Dylan O'Rae

2B Biloxi Shuckers

Age 23 L/R 5'8" / 160 lbs AA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034

ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	INTLSurprise Sagu…	49	.302/.388/.395	0	6	128	—
2026	22	AAMIL	436	.273/.397/.366	3	63	99	—	.265/.357/.353
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBMIL	6	.223/.320/.292	0	0	81	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIL	212	.229/.325/.315	2	14	87	0.4
2029PROJ62% MLB	25	MLBMIL	324	.232/.327/.330	4	20	91	0.8

Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed99

Whiff%97

Chase%95

Z-Con%95

BB%90

K%83

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 81%

CompsBilly Hamilton (age 23) · Victor Scott II (age 23) · Mallex Smith (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .320 / .292

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%17

BABIP289

ISO76

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE65

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$6M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$6M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$21M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	308	438	308	745		400	21	18	346	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	107	88	29	4	0	0	17	14	1	16	4	330	443	375	818	45	387	13	16	377	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	178	130	47	4	1	0	40	23	6	28	2	362	528	408	936	46	431	13	22	433	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	298	246	42	7	0	1	45	71	5	29	7	171	311	211	522	41	234	24	15	258	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	284	229	61	7	3	0	42	51	12	33	5	266	406	323	730	57	341	18	15	345	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	355	97	12	6	3	69	79	5	63	9	273	397	366	763	93	342	18	16	348	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	250	344	250	594		343	30	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	107	93	27	3	0	0	12	19	1	16	4	290	377	323	700	32	365	18	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	178	145	42	3	1	0	25	34	6	28	2	290	415	324	739	34	366	19	14	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	298	259	43	7	0	1	32	87	5	29	7	166	270	205	475	39	244	29	11	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	284	240	58	6	2	0	31	65	12	33	5	242	357	283	640	42	329	23	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	377	100	12	6	3	49	96	5	63	9	265	357	353	710	88	342	22	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	28	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	250	344	250	594		368	30	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	26	8	0	0	0	6	7	0	4	1	308	438	308	745		400	21	18	346	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	285	238	71	7	1	0	37	53	7	44	6	298	408	336	744	38	378	19	13	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	285	218	76	8	1	0	57	37	7	44	6	349	496	394	891	46	413	13	20	412	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	498	101	13	2	1	64	152	17	62	12	203	314	243	557	40	288	26	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	582	475	103	14	3	1	87	122	17	62	12	217	358	265	623	48	288	21	15	301	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL MLE	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL RAW	Surprise Saguaros	—	49	43	13	4	0	0	5	15	1	6	1	302	388	395	783	93	464	31	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	377	100	12	6	3	49	96	5	63	9	265	357	353	710	88	346	22	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	355	97	12	6	3	69	79	5	63	9	273	397	366	763	93	342	18	16	348	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	33	29	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	4	1	241	344	241	585		343	30	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	285	239	71	7	1	0	37	53	7	44	6	297	408	335	743	38	366	19	13	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	496	101	13	2	1	64	152	17	62	12	204	314	244	558	40	285	26	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	379	100	12	6	3	49	96	5	63	9	264	357	351	708	87	342	22	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	582	496	101	13	2	1	64	152	17	62	12	204	314	244	558	40	285	26	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	436	379	100	12	6	3	49	96	5	63	9	264	357	351	708	87	342	22	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIL	2%	546	473	108	16	5	3	60	120	8	40	6	226	323	297	620	71	293	22	11	288	81	-12	+6	+0	+2	+12	0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIL	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	223	320	292	612	69	289	17	17	285	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	43%	491	427	98	14	4	5	54	107	7	33	5	231	327	319	646	87	294	22	11	297	87	-7	+5	+0	+2	+11	1.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	62%	520	451	106	16	4	7	57	113	7	32	5	234	329	333	662	98	295	22	11	303	91	-5	+4	+0	+2	+11	1.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIL	71%	537	467	109	16	4	8	58	117	7	31	5	236	330	341	671	105	295	22	11	306	93	-4	+4	+0	+2	+12	1.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIL	74%	543	473	111	17	4	8	58	119	7	29	5	235	328	342	671	107	294	22	11	306	93	-4	+4	+0	+2	+12	1.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIL	75%	542	472	110	17	4	8	58	120	7	25	4	234	326	341	667	107	293	22	11	304	92	-5	+3	-1	+2	+12	1.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIL	74%	534	465	108	16	4	8	57	120	7	21	4	232	324	335	659	103	292	22	11	301	90	-7	+3	-1	+2	+12	0.8
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	525	459	105	16	4	7	55	119	6	18	3	229	320	327	648	98	291	23	10	296	87	-8	+2	-2	+2	+11	0.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	512	448	101	15	4	6	53	118	6	13	3	225	316	318	633	93	288	23	10	291	83	-10	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	494	434	96	14	3	6	51	117	6	10	2	220	310	306	616	86	285	24	10	284	78	-13	+1	-4	+2	+11	-0.3
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	465	410	88	12	3	5	47	112	5	7	2	214	303	292	595	78	281	24	10	275	72	-15	+1	-4	+2	+10	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	43%	212	184	42	6	2	2	23	46	3	14	2	229	325	315	640	86	290	22	11	295	87	-3	+2	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	62%	324	282	65	9	3	4	35	70	4	20	3	232	327	330	657	98	291	22	11	301	91	-3	+3	+0	+1	+7	0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIL	71%	383	333	78	11	3	6	42	83	5	22	4	233	328	339	666	105	290	22	11	304	93	-3	+3	+0	+1	+8	1.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIL	74%	400	349	81	12	3	6	43	88	5	21	3	233	326	340	666	107	290	22	11	304	93	-3	+3	+0	+1	+9	1.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIL	75%	405	354	82	12	3	7	43	90	5	19	3	232	324	339	663	107	289	22	11	302	92	-4	+3	-1	+1	+9	0.9
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIL	74%	393	343	78	11	3	6	42	88	5	16	3	229	321	332	654	103	288	22	11	299	90	-5	+2	-1	+1	+9	0.6
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	382	334	77	11	3	6	40	87	5	13	2	227	318	325	643	98	287	23	10	294	87	-6	+2	-2	+1	+8	0.4
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	371	325	72	10	2	5	39	86	4	10	2	223	313	315	628	92	284	23	11	289	83	-8	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	356	312	67	9	2	4	37	84	4	7	2	218	308	303	611	85	281	24	10	282	78	-9	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	335	294	62	8	2	3	34	81	4	5	2	212	301	289	590	77	277	24	10	273	72	-11	+0	-3	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3561	3110	704	99	26	49	378	803	44	147	26	226	319	322	641	96	288	23	11	295	85	-55	+19	-11	+13	+77	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	129	18	5	9	69	147	8	27	5	227	319	324	643	97	289	23	11	295	85	-10	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	6868	5967	1387	198	50	74	742	1558	100	422	71	232	327	320	647	87	300	23	11	294	85	-87	+32	-15	+20	+119	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	132	19	5	7	70	147	9	40	7	234	328	322	650	88	301	23	11	294	85	-10	+4	-2	+2	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#2Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#3Julio Cruz'77-'86 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,437 PA	6.7	4,437	23	343	233*	321*	315*	+14	+67	12.3	12.7
/162	664	3	51	+2.2	+10.0	1.8	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.4	3,568	48	146	230	319	328	+38	+21	9.6	9.1
/162	664	9	27	+7.1	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 9
#4Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan O'Rae (OGILVIE)	23	50→55	32→37	80	65	224/320/294	70	293	2	24	22%	11%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2014 · MLB	23	53→62	37→40	76→70	45	247/298/327	81	326	4	76	25%	7%	78	-0.3	239/287/325	86	296	5	63	20%	6%	73	-0.6	242/301/327	85	311	4	55	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Victor Scott II 2024 · AA	23	52→55	41→40	70→65	45	246/304/351	104	306	7	50	21%	6%	86	+0.3	214/279/302	88	272	7	40	23%	7%	66	-1.1	197/269/275	78	252	7	40	23%	7%	56	-1.5
●Mallex Smith 2016 · AAA	23	58→64	38→45	65	48	271/330/358	88	346	4	46	22%	8%	97	+1.1	265/325/369	104	340	5	40	22%	8%	97	+1.1	268/334/376	108	341	5	43	21%	8%	102	+1.1
●Joey Gathright 2006 · MLB	25	58→66	37→30	67→60	46	269/323/352	83	338	3	47	21%	6%	93	+0.8	261/333/322	61	312	2	35	16%	8%	91	+0.6	284/345/321	37	331	0	35	13%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Billy Burns 2014 · AA	24	60→64	34→40	65	53	276/350/333	57	335	1	39	17%	8%	99	+1.3	255/306/327	72	310	3	35	17%	6%	80	-0.1	261/304/328	67	311	2	29	16%	5%	79	-0.2
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	54→62	39→45	68→65	47	256/312/352	96	325	6	38	22%	7%	88	+0.5	253/315/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	87	+0.4	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Braiden Ward 2023 · A	24	48	38→40	64→70	41	221/318/303	83	324	6	41	30%	7%	83	+0.1	226/316/313	87	315	5	49	28%	6%	84	+0.1	233/320/331	98	311	5	64	24%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Micah Johnson 2014 · AA	23	52→61	40→45	63→60	43	247/296/348	101	326	6	35	25%	6%	82	-0.0	261/306/358	97	336	6	28	23%	6%	88	+0.4	261/307/352	91	337	6	27	23%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Myles Straw 2019 · AAA	24	57→60	35→40	63→60	51	263/329/325	62	340	2	37	22%	9%	88	+0.5	258/326/326	68	332	3	33	21%	9%	88	+0.4	251/326/314	63	310	2	27	18%	10%	85	+0.2
●Dee Strange-Gordon 2012 · MLB	24	58→68	36→40	64→65	43	273/307/344	71	328	2	42	17%	4%	84	+0.2	259/305/333	74	321	2	49	19%	6%	82	-0.0	311/342/389	78	362	3	52	14%	4%	108	+1.9
●Brett Gardner 2009 · MLB	25	57→60	38→55	68→65	52	261/332/355	94	335	3	41	22%	9%	97	+1.1	260/344/363	103	317	6	45	18%	11%	103	+1.6	245/329/417	171	277	19	16	18%	10%	112	+2.2
✕Enrique Bradfield Jr. 2024 · A	22	49→51	38→40	62→65	57	230/329/306	76	292	5	37	21%	11%	86	+0.3	227/294/309	82	297	5	50	23%	8%	73	-0.6	227/294/309	81	301	5	57	24%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	36→30	63→60	55	227/321/300	73	284	3	39	19%	10%	82	-0.0	235/317/307	72	298	4	22	20%	10%	82	-0.0	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Eric Young Jr. 2008 · A	23	53→60	40→45	63→65	46	250/308/354	104	315	6	41	22%	6%	88	+0.5	257/322/352	95	323	5	42	20%	8%	93	+0.8	267/337/363	96	323	3	47	17%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Johan Rojas 2024 · MLB	23	51→60	43→45	64→65	42	246/291/366	120	307	9	37	23%	5%	84	+0.2	245/288/337	92	309	6	34	22%	5%	76	-0.4	243/284/316	73	306	4	40	21%	5%	69	-0.6
●Carl Crawford 2005 · MLB	23	58→64	43→55	70→65	45	281/313/405	125	314	8	45	14%	4%	101	+1.4	295/330/453	158	327	13	44	14%	5%	119	+2.7	301/337/462	162	335	13	47	14%	4%	125	+3.4
✕Jayce Easley 2022 · A	22	47→46	36→30	64→65	54	213/313/279	66	305	3	44	28%	12%	74	-0.5	189/280/255	66	272	4	32	29%	10%	57	-1.8	158/252/206	48	234	3	32	31%	10%	34	-1.5
✕José Peraza 2015 · AA	21	59→67	37→45	65	42	280/309/362	81	327	3	40	15%	3%	89	+0.5	269/297/350	81	308	5	32	14%	3%	82	+0.0	275/311/366	91	307	8	25	13%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Kyle Wren 2014 · A	23	55→62	41→40	62→60	46	265/304/372	107	306	6	32	16%	5%	90	+0.6	257/302/323	66	318	2	30	18%	6%	78	-0.3	254/314/331	77	325	3	25	21%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Luis Valdez 2023 · A	23	50→52	36→40	63→70	41	231/287/297	66	332	4	41	30%	6%	67	-1.1	197/244/263	66	308	3	45	35%	5%	43	-2.8	168/210/226	58	272	2	60	37%	5%	19	-1.5

Dylan O'Rae

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps