Carter Garate — OGILVIE

Carter GarateSS Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 23 L/R A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .273 / .312

PA1

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP284

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	196	171	33	7	0	3	13	54	7	1	1	193	277	287	564	94	259	28	7	256	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	196	176	27	5	0	3	8	71	7	1	1	153	220	233	453	80	217	36	4	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	196	176	27	5	0	3	8	71	7	1	1	153	220	233	453	80	231	36	4	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	196	171	33	7	0	3	13	54	7	1	1	193	277	287	564	94	259	28	7	256	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	196	179	27	5	0	3	8	71	7	1	1	151	220	229	449	78	217	36	4	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	196	179	27	5	0	3	8	71	7	1	1	151	220	229	449	78	217	36	4	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	306	278	59	11	2	5	20	88	5	4	1	210	272	310	582	100	285	29	7	264	65	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	210	273	312	585	102	284	0	0	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	30%	221	202	43	8	1	4	14	62	3	2	1	213	277	320	597	107	286	28	6	270	69	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	44%	307	280	61	11	2	6	20	86	4	3	1	216	280	328	608	112	287	28	7	274	72	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	366	333	73	14	2	7	25	101	5	4	1	218	282	335	617	117	287	28	7	278	74	-11	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	396	361	79	15	2	8	27	109	5	4	1	218	283	336	619	118	287	28	7	279	75	-12	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	412	375	81	15	2	8	29	113	5	4	2	218	283	335	618	117	286	27	7	279	75	-12	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	415	378	81	15	2	8	29	115	5	4	2	216	281	329	610	114	285	28	7	275	72	-14	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	413	377	80	15	2	7	28	116	5	4	3	213	277	322	599	109	284	28	7	271	69	-15	-0	-2	+4	+9	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	30%	67	62	12	2	0	1	4	19	1	1	0	214	277	323	601	109	286	28	6	271	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	44%	136	124	28	5	1	3	9	38	2	1	0	217	280	332	612	115	286	28	7	276	72	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	186	168	37	7	1	4	13	51	3	2	1	219	283	339	622	120	286	27	7	280	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	208	189	40	7	1	4	14	57	3	2	1	219	284	340	624	121	286	27	7	281	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	220	200	44	8	1	5	15	60	3	2	1	219	284	339	623	120	286	27	7	280	75	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	218	198	43	8	1	4	15	60	3	2	1	216	281	333	614	117	284	28	7	277	72	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	215	195	42	8	1	4	15	60	3	2	2	214	278	326	603	112	283	28	7	272	69	-8	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1250	1136	246	45	6	25	85	345	18	12	6	217	282	333	614	116	286	28	7	277	68	-41	+0	-2	+13	+27	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	127	23	3	13	44	179	9	6	3	215	280	330	609	115	284	28	7	277	68	-21	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2892	2634	556	104	14	53	191	821	41	28	13	211	275	322	597	110	283	28	7	269	68	-90	+1	-4	+29	+58	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	125	23	3	12	43	185	9	6	3	211	275	321	596	110	283	28	7	269	68	-22	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,250	24	12	217	279	332	+13	+9	0.7	0.7
/162	664	13	7	+7.1	+4.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Garate (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	208/270/307	99	285	2	2	29%	6%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Hunter Fitz-Gerald 2024 · A	23	44→43	40→50	49→50	41	210/269/305	94	313	7	6	33%	7%	63	-1.4	223/276/347	124	333	11	8	34%	6%	75	-0.5	224/276/371	147	327	16	9	35%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Rubel Cespedes 2024 · A	23	41→46	43→45	46→40	40	204/255/314	109	279	11	4	30%	6%	59	-1.6	214/262/322	108	278	11	4	26%	6%	64	-1.3	213/263/317	104	269	10	3	24%	6%	60	-1.2
✕Levi Hyams 2013 · A	23	41→47	42→40	47→45	42	206/256/306	101	271	10	9	28%	6%	58	-1.7	212/270/300	88	288	5	8	26%	7%	61	-1.5	213/274/302	88	288	4	7	26%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	35	41→50	42→40	42	178/243/275	96	257	9	4	33%	7%	47	-2.6	210/262/308	98	279	8	3	26%	6%	61	-1.5	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	39→37	41→50	43→30	41	192/260/290	98	285	9	3	34%	7%	57	-1.8	212/282/340	128	259	14	2	23%	8%	76	-0.4	208/281/337	129	245	15	1	21%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→40	42→45	44→55	45	198/274/307	110	297	9	6	34%	9%	66	-1.1	190/290/299	109	249	10	15	25%	12%	71	-0.8	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕LJ Talley 2021 · A	24	38→48	43→45	50	42	195/250/305	110	253	12	6	28%	6%	56	-1.9	220/279/331	111	280	11	9	24%	7%	72	-0.7	217/281/325	107	273	11	10	24%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	40→47	41→45	47→50	42	197/272/302	105	277	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	213/283/307	94	282	7	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	198/282/292	94	261	8	17	25%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Hutton Moyer 2016 · A	23	39→42	42→50	50	36	192/249/301	109	268	9	7	31%	4%	55	-1.9	204/253/332	128	301	13	13	35%	5%	63	-1.3	195/243/329	133	287	15	15	36%	4%	56	-0.8
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Matt Wallach 2010 · A	24	41	41→45	46→40	42	201/255/303	101	263	9	3	26%	6%	57	-1.8	215/280/329	114	256	11	4	20%	7%	73	-0.6	213/285/325	112	244	13	3	18%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→45	47→30	41	207/267/304	97	289	9	5	31%	6%	62	-1.4	193/273/308	115	277	10	3	31%	9%	66	-1.1	168/258/285	117	236	11	0	32%	10%	54	-0.8
✕Steven Lerud 2008 · A	23	37→42	42→45	43→40	37	185/249/288	103	277	9	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	208/273/311	103	282	10	4	28%	6%	66	-1.1	199/289/281	82	285	7	2	29%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	40→45	50→30	42	208/259/303	95	280	8	8	28%	6%	59	-1.7	210/270/304	94	317	6	3	33%	7%	63	-1.4	201/266/291	90	303	6	1	33%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Torsten Boss 2014 · A	23	41→38	41→45	48→45	41	200/258/300	100	283	9	6	32%	7%	57	-1.8	191/259/305	114	296	12	5	37%	8%	59	-1.6	148/230/263	115	233	13	1	40%	9%	38	-1.7
✕Bligh Madris 2019 · A	23	41→48	42→50	44→50	39	203/252/307	104	281	10	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	221/272/326	105	289	9	4	26%	6%	68	-1.0	219/286/346	126	287	12	8	26%	8%	77	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps