Brooks Bryan — OGILVIE

Brooks BryanC Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 222 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .300 / .376

PA182

HR4

K%27

BB%7

BABIP312

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$12M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$9M	+$7M
2033	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$57M	+$47M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	KC	—	138	125	35	10	0	3	10	38	2	6	1	280	343	432	775	152	376	28	7	326	108	+1	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.9
YTD	22	A	KC	—	138	119	38	12	0	3	16	27	2	6	1	319	409	496	905	176	389	20	12	399	164	+10	+1	+0	+2	+4	1.7
ROS	22	A	KC	0%	182	165	39	9	1	4	13	50	2	4	1	236	300	376	676	139	302	27	7	294	83	-3	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.5
ROS	22	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	282	74	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	KC	—	138	126	35	10	0	3	10	38	2	6	1	278	343	429	772	151	372	28	7	326	108	+1	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.9
TOT	22	A	KC	—	320	290	74	19	1	7	23	88	4	10	2	255	319	400	719	145	340	28	7	308	94	-2	+1	-0	+6	+9	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	43%	412	376	87	19	2	10	29	112	4	5	1	231	293	372	666	141	299	27	7	295	84	-8	+1	-1	+7	+12	1.2
2028	24	MLB	KC	58%	494	450	104	23	2	12	36	132	5	5	1	231	295	371	666	140	300	27	7	300	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+14	1.6
2029	25	MLB	KC	65%	520	471	111	24	2	14	38	138	6	5	1	236	301	384	685	149	300	27	7	303	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2030	26	MLB	KC	68%	520	471	111	24	2	14	38	137	6	4	1	236	301	384	685	149	300	26	7	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2031	27	MLB	KC	68%	520	470	111	24	2	14	39	138	6	4	1	236	303	385	688	149	299	27	8	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2032	28	MLB	KC	68%	520	470	111	24	2	14	39	138	6	4	1	236	303	385	688	149	299	27	8	304	91	-5	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.8
2033	29	MLB	KC	66%	520	469	110	24	2	14	40	139	6	4	1	235	303	384	687	149	298	27	8	303	90	-6	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.6
2034	30	MLB	KC	66%	520	470	109	24	2	13	40	141	5	4	1	232	299	374	673	143	297	27	8	300	88	-7	+0	-3	+9	+15	1.4
2035	31	MLB	KC	65%	504	456	104	22	2	13	38	138	5	3	1	228	295	371	665	143	294	27	8	296	84	-9	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.1
2036	32	MLB	KC	65%	489	444	99	21	1	12	37	136	5	3	1	223	290	356	646	133	291	28	8	290	80	-11	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2037	33	MLB	KC	65%	473	429	93	19	1	11	36	134	5	3	1	217	285	343	628	126	286	28	8	283	75	-14	+0	-5	+8	+13	0.4
2027	23	MLB	KC	43%	178	161	37	8	1	4	13	48	2	2	0	230	295	366	662	137	295	27	7	283	75	-5	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	24	MLB	KC	58%	286	260	60	13	1	7	21	77	3	3	1	231	296	369	665	138	296	27	7	288	79	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2029	25	MLB	KC	65%	337	305	71	15	1	9	25	89	4	3	1	233	299	377	676	144	296	26	7	291	81	-7	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.8
2030	26	MLB	KC	68%	354	321	74	16	1	9	26	93	4	3	1	231	296	371	667	140	296	26	7	293	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.9
2031	27	MLB	KC	68%	354	321	74	16	1	9	26	94	4	3	1	231	296	371	667	140	295	27	7	293	83	-7	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.9
2032	28	MLB	KC	68%	353	319	74	16	1	9	27	94	4	3	1	232	300	373	673	141	295	27	8	292	82	-7	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.8
2033	29	MLB	KC	66%	345	312	71	15	1	9	26	92	4	3	1	228	295	369	664	141	294	27	8	290	80	-8	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.7
2034	30	MLB	KC	66%	341	308	70	15	1	8	26	92	4	2	0	227	296	360	656	133	293	27	8	288	78	-8	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.6
2035	31	MLB	KC	65%	328	297	66	14	1	8	25	90	3	2	0	222	289	357	646	135	290	27	8	284	75	-9	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2036	32	MLB	KC	65%	316	286	62	13	1	7	24	88	3	2	0	217	284	343	627	126	287	28	8	278	71	-10	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.2
2037	33	MLB	KC	65%	305	276	59	12	1	7	23	86	3	2	0	214	281	341	622	127	282	28	8	272	66	-12	+0	-3	+5	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3497	3167	718	153	11	86	262	943	38	28	6	227	294	363	657	137	293	27	7	287	78	-87	+3	-15	+62	+99	6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	133	28	2	16	49	175	7	5	1	226	293	362	655	136	291	27	8	287	78	-16	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	5674	5141	1189	257	21	145	423	1533	61	48	12	231	297	374	671	143	299	27	7	299	87	-85	+5	-24	+101	+161	16.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	136	29	2	17	48	176	7	5	1	231	296	374	670	143	298	27	7	299	87	-10	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	12	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
	/162	664	14	3	250	308	370	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,817	97	32	230	293	372	+68	-16	11.3	9.9
	/162	664	17	6	230	293	372	+11.9	-2.8	2.0	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brooks Bryan (OGILVIE)	22	30→35	45→60	30	45	255/319/400	145	340	7	10	28%	7%	94	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	46	206/268/342	136	253	15	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/284/361	155	265	18	3	28%	9%	80	+0.4	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	41→31	40→60	39→45	43	199/274/285	87	282	8	5	31%	7%	56	-1.3	198/277/317	119	290	13	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	196/276/392	196	242	25	4	30%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jason Vosler 2016 · A	22	41→43	45→55	42→40	47	204/265/320	116	237	13	5	20%	7%	61	-1.0	205/266/339	134	263	15	3	27%	6%	66	-0.6	215/280/388	173	267	23	3	28%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Zach Fisher 2014 · A	22	43	43→50	43→30	45	214/269/331	117	256	10	3	21%	6%	65	-0.7	231/281/356	125	295	12	4	25%	6%	76	+0.1	248/294/394	147	309	16	0	25%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	44→42	44→55	38→30	37	220/255/336	116	297	12	2	30%	4%	59	-1.1	233/277/398	165	310	22	3	31%	6%	86	+0.8	216/265/392	177	286	27	1	34%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Óscar Hernández 2015 · A	22	42	44→50	41→40	39	210/253/331	121	271	11	4	27%	4%	58	-1.2	198/245/313	115	261	12	5	28%	5%	50	-1.7	166/216/270	104	214	12	1	28%	5%	24	-1.2
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕John Whittleman 2009 · AA	22	42→43	43→50	39→45	50	207/286/324	116	284	10	3	29%	10%	71	-0.3	192/271/317	125	262	13	3	30%	10%	63	-0.8	171/259/324	153	234	18	1	34%	11%	58	-0.8
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	36	44→50	41→40	40	179/247/294	116	287	11	3	40%	8%	46	-2.0	191/249/286	95	267	8	4	30%	7%	45	-2.1	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Reggie Williams 2011 · A	22	42→41	42→45	38→45	41	207/253/315	109	261	9	6	25%	5%	53	-1.5	216/265/313	97	277	8	6	24%	6%	58	-1.2	215/264/299	84	268	8	3	22%	6%	52	-0.8
●Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	37→44	48→65	42→40	37	194/247/339	144	286	16	3	37%	6%	58	-1.2	192/249/357	165	293	19	4	39%	6%	64	-0.8	226/282/450	225	294	33	2	35%	7%	100	+1.1
✕Cole Armstrong 2006 · A	22	39→36	41→50	41→30	42	194/237/295	102	240	9	3	23%	5%	41	-2.3	209/250/319	110	269	11	3	26%	5%	53	-1.5	228/278/362	134	273	17	1	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	42→39	50	42→30	47	216/285/369	154	277	17	4	28%	9%	82	+0.5	201/276/334	133	299	14	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	168/256/295	127	261	14	0	39%	10%	50	-1.2
✕Brett Cumberland 2017 · A	22	38→39	39→50	37→30	36	184/254/271	87	287	7	4	36%	5%	44	-2.1	195/291/334	139	302	16	2	38%	7%	77	+0.1	184/289/329	144	283	17	0	38%	8%	75	-0.0
●Michael Wing 2012 · A	23	49→50	47→55	35→40	41	244/290/381	137	307	15	4	25%	5%	87	+0.8	216/256/337	121	284	11	5	27%	4%	61	-1.0	227/268/390	163	293	18	4	28%	4%	80	+0.2
✕Kyle Higashioka 2011 · A	21	40→43	42→60	41→40	44	200/256/304	103	244	10	3	22%	6%	53	-1.5	197/242/316	119	241	13	4	24%	5%	50	-1.8	229/285/425	196	263	28	4	25%	7%	95	+0.6
✕Scott White 2006 · A	22	39→37	44→50	37→40	41	200/254/314	115	257	13	3	27%	6%	55	-1.4	200/259/332	132	251	15	4	26%	6%	62	-0.9	191/254/333	142	232	17	3	26%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→39	42→50	44→55	44	196/272/305	109	295	9	6	34%	9%	60	-1.0	191/297/306	115	253	10	15	26%	13%	72	-0.2	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6