Andrew Healy
P
Wilson Warbirds
Age 23
LHP
6'6" / 200 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Wilson Warbirds | 16 | 8 | 47 | 210 | 46 | 24 | 5 | 50% | 2.9 | 16.2% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 32 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 80 | 349 | 78 | 37 | 9 | — | — | 22.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 4.84 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 142 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 24.2% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 142 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 33 | 138 | 33 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.7% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 4 | 4 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.8 | 24.2% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 20 | 20 | 122 | 514 | 124 | 46 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 3.81 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 76 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 3.81 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 16 | 8 | 47 | 210 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 50% | 2.9 | 16.2% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 5.14 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 34 | 200 | 894 | 145 | 121 | 28 | 50% | 2.9 | 16.2% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.17 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Andrew Healy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.20 | 24.0% | 15.1% | 102 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Brady Basso L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.99 | 21.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.17 | 22.1% | 15.5% | 179 | +0.18 | 2.24 | 269 | 85 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 80 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 80 |
| Jordan Woods L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 79 |
| Mac Lardner L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 79 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 78 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 77 |
| Will Johnston L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 77 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2028 · 3.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.65 | 17.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .257 | 5.52 | 17.8% | 9.6% | 53 | +1.87 | 3.65 | 116 | 76 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 76 |
| Tommy Shirley L 2029 · 3.30 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.6% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .252 | 4.86 | 13.0% | 4.2% | 106 | +1.56 | 3.30 | 147 | 75 |
| Bailey Horn L 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .300 | 4.71 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 152 | -0.45 | 4.13 | 265 | 75 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2027 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 75 |
| Drake Owenby L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.88 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 140 | 74 |
| Jack Owen L 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.69 | 17.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | .359 | 4.30 | 16.0% | 8.7% | 201 | -0.39 | 3.31 | 221 | 74 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 74 |
| Tyler Holton L 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.18 | 22.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | .393 | 3.47 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 224 | +0.29 | 3.02 | 409 | 73 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 73 |
| Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.64 | 22.0% | 14.9% | 2.8% | .289 | 2.98 | 26.6% | 12.9% | 99 | -1.66 | 2.15 | 175 | 73 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 34 | 23.9% | 9.0% | 1.16 | 4.26 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |