Gray Fenter P Somerset Patriots
Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.3%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (23 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201519ROKGCL Orioles982282186089%2.414.9%9.1%5.8%0.0%1.663.00
201519ROKGCL Orioles982282186089%2.422.0%7.3%14.6%0.0%1.662.27
201721ROKGCL Orioles11112911533100100%2.619.5%10.9%8.6%0.0%3.452.83
201721ROKGCL Orioles11112911533100100%2.628.7%8.7%20.0%0.0%3.451.84
201822ADelmarva Shorebirds142271253113214%1.918.4%12.3%6.1%2.8%6.754.64
201822ADelmarva Shorebirds142271253113214%1.924.8%10.4%14.4%1.6%6.753.21
201923ADelmarva Shorebirds22179438112343477%4.323.9%13.3%10.6%1.6%1.813.64
201923ADelmarva Shorebirds22179438112343477%4.332.3%11.3%21.0%1.0%1.812.41
202125AABowie Baysox21137734686481262%3.720.1%15.3%4.9%2.7%5.474.84
202125AABowie Baysox21137734686481262%3.724.9%13.9%11.0%3.5%5.474.76
202226AARichmond Flying Squirrels227401905038432%1.821.3%22.0%-0.7%2.9%5.135.70
202226AARichmond Flying Squirrels227401905038432%1.826.3%20.0%6.3%2.1%5.134.74
202327AASomerset Patriots10104118251216100%4.122.7%12.7%10.0%3.7%5.014.83
202327AASomerset Patriots10104118251216100%4.128.0%11.5%16.5%3.3%5.014.04
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBNYY442410124103100%6.023.3%9.5%13.8%3.0%4.374.37+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBNYY4422942293100%5.622.9%9.8%13.1%3.2%4.494.57-0.0
202731MLBNYY11730731100%7.022.9%9.8%13.1%3.2%4.494.57-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11729731100%7.022.9%9.8%13.1%3.2%4.494.19+0.0
/ 200 IP33332008442018629100%6.022.9%9.8%13.1%3.2%4.494.19+2.8
Career1096833014213002043162%3.021.1%14.3%6.8%2.2%4.014.34+4.1
/ 200 IP66412008601821231962%3.021.1%14.3%6.8%2.2%4.014.34+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Gray Fenter (OGILVIE) 4.37 23.3%9.5%3.0% 4.57 22.9%13.1%22 +0.20
Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 30 SP- 4.30 17.0%8.5%2.9%.323 3.16 158 71
Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP 28 SP- 4.00 20.9%8.8%2.8%.291 3.13 195 70
Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 29 SP- 4.59 16.9%11.1%2.8%.369 3.64 204 66
Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.3%8.9%3.2%.321 2.17 152 66
Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 30 SP- 4.06 18.2%10.5%2.1%.307 3.76 17.3%6.4%196 -0.30 3.51 269 64
Ricky Nolasco R 2028 · 3.21 FIP 32 SP 3.21 20.2%6.9%1.7%.382 4.52 17.9%11.7%379 +1.31 3.21 425 64
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP 29 SP- 3.84 17.3%10.9%1.5%.305 3.84 272 64
Chris Mazza R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 30 SP- 3.90 21.3%11.0%2.2%.348 3.84 21.4%13.5%111 -0.06 3.27 563 64
Tiago Da Silva R 2026 · 3.30 FIP 30 SW 3.30 19.6%4.5%2.4%.278 2.36 21.4%18.5%98 -0.94 2.11 287 63
Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP 30 SP 5.22 19.8%11.1%4.3%.333 4.92 15.8%7.4%182 -0.30 2.32 676 63
Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP 29 SP 5.14 19.3%7.5%4.9%.351 3.49 355 62
Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP 30 SP- 4.58 16.0%6.8%3.6%.293 5.01 17.2%9.8%170 +0.43 3.89 250 62
Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 30 SP- 4.76 20.9%9.8%4.0%.291 3.31 24.6%19.0%112 -1.45 2.75 902 61
Nick Tropeano R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 30 SP- 4.21 21.5%12.1%2.5%.302 4.48 20.8%1.9%21 +0.27 2.28 446 61
Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP 28 SP- 4.21 17.6%8.1%2.9%.261 4.21 250 60
Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.2%9.4%3.1%.317 3.55 327 60
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP 30 SW 5.41 18.3%10.8%4.5%.334 4.21 265 60
Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP 31 SP- 3.95 17.8%5.8%2.9%.312 5.48 15.2%11.6%35 +1.53 3.95 133 60
Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP 32 SP 5.00 15.0%8.3%3.8%.314 3.41 20.2%14.3%39 -1.59 3.41 144 60
Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 30 SP- 4.90 17.1%6.8%4.3%.296 4.88 15.2%7.6%214 -0.02 4.83 294 59