2.3 139/198/200602030929%6%-1-1.2
✕Dusty Ryan
2006 · A 		21 37→46 40→50 43→40 38 183/235/269 86268 86 34% 6% 34 -2.8 200/265/307 107312 124 37% 7% 57 -1.2 212/288/37115931118335%9%80+0.2
✕Jose Ramos
2021 · A 		20 43→42 38→50 48→45 41 206/270/283 78285 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 214/277/356 142321 164 36% 7% 76 +0.0 203/271/34914630418437%7%69-0.3
✕Chris Roller
2018 · A 		21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
✕Marcus Littlewood
2013 · A 		21 40 40→45 48→45 41 198/248/289 92267 87 29% 6% 44 -2.1 199/266/305 106272 105 28% 8% 57 -1.2 209/274/32211327010425%8%62-0.4
✕Andy Paz
2015 · A 		22 38 38→40 45 44 185/245/261 75253 65 28% 7% 37 -2.7 210/264/277 67293 46 28% 7% 48 -1.9 226/270/274482963723%6%46-0.7
✕Luis De Los Santos
2019 · A 		21 40→47 40→45 53→45 35 198/241/288 90276 78 30% 4% 42 -2.3 203/247/309 106292 97 32% 4% 50 -1.8 216/283/33511929113729%7%69-0.2
✕Max George
2017 · A 		21 38→36 39→45 47→55 43 183/270/267 84278 610 34% 8% 50 -1.7 176/256/272 96242 819 29% 7% 46 -2.0 155/243/267112213112332%7%36-1.6