Jesus Gamez

P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 190 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ROKDSL Rangers R…	10	28	3.25	2.45	37.4%	11.2%	—	K 25.4% · BB 14.0% · FIP 3.81
2025	22	MIX3 levels	30	38	1.17	2.11	38.9%	17.8%	—	K 28.3% · BB 21.4% · FIP 3.42
2026	23	A+TEX	42	43	3.74	3.77	34.2%	23.3%	—	K 26.3% · BB 26.8% · FIP 4.95
2027PROJ	24	MLBTEX	22	23	5.26	5.26	25.9%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTEX	16	17	5.10	4.98	26.1%	16.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsZane Russell (age 24) · CJ Weins (age 23) · Andrew McInvale (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%25.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	10	0	28	107	40	12	2	0%	2.8	25.4%	14.0%	11.4%	2.0%	3.25	3.81	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	10	0	28	107	40	12	2	0%	2.8	25.4%	14.0%	11.4%	2.0%	3.25	3.81	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	10	0	28	107	40	12	2	0%	2.8	37.4%	11.2%	26.2%	1.9%	3.25	2.45	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	38	157	61	28	0	0%	1.3	28.3%	21.4%	6.9%	0.0%	1.17	3.42	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	38	157	61	28	0	0%	1.3	28.3%	21.4%	6.9%	0.0%	1.17	3.42	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	38	157	61	28	0	0%	1.3	38.9%	17.8%	21.0%	0.0%	1.17	2.11	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	42	0	43	202	69	47	2	0%	1.0	26.3%	26.8%	-0.5%	1.2%	3.74	4.95	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	42	0	43	202	69	47	2	0%	1.0	26.3%	26.8%	-0.5%	1.2%	3.74	4.95	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	42	0	43	202	69	47	2	0%	1.0	34.2%	23.3%	10.9%	1.0%	3.74	3.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TEX	22	0	23	97	25	19	3	0%	1.0	25.9%	20.0%	5.9%	2.6%	5.26	5.26	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	38	0	40	167	43	28	4	0%	1.0	26.1%	16.9%	9.2%	2.6%	4.99	4.87	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	16	0	17	72	19	12	2	0%	1.1	26.1%	16.9%	9.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	72	19	12	2	0%	1.1	26.1%	16.9%	9.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.60	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	224	141	24	0%	1.1	26.1%	16.9%	9.2%	2.8%	5.10	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		82	0	109	466	125	103	5	0%	1.3	26.8%	22.0%	4.7%	1.0%	2.72	4.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	0	200	852	228	188	8	0%	1.3	26.8%	22.0%	4.7%	1.0%	2.72	4.17	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jesus Gamez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	25.9%	20.0%	2.6%	—	4.87	26.1%	9.2%	40	-0.39	—	—	—
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	89
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	88
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	87
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	86
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	85
Eduardo Herrera R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.5%	15.7%	2.2%	.284	4.44	16.7%	-5.0%	31	+0.31	4.13	127	85
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	84
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	83
LJ McDonough R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	22.6%	16.7%	2.3%	.385	4.85	20.0%	2.8%	90	+0.31	4.16	127	83
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	83
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	83
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	24.8%	16.3%	2.0%	.331	6.20	17.4%	-5.5%	26	+2.02	3.81	109	83
Jake Gilbert R 2021 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	22.1%	15.2%	1.8%	.314	4.65	18.2%	2.0%	53	+0.51	4.14	103	82
Walker Brockhouse R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SU	4.24	21.7%	16.7%	1.6%	.301	5.15	18.7%	4.0%	42	+0.91	4.24	126	82
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	82
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	81
Evan Johnson R 2021 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	28.6%	16.3%	3.1%	.308	4.64	23.6%	6.0%	38	+0.20	4.42	103	81
Riley Ferrell R 2018 · 4.38 FIP	24	SU	4.38	24.1%	15.6%	2.5%	.333	4.21	23.1%	7.4%	55	-0.17	2.85	175	81
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	81
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	26.0%	18.1%	1.02	5.09
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*