Player 802494 — OGILVIE

Player 8024941B Daytona Tortugas

Age — —/— A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION310 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO160

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	CIN	—	310	272	62	12	1	13	33	88	4	1	0	228	320	423	743	195	285	28	11	319	102	+1	+0	+0	-6	+7	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	CIN	—	198	168	46	9	0	9	27	40	2	0	0	274	381	488	869	214	308	20	14	383	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	—	A+ RAW	CIN	—	112	92	27	5	1	7	18	23	2	1	0	293	420	598	1.017	304	323	21	16	440	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		282	30	10	317	100	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	CIN	—	320	281	63	12	1	13	34	91	4	1	0	224	317	413	729	189	281	28	11	319	102	+1	+0	+0	-6	+7	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	430	379	86	16	2	15	43	117	5	4	1	227	314	398	712	172	280	27	10	316	100	+0	+0	+0	-8	+9	0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	483	427	97	18	2	17	48	129	5	5	1	227	312	398	711	171	281	27	10	318	101	+1	+1	+0	-9	+10	0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	520	458	105	19	2	19	51	138	6	5	1	229	315	404	718	175	281	27	10	319	102	+1	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	546	481	110	20	2	20	54	144	6	5	1	229	314	403	718	175	282	26	10	319	102	+2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	564	497	114	21	2	21	56	149	6	6	1	229	315	406	721	177	281	26	10	320	103	+2	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	578	510	117	22	2	21	57	153	6	6	1	229	314	404	718	175	281	26	10	321	103	+2	+1	+0	-10	+13	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	589	518	119	22	2	22	59	156	7	6	1	230	317	407	724	178	281	26	10	321	103	+2	+1	+0	-11	+13	0.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	598	526	120	22	2	22	60	158	7	6	1	228	315	403	718	175	280	26	10	321	104	+3	+1	+0	-11	+13	0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	316	100	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	317	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	318	102	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	319	102	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	320	103	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	320	103	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	285	—	—	321	103	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	321	104	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4318	3805	869	160	16	157	429	1147	48	43	8	228	314	403	717	174	282	27	10	320	102	+12	+5	+0	-77	+94	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	131	24	2	24	65	173	7	6	1	229	315	403	718	175	282	27	10	320	102	+2	+1	+0	-12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	6.5	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.8
/162	664	24	17	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,628	167	48	229	311	404	-52	+0	9.9	9.3
/162	664	24	7	-7.4	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	4.7	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 802494 (OGILVIE)	25	38	56	43	58	223/310/395	172	282	11	3	28%	10%	100	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Frazier 2006 · A	25	42→39	52→55	44→45	44	220/295/384	164	279	20	6	28%	8%	92	+0.7	209/262/332	123	281	14	5	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/226/290	102	254	12	1	30%	3%	42	-1.7
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	42→41	52→55	41→45	49	219/300/392	173	278	20	6	28%	9%	95	+1.0	189/263/334	145	262	17	6	33%	8%	69	-0.9	155/230/286	130	214	16	5	35%	8%	42	-1.8
✕David Cook 2007 · A	26	39→49	51→55	49→50	47	207/285/367	161	269	19	10	30%	9%	84	+0.2	228/306/399	171	285	20	10	26%	10%	99	+1.2	231/311/411	181	277	21	10	24%	10%	102	+1.3
✕Andy Wilson 2006 · A	25	45→43	56→60	46→45	48	238/298/430	192	274	25	7	24%	8%	103	+1.5	217/274/340	123	286	13	5	28%	7%	73	-0.6	193/248/278	85	268	8	0	30%	6%	47	-1.5
✕Brandon Meredith 2014 · A	24	44→40	49→50	46→45	47	219/301/375	156	289	16	8	29%	9%	92	+0.7	212/285/350	138	279	16	7	28%	8%	80	-0.1	196/270/331	135	249	17	5	28%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44	49→50	44→45	46	222/291/369	146	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.3	215/294/365	150	282	16	5	28%	8%	87	+0.4	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Jared Clark 2011 · A	25	45→41	52→55	44→45	45	230/296/392	161	302	21	7	30%	8%	93	+0.8	208/286/379	171	283	22	4	33%	9%	87	+0.4	184/275/367	183	239	25	1	34%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Casper Wells 2010 · AA	25	42→44	53→60	49→50	43	220/293/398	178	285	20	13	30%	7%	95	+0.9	224/292/410	186	287	21	9	29%	7%	97	+1.1	222/294/415	193	276	22	7	27%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Brian Joynt 2009 · A	24	46	49→60	49→45	46	232/297/390	157	301	16	7	28%	8%	93	+0.8	215/262/345	130	301	14	8	32%	5%	70	-0.9	193/229/311	118	273	15	6	35%	4%	48	-1.5
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	44	48→50	45	46	217/294/358	140	308	16	8	33%	9%	85	+0.2	202/269/344	142	300	17	7	36%	7%	73	-0.6	165/232/316	151	236	20	3	38%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Stephen Scott 2022 · A	25	46→45	52→50	47→50	49	234/308/402	167	290	19	5	26%	9%	100	+1.3	210/287/355	145	262	16	9	25%	9%	82	-0.0	199/277/341	142	245	16	10	25%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Jabari Blash 2014 · AA	25	41	50→60	46→50	44	205/288/359	154	303	18	11	36%	9%	84	+0.1	206/292/389	183	283	23	9	34%	9%	92	+0.7	198/312/392	194	297	25	6	38%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Andrew Brown 2010 · AA	25	46→47	50→60	47→40	44	236/299/393	157	300	19	3	27%	7%	95	+0.9	237/297/404	167	312	21	4	30%	7%	97	+1.1	231/296/414	183	303	22	4	30%	8%	99	+0.9
✕Jared Keel 2009 · A	24	39→38	52→50	48→45	47	207/289/373	166	249	20	10	26%	8%	88	+0.4	205/291/350	145	262	16	7	27%	9%	82	+0.0	182/282/323	141	228	16	1	27%	11%	72	-0.4
✕Andrés Chaparro 2023 · AA	24	44→49	54→55	47→40	46	231/301/411	180	284	22	6	27%	8%	100	+1.3	225/287/388	163	274	20	5	25%	7%	89	+0.5	235/306/419	184	277	23	3	24%	8%	101	+1.0
✕Caleb Stewart 2007 · A	25	42→45	54→50	46→45	43	224/293/410	187	274	21	6	27%	7%	97	+1.1	216/276/346	130	269	14	6	24%	6%	76	-0.4	209/273/327	118	261	12	5	24%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	46→42	50	48→45	47	228/319/380	153	301	18	10	29%	9%	100	+1.3	201/271/323	122	318	13	8	38%	7%	69	-0.9	196/262/327	131	291	15	6	36%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Jason Fransz 2006 · A	25	48	54→60	48→40	41	248/297/431	183	293	22	5	24%	5%	103	+1.6	224/279/392	168	279	22	4	28%	5%	88	+0.4	202/261/371	168	245	24	1	29%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Kenny Holmberg 2008 · A	25	46→47	47→50	41→40	50	232/305/366	134	277	15	4	22%	9%	91	+0.7	211/299/294	83	275	7	5	24%	9%	73	-0.6	179/291/209	30	245	0	1	23%	11%	51	-1.3
✕Michael Carlin 2006 · A	25	48→46	52→60	52→45	41	245/305/418	173	309	20	7	27%	6%	103	+1.5	230/290/371	141	289	14	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	230/286/374	144	283	14	8	23%	6%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps