Landon Beidelschies

P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 230 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.7 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECTFG #527MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP41ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	AATL	2	2	6	7.11	5.63	25.8%	6.5%	—	K 25.8% · BB 6.5% · FIP 5.28
2026	22	AATL	22	20	86	5.97	4.54	19.7%	13.7%	—	K 14.6% · BB 16.2% · FIP 5.52
2027PROJ	23	MLBATL	12	12	62	5.79	5.79	15.3%	15.5%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBATL	6	6	34	5.46	5.33	17.6%	13.5%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBATL	9	9	53	5.18	5.05	18.9%	12.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$2M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control50Command50FB velo44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsBrooks Gosswein (age 23) · Erik Rivera (age 23) · Bodi Rascon (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127135vR 143

ERA5.79

FIP5.79

K%15.3%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%-0.2%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL—50

CMD4050

K†3050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.28	—
2025	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.28	—
2025	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	2	2	6	31	8	2	2	100%	3.2	25.8%	6.5%	19.4%	6.5%	7.11	5.63	—
2026	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	22	20	86	401	79	55	9	91%	3.9	14.6%	16.2%	-1.6%	2.9%	5.97	5.52	—
2026	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	22	20	86	401	79	55	9	91%	3.9	14.6%	16.2%	-1.6%	2.9%	5.97	5.52	—
2026	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	22	20	86	401	79	55	9	91%	3.9	19.7%	13.7%	6.0%	2.2%	5.97	4.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	ATL	12	12	62	262	40	41	8	100%	5.2	15.3%	15.5%	-0.2%	3.0%	5.79	5.79	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	79	335	59	45	10	100%	5.7	17.6%	13.5%	4.1%	3.0%	5.46	5.33	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	14	14	80	339	64	41	10	100%	5.7	18.9%	12.2%	6.7%	2.9%	5.18	5.05	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	80	339	67	41	10	100%	6.2	19.6%	12.0%	7.7%	2.9%	5.03	4.96	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	79	334	72	37	10	100%	6.1	21.7%	11.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.83	4.70	+0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	ATL	13	13	77	324	70	37	10	100%	5.9	21.6%	11.3%	10.3%	3.1%	4.81	4.79	+0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	ATL	12	12	73	309	66	36	10	100%	6.1	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.2%	4.88	4.92	-0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	ATL	11	11	69	290	61	34	10	100%	6.3	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.01	5.10	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	6	6	34	144	25	19	4	100%	5.7	17.6%	13.5%	4.1%	3.0%	5.46	5.33	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	9	9	53	224	42	27	7	100%	5.9	18.9%	12.2%	6.7%	2.9%	5.18	5.05	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	64	270	53	32	8	100%	5.8	19.6%	12.0%	7.7%	2.9%	5.03	4.96	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	67	283	61	31	8	100%	6.1	21.7%	11.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.83	4.70	+0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	68	287	62	32	9	100%	6.2	21.6%	11.3%	10.3%	3.1%	4.81	4.79	+0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	67	283	60	33	9	100%	6.1	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.2%	4.88	4.92	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	ATL	10	10	63	266	56	31	9	100%	6.3	21.0%	11.8%	9.2%	3.4%	5.01	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	70	416	1758	360	207	55	100%	5.9	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	3.1%	4.99	4.57	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	173	99	26	100%	5.9	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	3.1%	4.99	4.57	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		24	22	92	432	66	67	14	92%	3.8	15.4%	15.5%	-0.1%	3.2%	6.04	5.50	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	48	200	936	144	145	30	92%	3.8	15.4%	15.5%	-0.1%	3.2%	6.04	5.50	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landon Beidelschies (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.79	15.3%	15.5%	3.0%	—	5.11	18.7%	6.1%	240	-0.68	—	—	—
Brooks Gosswein L 2022 · 5.13 FIP	23	SP	5.13	14.7%	14.8%	2.5%	.328	5.61	15.2%	-2.7%	66	+0.48	5.13	165	86
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	79
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	79
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	78
Rob Zastryzny L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	23	SP	5.33	13.8%	10.9%	3.7%	.345	4.28	18.5%	9.1%	268	-1.05	3.31	634	78
Garrett Olson L 2007 · 5.11 FIP	23	SP	5.11	17.3%	16.7%	2.5%	.369	5.17	14.1%	4.6%	251	+0.06	4.57	283	78
John Kilichowski L 2017 · 6.70 FIP	23	SP	6.70	14.0%	16.3%	4.9%	.377	4.99	17.6%	1.4%	38	-1.71	4.10	115	78
Russell Smith L 2022 · 5.14 FIP	23	SP	5.14	16.0%	10.4%	3.8%	.272	4.64	21.2%	7.8%	107	-0.50	4.00	175	77
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	76
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	76
Cameron Bishop L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	23	SP	4.65	16.6%	13.9%	2.2%	.316	3.42	23.8%	11.5%	66	-1.23	2.86	305	75
Lucas Gordon L 2024 · 5.61 FIP	22	SP	5.61	16.3%	15.7%	3.5%	.212	5.08	20.0%	8.1%	225	-0.53	4.44	338	75
Brandon Claussen L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	25	SP	4.80	14.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.314	4.56	16.5%	9.2%	244	-0.24	4.41	310	75
Doug Nikhazy L 2023 · 5.39 FIP	23	SP	5.39	21.9%	16.9%	3.6%	.304	4.71	20.2%	9.3%	258	-0.68	4.12	463	75
Frank Mozzicato L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	21	SP	5.34	16.4%	16.7%	2.8%	.238	6.33	18.8%	-2.2%	165	+0.99	5.00	428	74
Andy Oliver L 2010 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP	4.66	17.6%	10.8%	3.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	187	74
Jhordany Mezquita L 2021 · 5.16 FIP	23	SP-	5.16	17.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.321	5.10	22.4%	14.0%	14	-0.06	3.02	223	74
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2023 · 5.99 FIP	21	SP-	5.99	13.6%	16.7%	3.5%	.209	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	128	73
Jeff Locke L 2011 · 6.46 FIP	23	SP	6.46	6.4%	12.8%	4.2%	.300	4.17	17.6%	8.4%	332	-2.29	3.79	676	73
Connor O'Halloran L 2024 · 5.09 FIP	21	SP	5.09	17.2%	12.3%	3.4%	.287	6.36	14.3%	-6.0%	32	+1.27	5.09	136	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.0	75	19.7%	12.3%	1.19	5.11
Justin Miller ('10)	1.9	63	18.1%	11.3%	1.17	4.82
Jay Witasick ('07)	3.7	73	19.6%	11.0%	1.19	4.64
Brian Boehringer ('04)	2.7	67	18.2%	11.5%	1.08	4.36
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Jerry Johnson ('68-'77, -4 WAR*)	3.9	77	19.4%*	11.3%*	1.06*	5.08*