Tommy Hawke

OF Lake County Captains

Age 25 L/R 5'8" / 151 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+CLE	19	.278/.316/.278	0	2	36	—	.222/.263/.222
2025	23	ALynchburg Hil…	267	.309/.455/.382	0	63	101	—	.259/.371/.321
2026	24	A+CLE	417	.291/.420/.377	2	43	93	—	.256/.352/.329
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBCLE	2	.225/.323/.286	0	0	79	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBCLE	106	.228/.325/.305	1	5	84	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBCLE	158	.228/.324/.307	1	7	84	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%94

Chase%93

Speed89

K%87

BB%87

Z-Con%76

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsTony Campana (age 25) · Jacob Hurtubise (age 25) · Jeremy Arocho (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .323 / .286

PA2

HR0

K%23

BB%12

BABIP297

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	21	17	4	1	0	0	4	6	0	2	1	235	381	294	675	59	364	29	19	323	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	391	323	85	12	6	1	59	78	4	37	11	263	383	347	730	84	339	20	15	335	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	19	18	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0	278	316	278	594		357	21	5	275	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	267	207	64	11	2	0	53	44	3	63	5	309	455	382	836	72	388	16	20	385	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Lake County Captains	—	417	337	98	17	3	2	72	70	3	43	8	291	420	377	797	86	357	17	17	365	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	9	0	2	1	158	238	211	449	53	282	43	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	391	344	76	11	6	1	38	108	4	37	11	221	306	297	602	76	304	28	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	19	18	4	0	0	0	1	5	0	2	0	222	263	222	485		318	26	5	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	267	224	58	10	2	0	37	61	3	63	5	259	371	321	693	62	346	23	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	417	359	92	14	3	2	50	89	3	43	8	256	352	329	681	72	323	21	12	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	9	0	2	1	158	238	211	449	53	300	43	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	21	17	4	1	0	0	4	6	0	2	1	235	381	294	675	59	364	29	19	323	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	391	344	76	11	6	1	38	108	4	37	11	221	306	297	602	76	314	28	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	391	323	85	12	6	1	59	78	4	37	11	263	383	347	730	84	339	20	15	335	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	242	62	10	2	0	38	66	3	65	5	256	364	314	678	58	348	23	13	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	286	225	69	11	2	0	54	48	3	65	5	307	445	373	819	67	385	17	19	377	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	417	359	92	14	3	2	50	89	3	43	8	256	352	329	681	72	331	21	12	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	417	337	98	17	3	2	72	70	3	43	8	291	420	377	797	86	357	17	17	365	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	9	0	2	1	158	238	211	449	53	282	43	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	391	346	76	11	6	1	38	108	4	37	11	220	306	295	600	75	304	28	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	243	62	10	2	0	38	66	3	65	5	255	364	313	677	58	344	23	13	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	417	361	92	14	3	2	50	89	3	43	8	255	352	327	679	72	323	21	12	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	391	346	76	11	6	1	38	108	4	37	11	220	306	295	600	75	304	28	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	286	243	62	10	2	0	38	66	3	65	5	255	364	313	677	58	344	23	13	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	417	361	92	14	3	2	50	89	3	43	8	255	352	327	679	72	323	21	12	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	380	329	75	13	3	1	45	86	3	22	4	225	323	288	611	63	298	23	12	285	79	-10	+3	+0	-2	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	CLE	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	225	323	286	609	62	297	0	0	284	79	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CLE	30%	350	303	69	12	2	2	41	79	3	18	3	228	325	306	632	78	298	23	12	292	84	-7	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	CLE	42%	378	328	75	13	2	3	44	86	3	17	3	228	324	309	633	81	297	23	12	292	84	-7	+2	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	394	343	77	13	2	3	45	90	3	14	2	227	322	309	631	82	296	23	11	291	83	-8	+2	-1	-2	+9	-0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	CLE	49%	396	345	77	13	2	3	45	92	3	12	2	226	319	308	627	82	294	23	11	289	82	-9	+2	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	CLE	50%	396	346	78	13	2	4	44	93	3	10	2	224	315	305	620	81	292	23	11	286	80	-10	+1	-2	-2	+9	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	CLE	30%	106	92	22	4	1	1	12	24	1	5	1	228	325	305	630	76	297	23	11	291	84	-2	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	CLE	42%	158	138	31	5	1	1	18	36	1	7	1	228	324	307	631	79	297	23	11	292	84	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	188	164	37	6	1	2	21	43	1	7	1	227	322	308	629	80	296	23	11	291	83	-4	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	CLE	49%	195	170	39	7	1	2	22	45	1	6	1	226	319	306	625	81	294	23	11	289	82	-4	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	CLE	50%	199	174	39	7	1	2	22	47	1	5	1	224	315	304	619	80	292	24	11	286	80	-5	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	846	738	168	29	5	8	95	195	5	30	5	228	320	313	633	85	296	23	11	289	83	-18	+4	-2	-5	+18	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	129	22	4	6	73	150	4	23	4	228	320	312	632	85	296	23	11	289	83	-14	+3	-2	-4	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3349	2906	672	111	23	19	385	785	27	237	40	231	327	305	632	74	307	23	11	290	83	-48	+12	-4	-13	+48	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	564	131	22	4	4	75	152	5	46	8	232	328	307	634	74	308	23	12	290	83	-14	+3	-1	-4	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#4Herbie Moran'08-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,518 PA	3.8	2,518	2	103	236*	329*	348*	-18	-17	1.0	1.0
/162	664	1	27	-4.7	-4.5	0.3	pk7: 1
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	847	7	30	227	318	309	-5	+0	0.4	0.4
/162	664	6	23	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 0
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tommy Hawke (OGILVIE)	25	55	20	60	60	223/320/285	63	298	1	19	23%	12%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tony Campana 2011 · AA	25	58→64	34→30	59→70	44	268/309/318	50	339	1	38	21%	5%	79	-0.2	259/303/316	57	340	2	49	23%	6%	76	-0.4	256/303/305	48	342	1	62	24%	6%	72	-0.4
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	51→61	35→40	58→60	49	230/323/291	60	314	2	30	25%	9%	81	-0.1	243/343/330	87	310	5	33	21%	9%	97	+1.1	237/347/319	82	303	5	37	20%	10%	95	+0.5
✕Jeremy Arocho 2024 · A	25	48→44	35→30	61→60	59	218/322/276	58	290	2	31	23%	13%	77	-0.3	211/296/274	63	278	3	27	22%	11%	66	-1.1	199/287/241	42	260	1	35	22%	11%	53	-1.6
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	50	226/301/295	69	301	2	41	24%	9%	73	-0.6	210/290/283	73	294	4	29	27%	9%	66	-1.1	161/263/185	24	243	0	34	30%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Brad Coon 2008 · AA	25	51→58	36→40	58→60	47	239/293/309	69	299	3	32	20%	7%	72	-0.7	246/307/316	70	305	5	22	19%	7%	79	-0.2	246/311/312	66	307	5	19	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Quintin Berry 2010 · AA	25	54→61	36→40	56→65	46	249/312/314	65	328	4	32	24%	7%	80	-0.1	232/299/308	76	314	5	34	25%	8%	74	-0.5	230/301/305	76	314	4	40	26%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Adam Klein 2008 · A	24	46	35→30	57→60	59	209/325/269	60	294	2	27	26%	13%	78	-0.3	225/322/291	66	309	2	16	24%	12%	80	-0.1	233/338/289	56	314	1	17	23%	13%	85	+0.1
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2024 · AA	25	53→58	41→40	59→60	46	251/305/353	101	312	7	31	21%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/330	85	317	5	25	23%	7%	80	-0.1	248/308/313	65	326	3	26	23%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2011 · AA	25	56→60	37→40	61→60	51	260/326/337	77	328	3	36	20%	9%	91	+0.6	241/303/322	81	306	4	34	21%	8%	79	-0.2	231/294/305	74	294	3	39	21%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Ian Miller 2017 · AA	25	52→59	34→40	64→60	46	242/289/300	58	293	1	37	17%	6%	68	-1.0	245/292/322	77	310	4	33	21%	5%	74	-0.5	243/292/329	86	310	6	35	22%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	36→30	63→60	55	227/321/300	73	284	3	39	19%	10%	82	-0.0	235/317/307	72	298	4	22	20%	10%	82	-0.0	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
●Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	54→64	36→30	61→60	51	251/322/323	72	306	3	38	18%	8%	86	+0.3	270/336/323	53	317	2	32	14%	8%	91	+0.7	284/345/321	37	331	0	35	13%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Jacob Young 2024 · MLB	25	52→57	38→40	63→60	47	247/306/329	82	304	4	33	20%	6%	82	-0.0	245/305/331	86	299	6	29	19%	7%	82	-0.0	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Kyle Wren 2015 · AA	24	56→62	36→40	60	45	261/303/339	77	319	2	32	18%	5%	82	-0.0	253/304/319	66	314	2	28	19%	7%	78	-0.3	254/314/331	77	325	3	25	21%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Travis Jankowski 2015 · AA	24	52→62	35→40	61→65	46	243/295/306	63	309	2	36	21%	7%	72	-0.7	257/321/333	76	332	3	32	21%	8%	88	+0.4	260/330/331	71	340	2	35	22%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Zack Granite 2017 · AA	24	54→61	36→40	59→60	48	253/298/324	71	290	3	30	14%	6%	77	-0.3	250/294/327	77	282	4	24	12%	6%	76	-0.4	247/289/316	70	276	4	22	12%	5%	69	-0.7
✕Antoan Richardson 2009 · AA	25	51→58	37→40	61→60	49	237/316/311	74	312	4	32	24%	9%	82	-0.0	230/315/293	63	308	3	26	24%	9%	78	-0.3	254/346/314	60	335	1	30	22%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Jose Constanza 2010 · AA	26	56→64	35→40	60	50	261/315/323	62	310	1	31	16%	7%	83	+0.1	277/319/340	63	326	2	30	15%	6%	88	+0.4	287/326/344	57	336	2	31	14%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Matt Angle 2011 · AAA	25	55→57	35→40	57→60	49	257/310/315	57	311	3	26	18%	7%	79	-0.2	239/299/316	77	310	5	25	23%	7%	76	-0.4	232/297/313	81	310	6	25	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Jay Gonzalez 2017 · AA	25	48→51	34→30	57→60	46	219/286/277	58	321	1	28	30%	9%	62	-1.4	233/293/297	64	341	2	24	29%	8%	70	-0.9	245/306/303	58	359	0	27	29%	8%	73	-0.3

Tommy Hawke

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps