Brooks Bryan

C Columbia Fireflies

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 222 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1571ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A/INTL2 orgs	176	.307/.394/.516	6	6	118	—	.266/.336/.395
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBKC	248	.211/.276/.335	5	3	72	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBKC	38	.212/.277/.337	1	0	75	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBKC	83	.214/.280/.343	2	1	78	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$1M2034Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wOBA89

wRC+88

K%75

ISO70

BB%45

Whiff%38

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsDrew Ellis (age 23) · Jakson Reetz (age 23) · Ryan Costello (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .273 / .332

PA82

HR2

K%28

BB%7

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	138	119	38	12	0	3	16	27	2	6	1	319	409	496	905	176	389	20	12	399	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	38	34	9	2	0	3	4	9	0	0	0	265	342	588	930	324	273	24	11	401	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	138	124	33	10	0	2	11	37	2	6	1	266	336	395	731	129	359	27	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	176	159	43	13	0	3	14	47	2	6	1	270	337	409	746	138	364	27	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	176	153	47	14	0	6	20	36	2	6	1	307	394	516	911	209	366	20	11	400	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	176	158	43	13	0	3	14	47	2	6	1	272	337	411	749	139	359	27	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	176	158	43	13	0	3	14	47	2	6	1	272	337	411	749	139	359	27	8	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	0%	248	226	47	10	1	5	18	69	2	3	1	211	276	335	611	124	277	28	7	274	72	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	30%	128	117	25	5	1	3	9	35	1	1	0	214	280	344	624	130	279	27	7	280	75	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	44%	188	170	38	8	1	5	14	51	2	2	0	217	283	352	634	135	279	27	7	284	78	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	51%	245	223	48	10	1	6	18	66	2	2	0	219	285	357	642	138	280	27	7	287	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	KC	52%	281	255	55	11	1	7	21	76	3	2	1	219	286	357	643	138	280	27	7	288	81	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	KC	53%	302	273	60	12	1	8	23	81	3	2	1	219	285	355	640	137	280	27	8	287	80	-7	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	307	278	59	12	1	7	23	84	3	2	1	216	282	349	631	133	278	27	7	283	78	-8	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	KC	52%	306	277	59	12	1	7	23	84	3	1	1	213	279	341	620	128	276	27	8	278	74	-9	-0	-3	+5	+7	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	30%	38	35	8	2	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	212	277	337	614	125	277	29	8	276	75	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	44%	83	76	16	3	0	2	6	23	1	1	0	214	280	343	623	129	277	28	7	280	78	-2	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	51%	124	113	25	5	1	3	9	34	1	1	0	216	282	349	631	133	278	27	7	283	80	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	KC	52%	147	134	29	6	1	3	11	40	1	1	0	216	283	349	631	132	278	27	7	283	81	-3	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	KC	53%	161	146	33	7	1	4	12	43	2	1	0	216	283	346	629	131	277	27	7	282	80	-4	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	161	147	31	6	1	4	12	44	1	1	0	213	280	340	620	127	276	27	7	279	78	-4	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	KC	52%	159	145	30	6	1	3	12	44	1	1	1	210	276	333	609	123	274	28	8	274	74	-5	-0	-2	+3	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	873	796	172	35	5	20	65	239	7	6	1	216	281	348	629	132	280	27	7	280	81	-22	+1	-5	+16	+19	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	128	26	4	15	48	178	5	4	1	216	280	349	629	133	280	27	7	280	81	-17	+1	-4	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2015	1827	402	86	7	48	151	547	20	19	5	220	287	354	640	134	285	27	7	287	81	-48	+1	-11	+33	+40	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	129	28	2	15	49	176	6	6	2	219	286	350	635	131	284	27	8	287	81	-17	+0	-4	+12	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AColumbia Fireflies · 138 PAwOBA .392 → .326 (−66)K% 19.6% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.57%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	26.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.59%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	8.00%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.13%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.045	—	24.02%
Doubles /BIP	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.045	—	11.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.045	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.26%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	2.61%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .392 → .326; ISO .176 → .143; BABIP .389 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
#2Gerald Lairdlast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	37	21	244	305	354	+48	-40	3.7	5.4
/162	664	9	5	+11.9	-9.8	0.9	pk7: 7
#3Chris Widger'95-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,998 PA	3.0	1,998	55	10	227*	283*	381*	+33	-0	3.6	4.1
/162	664	18	3	+11.1	-0.2	1.2	pk7: 5
#4Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	957	23	7	217	280	351	+17	-8	1.9	1.9
/162	664	16	5	+11.9	-5.6	1.3	pk7: 2
#5Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brooks Bryan (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	209/273/332	123	277	2	1	28%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→38	47→55	37→40	45	204/267/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	206/284/354	148	268	16	3	28%	9%	81	-0.1	186/283/356	170	238	19	4	29%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	42→33	40→55	39→45	43	201/278/290	89	284	8	5	30%	7%	63	-1.3	198/277/316	118	286	12	5	33%	7%	70	-0.9	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	41→39	50	42→30	47	214/284/368	154	273	17	4	28%	9%	84	+0.1	202/278/337	135	292	15	4	33%	9%	74	-0.5	170/260/301	131	253	15	0	37%	11%	58	-1.2
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	42→40	43	203/264/334	131	264	15	4	29%	7%	69	-0.9	213/268/317	104	301	10	5	31%	6%	65	-1.2	197/247/259	63	294	6	0	34%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Jon Talley 2012 · A	23	39→41	48→50	39→30	38	199/257/337	139	293	16	2	37%	7%	66	-1.1	199/256/318	119	295	12	3	35%	6%	61	-1.5	185/244/293	108	274	10	1	34%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Brett Cumberland 2018 · A	23	41	45	38→30	36	195/294/323	128	316	13	3	38%	6%	80	-0.2	201/297/329	128	294	14	3	34%	8%	81	-0.1	177/295/278	101	266	11	1	34%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	39→36	47→50	42→40	39	199/250/342	143	275	14	6	33%	6%	65	-1.2	205/271/347	142	266	15	4	28%	7%	74	-0.6	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2023 · AA	23	40	45	42→45	52	200/295/324	124	280	13	6	32%	12%	78	-0.3	181/261/276	95	256	9	6	31%	9%	54	-2.0	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	41→44	46→55	41→40	44	207/273/335	128	257	14	3	25%	6%	72	-0.7	211/272/370	159	286	20	3	32%	7%	80	-0.1	215/279/377	162	266	21	3	27%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Bryce Willits 2024 · A	24	44→43	44→45	40→45	47	219/289/327	108	289	13	4	28%	9%	76	-0.4	207/269/293	86	284	7	8	27%	7%	60	-1.6	195/255/265	70	268	4	8	27%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	43→44	43→50	42→40	42	211/278/315	104	301	11	4	32%	7%	69	-0.9	213/278/334	121	292	14	4	30%	8%	74	-0.6	224/283/361	136	280	17	2	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jack Mayfield 2015 · A	24	44→45	42→55	37→50	42	216/264/326	110	273	9	5	24%	5%	65	-1.2	217/263/342	125	266	14	6	24%	5%	70	-0.9	218/266/393	174	252	22	7	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Tyler Ogle 2014 · A	23	44→43	45→50	39→30	55	220/312/345	124	258	13	5	20%	10%	89	+0.5	216/294/358	142	266	17	3	24%	9%	85	+0.2	204/279/353	149	250	19	0	26%	8%	76	-0.2
✕John Whittleman 2010 · AA	23	42→45	43→50	41→45	52	206/292/323	117	276	10	4	28%	11%	76	-0.4	189/271/326	137	257	15	3	31%	10%	70	-0.9	172/259/320	148	230	18	1	32%	11%	63	-1.0
✕Zack Collins 2018 · AA	23	37→42	48→50	41→40	47	185/278/325	140	290	16	2	39%	11%	72	-0.7	204/302/356	152	310	17	3	36%	12%	88	+0.4	199/306/353	154	293	17	2	34%	13%	89	+0.4
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	36	43→50	41→40	40	181/249/297	116	289	11	3	39%	8%	54	-2.0	193/251/289	96	268	8	4	29%	7%	53	-2.1	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Emerson Frostad 2007 · A	24	47	49→50	38→40	45	237/291/393	156	291	17	5	24%	7%	92	+0.7	219/277/349	130	283	13	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	206/270/323	116	265	11	3	25%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	39→37	41→50	43→30	41	192/260/290	98	285	9	3	34%	7%	57	-1.8	212/282/340	128	259	14	2	23%	8%	76	-0.4	208/281/337	129	245	15	1	21%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Michael Wing 2012 · A	23	49→50	47→55	35→40	41	245/290/379	135	305	14	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4	214/254/333	119	280	11	5	27%	4%	63	-1.3	224/265/377	153	286	16	4	27%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Mitchell Tolman 2017 · A	23	45→47	40→45	39→50	51	214/284/298	84	251	8	7	18%	8%	67	-1.1	216/289/308	92	291	8	9	26%	8%	72	-0.7	218/288/333	115	286	10	8	26%	7%	74	-0.4

Brooks Bryan

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps