Luis Tejeda

P ACL Rockies

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKCOL	15	1	24	5.92	4.21	16.7%	11.4%	—	K 11.3% · BB 14.3% · FIP 5.24
2025	20	ROKCOL	16	0	20	3.54	5.41	18.7%	15.4%	—	K 12.7% · BB 19.2% · FIP 7.07
2027PROJ	22	MLBCOL	12	0	13	5.14	5.14	21.1%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCOL	10	0	10	4.92	4.82	22.1%	12.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJuan Mendez (age 22) · Tyler Santana (age 23) · Yunior Montero (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.14

FIP5.14

K%21.1%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%7.0%

Proj IP13

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	5	37	161	34	15	6	38%	2.8	14.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.1%	5.65	5.62	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	5	37	161	34	15	6	38%	2.8	21.1%	9.3%	11.8%	3.7%	5.65	4.60	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	9	49	205	43	10	3	82%	4.5	14.3%	6.1%	8.2%	1.8%	4.74	3.65	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	9	49	205	43	10	3	82%	4.5	21.0%	4.9%	16.1%	1.5%	4.74	2.76	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	15	1	24	114	19	13	2	7%	1.6	11.3%	14.3%	-2.9%	2.4%	5.92	5.24	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	15	1	24	114	19	13	2	7%	1.6	11.3%	14.3%	-2.9%	2.4%	5.92	5.24	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	15	1	24	114	19	13	2	7%	1.6	16.7%	11.4%	5.3%	1.8%	5.92	4.21	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	16	0	20	91	17	14	3	0%	1.3	12.7%	19.2%	-6.5%	4.8%	3.54	7.07	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	16	0	20	91	17	14	3	0%	1.3	12.7%	19.2%	-6.5%	4.8%	3.54	7.07	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	16	0	20	91	17	14	3	0%	1.3	18.7%	15.4%	3.3%	3.3%	3.54	5.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	COL	12	0	13	55	12	8	2	0%	1.1	21.1%	14.1%	7.0%	3.0%	5.14	5.14	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	3.0%	4.92	4.82	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	3.0%	4.92	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	3.0%	4.92	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	102	20	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	3.0%	4.92	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		55	15	131	571	77	65	17	27%	2.4	13.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.0%	5.03	5.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	23	200	874	118	99	26	27%	2.4	13.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.0%	5.03	5.07	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Tejeda (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.14	21.1%	14.1%	3.0%	—	4.82	22.1%	9.7%	20	-0.32	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	88
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	84
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	83
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	83
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	82
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	81
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	80
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	80
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	79
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.6%	251	-0.19	3.67	386	79
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	78
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	78
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	78
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	78
Gray Fenter R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	22	SU	4.41	18.4%	12.3%	2.4%	.367	4.28	22.2%	8.0%	172	-0.13	2.83	330	78
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	78
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	78
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	78