Karniel Pratt

OF FCL Astros

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKHOU	61	.271/.417/.417	1	10	48	—	.173/.283/.288
2025	20	ROKHOU	62	.283/.459/.326	0	11	79	—	.235/.361/.275
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBHOU	172	.196/.277/.271	1	6	58	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBHOU	37	.202/.283/.287	0	1	62	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%95

wRC+91

Whiff%87

BB%85

K%84

Z-Con%84

CompsIsmael Alcantara (age 22) · Yhoswar Garcia (age 22) · Dasan Brown (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .274 / .268

PA48

HR0

K%32

BB%9

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	143	30	6	0	1	33	60	3	12	5	210	369	273	641	63	354	34	18	312	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	140	38	5	3	5	34	53	4	22	5	271	427	457	884	186	398	30	19	396	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	61	48	13	2	1	1	11	22	1	10	3	271	417	417	833	146	480	36	18	374	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	46	13	2	0	0	12	9	3	11	4	283	459	326	785	43	342	15	19	373	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	153	18	3	0	0	23	73	3	12	5	118	246	137	383	20	232	41	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	150	25	3	2	2	24	62	4	22	5	167	298	253	551	87	264	35	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	52	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	173	283	288	572	115	387	51	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	51	12	2	0	0	7	13	3	11	4	235	361	275	635	39	286	21	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	153	18	3	0	0	23	73	3	12	5	118	246	137	383	20	225	41	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	143	30	6	0	1	33	60	3	12	5	210	369	273	641	63	354	34	18	312	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	150	25	3	2	2	24	62	4	22	5	167	298	253	551	87	264	35	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	140	38	5	3	5	34	53	4	22	5	271	427	457	884	186	398	30	19	396	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	52	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	173	283	288	572	115	400	51	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	61	48	13	2	1	1	11	22	1	10	3	271	417	417	833	146	480	36	18	374	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	51	12	2	0	0	7	13	3	11	4	235	361	275	635	39	308	21	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	46	13	2	0	0	12	9	3	11	4	283	459	326	785	43	342	15	19	373	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	179	151	18	3	0	0	23	73	3	12	5	119	246	139	385	20	232	41	13	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	179	149	25	3	2	2	24	62	4	22	5	168	298	255	553	87	264	35	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	53	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	170	283	283	566	113	387	51	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	52	12	2	0	0	7	13	3	11	4	231	361	269	630	38	286	21	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	61	53	9	1	1	1	7	31	1	10	3	170	283	283	566	113	387	51	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	52	12	2	0	0	7	13	3	11	4	231	361	269	630	38	286	21	11	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	172	153	30	5	1	1	15	55	2	6	1	196	277	271	547	75	289	32	9	254	58	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	107	96	19	3	1	1	9	33	1	4	0	200	281	283	564	83	290	31	8	260	62	-5	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	37	33	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	202	283	287	569	84	294	32	8	262	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	33	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	182	270	212	482	30	286	32	8	262	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	106	18	0	0	53	211	18	18	0	183	272	214	486	31	287	32	8	262	50	-29	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	636	545	90	13	4	4	74	227	13	61	17	165	280	226	506	61	271	36	12	242	50	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	557	92	13	4	4	76	232	13	62	17	165	280	224	505	59	272	36	12	242	50	-30	+5	+0	-4	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karniel Pratt (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	194/274/268	75	289	0	2	32%	9%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Nelson Medina 2023 · A	22	41	40→45	53→50	47	195/282/289	95	292	6	13	32%	10%	65	-1.2	176/236/261	85	335	6	13	46%	7%	40	-3.0	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	39→27	40	51→55	42	186/266/280	94	290	6	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	163/253/245	82	311	6	19	45%	9%	45	-2.7	123/226/195	71	254	5	26	48%	10%	22	-2.2
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Jake Vogel 2024 · A	22	41→40	36→40	55	39	192/256/265	73	293	3	17	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/257/258	73	290	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	138/225/185	48	226	4	22	38%	8%	19	-2.5
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	37	42→45	51→55	41	168/271/271	102	317	9	19	45%	10%	58	-1.7	190/287/296	106	336	11	16	42%	10%	70	-0.9	180/284/294	114	291	13	20	39%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. 2024 · A	23	40→39	38→40	57→60	41	192/257/274	83	287	5	20	33%	7%	51	-2.2	194/250/269	75	290	5	28	33%	6%	47	-2.5	190/245/259	69	282	5	35	33%	6%	41	-2.0
✕Caleb Hobson 2024 · A	22	45→42	37→40	55→60	42	202/276/275	73	329	4	13	37%	8%	59	-1.7	175/265/245	70	331	5	27	43%	10%	49	-2.4	155/254/221	67	300	5	33	45%	10%	38	-2.1
✕Angel Aponte 2021 · A	21	42	39→40	54→55	41	203/261/292	89	279	6	17	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/263/297	91	296	7	20	31%	5%	59	-1.7	189/245/275	85	274	8	24	32%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	47	185/274/255	70	288	2	24	33%	10%	55	-2.0	207/297/291	84	313	5	17	32%	9%	71	-0.8	199/309/261	62	300	4	23	31%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→50	52→55	39	208/262/296	88	288	6	20	29%	5%	58	-1.7	210/270/340	130	291	14	23	31%	7%	72	-0.7	201/268/328	126	276	14	27	31%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Loidel Chapelli 2024 · A	22	39→36	43→45	56→55	46	196/271/312	116	271	10	18	30%	8%	65	-1.2	196/259/284	88	300	7	17	34%	7%	54	-2.0	176/233/238	63	279	4	20	36%	6%	31	-2.0
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	39→37	39→40	52→55	42	184/264/267	83	302	6	17	38%	8%	53	-2.1	191/263/277	86	303	6	19	36%	7%	55	-2.0	139/216/198	59	225	3	32	36%	7%	17	-1.4
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	41	40→45	50	41	203/254/297	94	272	8	14	28%	6%	55	-1.9	206/263/323	117	278	12	13	29%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/320	130	244	17	9	29%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3