Jesus Lopez

C Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ADown East Woo…	232	.242/.307/.351	3	1	47	—	.199/.251/.278
2025	20	ATEX	91	.128/.253/.218	1	0	-4	—	.098/.187/.171
2025	20	ROKTEX	31	.095/.345/.095	0	0	5	—	.083/.241/.083
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBTEX	232	.216/.279/.330	4	2	72	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBTEX	51	.221/.285/.347	1	0	77	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBTEX	124	.224/.289/.357	3	1	80	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

BB%65

ISO52

Z-Con%45

K%40

Whiff%33

Chase%24

CompsDarrien Miller (age 23) · Johnny Monell (age 22) · Isan Díaz (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 88 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .277 / .327

PA88

HR2

K%27

BB%7

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$16M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	138	110	26	8	0	3	22	17	4	4	3	236	382	391	773	155	250	12	16	351	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	53	45	13	3	2	3	5	13	3	0	0	289	396	644	1.041	356	345	25	9	444	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	232	211	51	12	1	3	18	68	2	1	2	242	307	351	658	109	340	29	8	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	91	78	10	4	0	1	12	23	1	0	1	128	253	218	471	90	167	25	13	229	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	31	21	2	0	0	0	8	4	0	0	1	95	345	95	440		105	13	26	238	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	138	116	17	5	0	1	16	22	4	4	3	147	272	216	488	69	157	16	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	53	47	9	2	1	2	3	20	3	0	0	191	283	404	687	213	256	38	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	232	216	43	9	1	2	13	90	2	1	2	199	251	278	529	79	327	39	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	91	82	8	3	0	1	8	32	1	0	1	98	187	171	358	73	142	35	9	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	31	24	2	0	0	0	5	6	0	0	1	83	241	83	325		88	19	16	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	138	116	17	5	0	1	16	22	4	4	3	147	272	216	488	69	168	16	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	138	110	26	8	0	3	22	17	4	4	3	236	382	391	773	155	250	12	16	351	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	53	47	9	2	1	2	3	20	3	0	0	191	283	404	687	213	280	38	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	53	45	13	3	2	3	5	13	3	0	0	289	396	644	1.041	356	345	25	9	444	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	232	216	43	9	1	2	13	90	2	1	2	199	251	278	529	79	328	39	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	232	211	51	12	1	3	18	68	2	1	2	242	307	351	658	109	340	29	8	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	106	10	3	0	1	13	38	1	0	2	94	200	151	351	57	130	31	11	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	122	99	12	4	0	1	20	27	1	0	2	121	275	192	467	71	151	22	16	231	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	138	117	17	5	0	1	16	22	4	4	3	145	272	214	486	68	157	16	12	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	53	47	9	2	1	2	3	20	3	0	0	191	283	404	687	213	256	38	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	232	215	43	9	1	2	13	90	2	1	2	200	251	279	530	79	327	39	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	107	10	3	0	1	13	38	1	0	2	93	200	150	350	56	128	31	11	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	232	215	43	9	1	2	13	90	2	1	2	200	251	279	530	79	327	39	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	122	107	10	3	0	1	13	38	1	0	2	93	200	150	350	56	128	31	11	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	232	212	45	9	1	4	16	63	2	2	1	216	279	330	609	113	284	27	7	274	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	149	136	30	6	1	3	11	40	1	1	0	220	284	342	627	122	286	27	7	281	77	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	46%	269	245	55	10	2	6	20	71	2	2	1	224	288	352	640	129	287	26	7	287	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	346	314	70	13	2	8	26	91	3	2	1	226	291	359	650	133	287	26	8	291	83	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	397	360	81	15	2	10	30	103	4	3	1	227	293	364	656	137	287	26	8	293	85	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	422	383	86	16	2	10	32	110	4	3	1	227	293	363	656	136	287	26	8	293	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	434	394	88	17	2	10	33	114	4	3	1	225	291	358	649	133	286	26	8	291	83	-9	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	435	395	87	16	2	10	33	115	4	2	2	222	288	352	640	130	285	26	8	287	80	-10	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	431	392	86	16	2	10	32	115	4	2	4	219	284	344	629	125	283	27	7	282	77	-12	-1	-2	+8	+9	0.2
2036	31	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	409	373	81	15	2	9	30	111	3	3	4	215	279	334	614	119	279	27	7	276	73	-13	-1	-3	+7	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	14	0	0	0	221	285	347	632	126	285	27	8	283	77	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	46%	124	113	26	5	1	3	9	33	1	1	0	224	289	357	646	133	286	27	7	289	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	179	162	38	7	1	5	13	47	2	1	0	227	292	364	656	138	287	26	7	293	83	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	215	195	45	8	1	6	16	56	2	1	0	228	294	369	663	141	287	26	7	296	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	229	208	47	9	1	6	17	59	2	2	1	228	294	369	663	141	287	26	7	296	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	235	213	48	9	1	6	18	62	2	1	1	226	292	364	656	138	286	26	8	293	83	-5	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	231	210	47	8	1	6	17	61	2	1	1	223	289	357	646	134	284	26	7	289	80	-5	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	226	205	45	8	1	5	17	61	2	1	2	220	285	349	634	129	282	27	8	284	77	-6	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	213	193	42	7	1	5	16	58	2	1	2	216	280	339	619	123	279	27	8	278	73	-7	-1	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1703	1546	348	63	8	43	127	451	15	9	7	225	290	360	650	135	288	26	7	290	74	-39	-1	-4	+30	+37	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	132	24	3	16	48	172	6	3	3	224	289	356	645	132	286	26	7	290	74	-15	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3925	3558	761	146	20	84	298	1064	40	27	22	214	282	337	619	123	278	27	8	278	74	-79	-2	-7	+60	+73	4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	126	24	3	14	49	176	7	4	4	214	282	336	618	122	279	27	8	278	74	-15	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.7	1,791	41	12	224	286	353	+32	+24	3.7	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.9	+8.9	1.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus Lopez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	214/277/327	112	284	2	1	27%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43	43→50	44→45	47	212/287/326	114	278	11	8	27%	8%	75	-0.5	230/291/359	129	287	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.1	225/286/348	123	283	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	40→43	47→55	45	43	202/273/336	134	296	14	8	35%	8%	72	-0.7	214/284/363	149	300	16	8	32%	8%	82	+0.0	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Zach Fisher 2014 · A	22	43	43→50	43→30	45	211/265/327	115	253	10	3	21%	6%	66	-1.1	227/276/350	123	291	12	4	25%	6%	76	-0.4	239/284/380	141	298	15	0	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	44→43	43→55	49→50	46	211/294/330	119	311	10	8	33%	9%	78	-0.3	196/273/340	144	288	15	11	35%	9%	73	-0.6	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Matt Wallach 2008 · A	22	44	42→45	45→40	44	217/280/322	105	275	9	5	24%	6%	72	-0.7	206/259/327	121	267	12	3	27%	6%	64	-1.3	213/285/325	112	244	13	3	18%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→45	47→30	41	207/267/304	97	289	9	5	31%	6%	62	-1.4	193/273/308	115	277	10	3	31%	9%	66	-1.1	168/258/285	117	236	11	0	32%	10%	54	-0.8
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	41	45	47→30	51	207/289/328	121	249	13	6	22%	9%	77	-0.3	213/274/318	105	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	240	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Dom Nuñez 2017 · A	22	43→46	45→50	45	47	219/277/333	115	267	14	7	24%	7%	72	-0.7	199/275/317	118	257	14	8	27%	9%	69	-0.9	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→40	42→45	44→55	45	198/274/307	110	297	9	6	34%	9%	66	-1.1	190/290/299	109	249	10	15	25%	12%	71	-0.8	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→46	44→55	51→50	42	206/261/333	127	283	11	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	204/287/354	150	283	17	13	32%	10%	82	-0.0	218/311/396	178	274	21	12	27%	11%	100	+1.0
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Joe Mack 2024 · A	21	41→44	39→55	45	43	198/267/273	75	282	8	2	31%	8%	55	-1.9	218/280/363	145	290	18	5	30%	7%	81	-0.1	220/283/384	165	281	22	4	29%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Pratt Maynard 2012 · A	22	43	39→45	48→45	41	204/269/289	85	302	7	5	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/275/303	89	273	7	5	23%	8%	64	-1.3	215/278/310	94	268	7	4	21%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Luke Shliger 2024 · A	22	48	39→40	47→50	46	228/295/315	87	300	6	9	25%	7%	75	-0.5	216/309/312	96	303	8	12	28%	10%	80	-0.1	213/312/314	101	295	10	14	28%	11%	82	-0.0
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2024 · A	22	46→41	43→55	51→50	45	223/285/341	118	292	9	12	26%	7%	77	-0.3	212/261/361	149	283	14	14	29%	6%	73	-0.6	199/246/361	161	266	17	15	31%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Dane Phillips 2014 · A	23	43→47	42→55	51→40	40	211/256/318	108	282	9	4	28%	5%	61	-1.5	228/272/366	138	297	13	6	27%	5%	78	-0.3	234/276/393	159	296	15	4	26%	5%	82	-0.0

Jesus Lopez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps