Gray Fenter — OGILVIE

Gray Fenter P Somerset Patriots

Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%23.2%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	9	8	22	82	18	6	0	89%	2.4	14.9%	9.1%	5.8%	0.0%	1.66	3.00	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	9	8	22	82	18	6	0	89%	2.4	22.0%	7.3%	14.6%	0.0%	1.66	2.27	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	11	11	29	115	33	10	0	100%	2.6	19.5%	10.9%	8.6%	0.0%	3.45	2.83	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	11	11	29	115	33	10	0	100%	2.6	28.7%	8.7%	20.0%	0.0%	3.45	1.84	—
2018	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	14	2	27	125	31	13	2	14%	1.9	18.4%	12.3%	6.1%	2.4%	6.75	4.41	—
2018	22	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	14	2	27	125	31	13	2	14%	1.9	24.8%	10.4%	14.4%	1.6%	6.75	3.21	—
2019	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	17	94	381	123	43	4	77%	4.3	23.9%	13.3%	10.6%	1.5%	1.81	3.57	—
2019	23	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	22	17	94	381	123	43	4	77%	4.3	32.3%	11.3%	21.0%	1.0%	1.81	2.41	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	21	13	77	346	86	48	12	62%	3.7	20.1%	15.3%	4.9%	3.3%	5.47	5.15	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	21	13	77	346	86	48	12	62%	3.7	24.9%	13.9%	11.0%	3.5%	5.47	4.76	—
2022	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	22	7	40	190	50	38	4	32%	1.8	21.3%	22.0%	-0.7%	2.7%	5.13	5.58	—
2022	26	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	22	7	40	190	50	38	4	32%	1.8	26.3%	20.0%	6.3%	2.1%	5.13	4.74	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	10	10	41	182	51	21	6	100%	4.1	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.8%	5.01	4.89	—
2023	27	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	10	10	41	182	51	21	6	100%	4.1	22.7%	12.7%	10.0%	3.8%	5.01	4.89	—
2023	27	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	10	10	41	182	51	21	6	100%	4.1	28.0%	11.5%	16.5%	3.3%	5.01	4.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	NYY	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	23.2%	10.6%	12.6%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	NYY	4	4	22	94	21	10	3	100%	5.6	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	3.3%	4.63	4.71	+0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	NYY	1	1	7	30	7	3	1	100%	7.0	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	3.3%	4.63	4.71	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	7	29	7	3	1	100%	7.0	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	3.3%	4.63	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	201	86	29	100%	6.0	22.8%	10.8%	12.0%	3.3%	4.63	4.33	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		109	68	330	1421	300	204	32	62%	3.0	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	2.3%	4.01	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	41	200	860	182	123	19	62%	3.0	21.1%	14.3%	6.8%	2.3%	4.01	4.37	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gray Fenter (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	23.2%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.71	22.8%	12.0%	22	+0.18	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	71
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	69
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	67
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	66
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	66
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	65
Michael Mariot R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	30	SP	5.01	19.8%	11.1%	4.0%	.333	5.03	15.8%	7.4%	182	+0.02	2.40	676	65
Chris Mazza R 2020 · 3.94 FIP	30	SP-	3.94	21.3%	11.0%	2.3%	.348	3.95	21.4%	13.5%	111	+0.01	3.29	563	65
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	62
Aaron Wilkerson R 2019 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	20.9%	9.8%	3.8%	.291	3.33	24.6%	19.0%	112	-1.34	2.75	902	62
Tyler Cloyd R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	30	SP-	4.51	16.0%	6.8%	3.5%	.293	4.99	17.2%	9.8%	170	+0.48	3.89	250	61
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	61
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	61
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	60
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	60
Nick Tropeano R 2021 · 4.24 FIP	30	SP-	4.24	21.5%	12.1%	2.6%	.302	4.45	20.8%	1.9%	21	+0.21	2.34	446	60
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	60
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2019 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	15.8%	12.6%	2.5%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	221	60
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	60
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	59