Josh Timmerman

P Carolina Mudcats

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKMIL	2	1	3	6.00	1.77	15.4%	0.0%	—	K 15.4% · BB 0.0% · FIP 1.80
2024	21	MIX2 levels	18	13	61	4.28	2.90	24.1%	13.0%	—	K 18.4% · BB 15.2% · FIP 3.46
2025	22	ACarolina Mudc…	5	0	5	11.81	11.16	25.0%	34.4%	—	K 25.0% · BB 34.4% · FIP 8.77
2027PROJ	24	MLBMIL	7	7	39	4.73	4.73	22.2%	12.0%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBMIL	3	3	17	4.62	4.56	22.7%	11.0%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Casey Legumina (age 24) · Mitch Neunborn (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.73

FIP4.73

K%22.2%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.2%

Proj IP39

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	2	1	3	13	2	0	0	50%	1.5	15.4%	0.0%	15.4%	0.0%	6.00	1.80	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	2	1	3	13	2	0	0	50%	1.5	15.4%	0.0%	15.4%	0.0%	6.00	1.77	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	13	61	270	65	35	1	72%	3.4	18.4%	15.2%	3.3%	0.0%	4.28	3.46	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	13	61	270	65	35	1	72%	3.4	18.4%	15.2%	3.3%	0.0%	4.28	3.46	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	13	61	270	65	35	1	72%	3.4	24.1%	13.0%	11.1%	0.4%	4.28	2.90	—
2025	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	5	0	5	32	8	11	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	34.4%	-9.4%	6.2%	11.81	8.77	—
2025	22	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	5	0	5	32	8	11	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	34.4%	-9.4%	6.2%	11.81	8.77	—
2025	22	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	5	0	5	32	8	11	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	34.4%	-9.4%	6.2%	11.81	11.16	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	MIL	7	7	39	165	36	20	5	100%	5.6	22.2%	12.0%	10.2%	2.9%	4.73	4.73	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIL	7	7	40	168	38	19	5	100%	5.7	22.7%	11.0%	11.7%	2.9%	4.62	4.56	+0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIL	3	3	17	72	16	8	2	100%	5.7	22.7%	11.0%	11.7%	2.9%	4.62	4.56	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	17	72	16	8	2	100%	5.7	22.7%	11.0%	11.7%	2.9%	4.62	4.18	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	188	94	23	100%	5.9	22.7%	11.0%	11.7%	2.9%	4.62	4.18	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		25	14	69	315	60	52	2	56%	2.8	19.0%	16.5%	2.5%	0.6%	4.93	3.94	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	40	200	909	172	150	6	56%	2.8	19.0%	16.5%	2.5%	0.6%	4.93	3.94	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Timmerman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	22.2%	12.0%	2.9%	—	4.56	22.7%	11.7%	40	-0.17	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	90
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	86
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	80
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	80
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	80
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	80
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	80
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	80
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	78
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	78
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	78
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	77
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	77
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	77
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	77
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	77
Drew Rasmussen R 2019 · 3.64 FIP	24	SP-	3.64	24.6%	12.6%	1.9%	.312	3.21	22.7%	16.2%	237	-0.43	1.21	694	76
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	22.4%	11.5%	1.13	4.67
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*