Brooks Bryan — OGILVIE

Brooks BryanC Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 222 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 19 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .263 / .278

PA19

HR0

K%26

BB%5

BABIP298

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$37M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2033	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$28M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	22	A MLE	KC	—	138	125	35	10	0	3	10	38	2	6	1	280	343	432	775	152	376	28	7	326	107	+1	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	KC	—	138	119	38	12	0	3	16	27	2	6	1	319	409	496	905	176	389	20	12	399	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	KC	0%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	222	263	278	541	56	302	26	5	294	85	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	KC	—	157	143	39	11	0	3	11	43	2	6	1	273	333	413	746	140	367	27	7	322	104	+1	+1	-0	+3	+3	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	43%	354	322	74	17	1	8	25	96	4	4	1	230	293	363	657	134	299	27	7	296	87	-6	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.8
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	58%	457	416	97	21	2	12	33	121	5	5	1	233	297	380	677	147	299	26	7	301	90	-5	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	65%	520	471	111	24	2	14	38	137	6	5	1	236	301	384	685	149	299	26	7	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	68%	520	471	111	24	2	14	38	136	6	4	1	236	301	384	685	149	299	26	7	307	94	-4	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2031	27	MLB MLE	KC	68%	520	470	111	24	2	14	39	136	6	4	1	236	303	385	688	149	299	26	8	307	94	-4	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2032	28	MLB MLE	KC	68%	520	470	111	24	2	14	39	137	6	4	1	236	303	385	688	149	298	26	8	306	93	-4	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	KC	66%	520	469	110	24	2	14	40	138	6	4	1	235	303	384	687	149	297	27	8	304	92	-5	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	KC	66%	520	469	109	23	2	14	40	140	6	4	1	232	301	380	681	147	296	27	8	301	90	-6	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	KC	65%	504	455	104	22	2	13	39	137	5	3	1	229	297	371	668	143	294	27	8	297	87	-8	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.9
2036	32	MLB MLE	KC	65%	489	444	99	21	1	12	37	135	5	3	1	223	290	356	646	133	290	28	8	291	83	-10	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.5
2037	33	MLB MLE	KC	65%	473	429	93	19	1	11	36	133	5	3	1	217	285	343	628	126	285	28	8	284	78	-12	+0	-5	+8	+10	0.2
2038	34	MLB MLE	KC	60%	437	397	84	17	1	10	33	125	4	3	1	212	279	335	614	123	279	29	8	275	72	-15	+0	-6	+8	+9	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	KC	43%	153	139	32	7	1	3	11	41	2	2	0	230	296	360	656	129	295	27	7	283	87	-2	+0	-0	+3	+3	0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	58%	265	241	55	12	1	6	19	70	3	3	1	228	293	361	654	133	295	26	7	288	90	-3	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	65%	337	305	70	15	1	8	25	89	4	3	1	230	296	364	660	134	295	26	7	291	92	-3	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	68%	354	321	75	16	2	9	26	93	4	3	1	234	299	380	679	146	295	26	7	292	94	-3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	KC	68%	354	320	74	16	1	9	27	93	4	3	1	231	299	372	671	141	295	26	8	292	94	-3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	KC	68%	353	319	74	16	1	9	27	93	4	3	1	232	300	373	673	141	294	26	8	291	93	-3	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	KC	66%	345	312	71	15	1	9	26	92	4	3	1	228	295	369	664	141	293	27	8	290	92	-3	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.9
2034	30	MLB CTX	KC	66%	341	308	70	15	1	8	26	92	4	2	0	227	296	360	656	133	292	27	8	287	90	-4	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.8
2035	31	MLB CTX	KC	65%	328	297	66	14	1	8	25	89	3	2	0	222	289	357	646	135	290	27	8	283	87	-5	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.6
2036	32	MLB CTX	KC	65%	316	286	62	13	1	7	24	87	3	2	0	217	284	343	627	126	286	28	8	278	83	-6	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.4
2037	33	MLB CTX	KC	65%	305	276	59	12	1	7	23	86	3	2	0	214	281	341	622	127	282	28	8	271	78	-8	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.1
2038	34	MLB CTX	KC	60%	262	237	49	10	1	5	20	75	3	2	0	207	277	321	598	114	275	29	8	262	72	-9	+0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3713	3361	757	161	13	88	279	1000	41	30	6	225	293	359	652	134	292	27	8	285	88	-53	+4	-18	+66	+80	8.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	132	28	2	15	49	175	7	5	1	224	292	355	647	131	291	27	8	285	88	-9	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5853	5301	1218	261	20	150	438	1576	64	46	12	230	296	371	668	142	296	27	7	298	88	-85	+4	-29	+105	+127	12.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	135	29	2	17	49	175	7	5	1	229	296	372	668	143	295	27	8	298	88	-9	+0	-3	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#5Nick Hundleylast yr '19 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	93	15	247	299	405	+60	-31	10.3	10.8
/162	664	18	3	+11.9	-6.0	2.0	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,033	103	33	230	292	371	+72	-18	12.1	10.5
/162	664	17	5	+11.9	-3.0	2.0	pk7: 9
#6Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brooks Bryan (OGILVIE)	22	30→35	45→60	30	45	229/290/362	134	302	7	7	28%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	45	205/268/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	205/283/350	145	268	16	3	28%	9%	80	-0.2	183/280/352	170	235	19	4	30%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Zach Fisher 2014 · A	22	43	43→50	43→30	45	213/267/330	117	256	10	3	21%	6%	68	-1.0	230/281/356	126	294	12	4	25%	6%	79	-0.2	247/294/394	146	309	16	0	25%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jakson Reetz 2019 · A	23	41→33	40→55	39→45	43	198/274/287	88	281	8	5	30%	7%	61	-1.5	198/277/315	117	286	12	5	33%	7%	70	-0.9	193/274/380	187	243	23	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Eric Haase 2015 · A	22	38→42	48→60	42→40	37	197/247/340	144	288	16	3	37%	6%	63	-1.3	192/249/351	159	292	17	4	39%	6%	67	-1.1	217/276/424	207	286	30	2	35%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	68	-1.0	180/243/263	83	270	8	5	34%	7%	44	-2.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Óscar Hernández 2015 · A	22	41	44→50	41→40	39	206/251/323	117	265	11	4	27%	5%	60	-1.6	198/245/311	113	259	11	5	27%	5%	55	-1.9	162/212/257	95	207	10	1	27%	5%	28	-1.3
✕Jason Vosler 2016 · A	22	41→44	44→55	42→40	46	206/265/319	113	240	12	5	20%	6%	65	-1.2	205/265/326	121	262	12	3	26%	6%	67	-1.1	213/279/377	164	265	21	3	28%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Michael Pérez 2015 · A	22	36	43→50	41→40	40	180/248/296	116	288	11	3	39%	8%	53	-2.1	194/252/288	94	269	8	4	29%	7%	53	-2.1	222/282/338	116	285	12	0	25%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Omar Martinez 2023 · A	22	42→38	44→45	42→40	47	204/290/318	114	288	12	5	31%	9%	75	-0.5	196/278/320	124	295	14	5	35%	10%	71	-0.8	181/265/299	118	275	15	3	37%	10%	59	-1.2
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	41→39	50	42→30	47	214/284/368	154	274	17	4	28%	9%	84	+0.1	201/278/335	134	291	14	4	33%	9%	74	-0.6	169/258/297	128	251	15	0	37%	11%	56	-1.3
✕John Whittleman 2009 · AA	22	43	43→50	39→45	50	207/286/324	116	284	10	3	29%	10%	74	-0.5	194/273/316	122	262	12	3	29%	10%	68	-1.0	174/260/322	148	233	18	1	32%	10%	63	-1.0
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2018 · A	23	39	47→50	42→40	42	204/265/335	132	265	15	4	29%	7%	69	-0.9	214/269/319	105	302	10	5	31%	6%	66	-1.1	199/250/262	63	298	6	0	34%	6%	42	-0.9
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	76	-0.4	232/294/362	130	290	12	8	23%	7%	85	+0.2	226/287/350	124	285	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	43→42	43→50	38→30	37	216/252/326	110	292	11	2	30%	4%	61	-1.5	227/270/375	148	305	19	3	31%	5%	80	-0.2	211/258/366	155	285	22	1	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→41	46→55	45	42	198/268/329	131	290	14	8	35%	8%	69	-0.9	208/276/351	143	291	16	8	32%	8%	77	-0.3	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Blake Ochoa 2008 · A	22	43	41→45	41→40	40	209/257/306	97	272	8	5	26%	5%	58	-1.7	227/284/345	118	284	11	4	23%	7%	78	-0.3	233/296/372	139	280	15	2	22%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Tom Murphy 2014 · AA	23	41→38	50→65	42→45	39	211/275/365	155	299	17	5	34%	6%	80	-0.2	209/263/374	165	291	20	5	34%	6%	78	-0.3	247/319/462	215	314	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.1
✕Travis Scott 2008 · A	23	44	50→55	43→40	44	225/284/373	148	289	18	3	28%	7%	84	+0.2	224/278/380	156	289	18	5	28%	7%	84	+0.1	218/272/379	160	276	18	3	27%	6%	80	-0.1
●Josmil Pinto 2011 · A	22	41→51	47→50	41→40	42	213/260/352	138	256	15	3	24%	5%	70	-0.8	232/281/369	137	286	14	2	23%	6%	82	+0.0	252/318/406	154	302	16	0	21%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Brett Cumberland 2018 · A	23	41→40	45	38→30	36	195/294/323	128	316	13	3	38%	6%	79	-0.2	200/295/328	128	293	14	3	34%	8%	80	-0.1	174/292/275	101	262	11	1	34%	8%	65	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps