Vinnie Pasquantino
1B Kansas City Royals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MLBKC | 554 | .262/.322/.446 | 19 | 1 | 114 | 0.9 | |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBKC | 682 | .264/.325/.475 | 32 | 1 | 125 | 1.4 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAAKC | 32 | .259/.355/.296 | 0 | 0 | 61 | — | .241/.290/.276 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBKC | 481 | .249/.336/.428 | 17 | 5 | 116 | 1.2 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBKC | 475 | .255/.322/.440 | 18 | 3 | 118 | 1.5 | |
| 2028PROJ | 30 | MLBKC | 614 | .251/.318/.431 | 23 | 2 | 114 | 1.4 | |
| 2029PROJ | 31 | MLBKC | 614 | .245/.312/.420 | 22 | 2 | 110 | 0.9 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 237 | 200 | 62 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 410 | 560 | 970 | 250 | 307 | 11 | 13 | 419 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 237 | 69 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 38 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 291 | 387 | 565 | 952 | 274 | 298 | 14 | 12 | 411 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 31 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 161 | 233 | 395 | 100 | 143 | 26 | 3 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 298 | 258 | 76 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 295 | 385 | 450 | 835 | 155 | 306 | 11 | 12 | 372 | 141 | +15 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 313 | 264 | 73 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 277 | 378 | 561 | 938 | 284 | 258 | 12 | 13 | 400 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 260 | 231 | 57 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 324 | 437 | 762 | 190 | 250 | 12 | 10 | 337 | 115 | +5 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 554 | 496 | 130 | 30 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 322 | 446 | 768 | 183 | 265 | 13 | 7 | 331 | 114 | +9 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 682 | 621 | 164 | 33 | 1 | 32 | 49 | 107 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 325 | 475 | 800 | 211 | 271 | 16 | 7 | 350 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 481 | 421 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 17 | 51 | 76 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 249 | 336 | 428 | 764 | 178 | 264 | 16 | 11 | 338 | 116 | +9 | +1 | +1 | -9 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 32 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 355 | 296 | 651 | 37 | 304 | 16 | 12 | 297 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2275 | 2027 | 532 | 110 | 5 | 87 | 200 | 319 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 262 | 335 | 450 | 785 | 188 | 270 | 14 | 9 | 344 | 119 | +52 | +2 | -17 | -47 | +49 | 4.0 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 237 | 211 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 280 | 350 | 488 | 839 | 209 | 274 | 13 | 8 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 276 | 247 | 56 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 51 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 227 | 303 | 441 | 744 | 215 | 238 | 18 | 8 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 298 | 259 | 77 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 297 | 385 | 463 | 848 | 166 | 306 | 11 | 11 | 377 | 141 | +15 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 313 | 277 | 64 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 27 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 306 | 448 | 754 | 217 | 221 | 16 | 9 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 260 | 234 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 320 | 449 | 769 | 201 | 250 | 12 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +5 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 554 | 497 | 133 | 30 | 2 | 21 | 39 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 326 | 463 | 789 | 195 | 265 | 13 | 7 | 337 | 114 | +9 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 682 | 626 | 168 | 33 | 1 | 35 | 44 | 107 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 323 | 492 | 815 | 224 | 271 | 16 | 6 | 354 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 481 | 424 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 48 | 76 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 250 | 332 | 434 | 766 | 184 | 264 | 16 | 10 | 340 | 116 | +9 | +1 | +1 | -9 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 32 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 290 | 276 | 566 | 34 | 275 | 19 | 6 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 544 | 486 | 121 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 86 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 249 | 323 | 457 | 780 | 208 | 260 | 16 | 8 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 544 | 467 | 135 | 37 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 72 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 289 | 384 | 542 | 926 | 253 | 293 | 13 | 12 | 401 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 611 | 536 | 142 | 24 | 2 | 25 | 61 | 83 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 265 | 347 | 457 | 804 | 192 | 268 | 14 | 10 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 611 | 522 | 149 | 27 | 2 | 28 | 75 | 73 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 285 | 381 | 506 | 887 | 220 | 282 | 12 | 12 | 387 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 260 | 234 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 320 | 449 | 769 | 201 | 247 | 12 | 9 | 338 | 115 | +5 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 260 | 231 | 57 | 17 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 324 | 437 | 762 | 190 | 250 | 12 | 10 | 337 | 115 | +5 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 554 | 497 | 133 | 30 | 2 | 21 | 39 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 326 | 463 | 789 | 195 | 268 | 13 | 7 | 337 | 114 | +9 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 554 | 496 | 130 | 30 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 322 | 446 | 768 | 183 | 265 | 13 | 7 | 331 | 114 | +9 | +0 | -3 | -10 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 682 | 626 | 168 | 33 | 1 | 35 | 44 | 107 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 323 | 492 | 815 | 224 | 272 | 16 | 6 | 354 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 682 | 621 | 164 | 33 | 1 | 32 | 49 | 107 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 325 | 475 | 800 | 211 | 271 | 16 | 7 | 350 | 125 | +21 | +0 | -10 | -12 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 453 | 113 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 249 | 329 | 424 | 753 | 174 | 265 | 16 | 10 | 335 | 113 | +8 | +1 | +1 | -9 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 448 | 112 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 55 | 81 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 250 | 337 | 420 | 757 | 170 | 267 | 16 | 11 | 335 | 113 | +8 | +1 | +1 | -9 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 544 | 486 | 121 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 86 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 249 | 323 | 457 | 780 | 208 | 255 | 16 | 8 | 336 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 611 | 539 | 142 | 24 | 2 | 25 | 61 | 83 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 263 | 347 | 455 | 801 | 191 | 262 | 14 | 10 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 260 | 233 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 320 | 451 | 771 | 202 | 250 | 12 | 9 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 554 | 506 | 133 | 30 | 2 | 21 | 39 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 326 | 455 | 780 | 192 | 265 | 13 | 7 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 682 | 626 | 168 | 33 | 1 | 35 | 44 | 107 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 323 | 492 | 815 | 224 | 271 | 16 | 6 | 354 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 454 | 113 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 249 | 329 | 423 | 752 | 174 | 265 | 16 | 10 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 554 | 506 | 133 | 30 | 2 | 21 | 39 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 326 | 455 | 780 | 192 | 265 | 13 | 7 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 682 | 626 | 168 | 33 | 1 | 35 | 44 | 107 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 268 | 323 | 492 | 815 | 224 | 271 | 16 | 6 | 354 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 454 | 113 | 21 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 249 | 329 | 423 | 752 | 174 | 265 | 16 | 10 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 546 | 492 | 127 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 44 | 85 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 326 | 455 | 781 | 196 | 270 | 16 | 8 | 343 | 118 | +12 | +0 | +2 | -10 | +12 | 1.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 475 | 430 | 110 | 23 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 255 | 322 | 440 | 762 | 186 | 268 | 16 | 8 | 336 | 118 | +10 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +10 | 1.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 614 | 555 | 142 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 49 | 98 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 322 | 446 | 767 | 190 | 268 | 16 | 8 | 337 | 114 | +11 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 614 | 555 | 139 | 28 | 1 | 24 | 49 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 316 | 434 | 749 | 184 | 263 | 16 | 8 | 330 | 110 | +7 | +0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 604 | 547 | 132 | 26 | 1 | 22 | 47 | 101 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 308 | 418 | 726 | 175 | 258 | 17 | 8 | 321 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 485 | 442 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 84 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 298 | 398 | 697 | 164 | 250 | 17 | 8 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 614 | 555 | 140 | 29 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 98 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 318 | 431 | 749 | 181 | 265 | 16 | 8 | 330 | 114 | +11 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 614 | 555 | 136 | 28 | 1 | 22 | 49 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 312 | 420 | 732 | 174 | 261 | 16 | 8 | 323 | 110 | +7 | +0 | -0 | -11 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 604 | 547 | 130 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 101 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 304 | 404 | 709 | 166 | 255 | 17 | 8 | 314 | 103 | +2 | +0 | -1 | -11 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 485 | 442 | 102 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 84 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 295 | 386 | 680 | 156 | 248 | 17 | 8 | 302 | 95 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4592 | 4126 | 1040 | 213 | 10 | 169 | 382 | 702 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 252 | 321 | 431 | 753 | 179 | 265 | 15 | 8 | 331 | 113 | +69 | +2 | -19 | -88 | +99 | 6.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 147 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 99 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 252 | 320 | 430 | 750 | 178 | 264 | 15 | 8 | 331 | 113 | +10 | +0 | -3 | -12 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5956 | 5361 | 1363 | 283 | 17 | 236 | 483 | 917 | 52 | 26 | 4 | 254 | 322 | 445 | 767 | 191 | 265 | 15 | 8 | 336 | 113 | +79 | +2 | -17 | -97 | +110 | 7.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 149 | 31 | 2 | 26 | 53 | 100 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 255 | 323 | 448 | 771 | 193 | 265 | 15 | 8 | 336 | 113 | +10 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | 1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 32 PAwOBA .286 → .259 (−28)K% 15.6% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 24.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 3.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .259; ISO .037 → .033; BABIP .304 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 313 PAwOBA .395 → .324 (−71)K% 12.5% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.46% | ÷0.957 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷1.001 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×1.033 | 14.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.56% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.033 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.89% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.966 | ×1.033 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.88% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .395 → .324; ISO .284 → .223; BABIP .258 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 276 PAwOBA .403 → .317 (−86)K% 13.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.77% | ÷1.013 | ×1.350 | — | — | 18.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.58% | ÷1.059 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 13.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.05% | ÷0.991 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.51% | ÷0.988 | ×0.820 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.53% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 5.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 112, 2B 98, 3B 98, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .403 → .317; ISO .274 → .220; BABIP .298 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 237 PAwOBA .410 → .358 (−52)K% 11.0% → 12.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.97% | ÷1.035 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.81% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 8.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.54% | ÷0.980 | ×0.940 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.77% | ÷1.117 | ×0.870 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 7.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.32% | ÷0.957 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.21% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 107, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .410 → .358; ISO .250 → .214; BABIP .307 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .