Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 9 | 8 | 22 | 82 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 89% | 2.4 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 3.00 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 9 | 8 | 22 | 82 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 89% | 2.4 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 2.27 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 11 | 11 | 29 | 115 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 2.6 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 3.45 | 2.83 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 11 | 11 | 29 | 115 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 2.6 | 28.7% | 8.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 3.45 | 1.84 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 14 | 2 | 27 | 125 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 14% | 1.9 | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 6.75 | 4.64 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 14 | 2 | 27 | 125 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 14% | 1.9 | 24.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 1.6% | 6.75 | 3.21 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 22 | 17 | 94 | 381 | 123 | 43 | 4 | 77% | 4.3 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 1.81 | 3.64 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 22 | 17 | 94 | 381 | 123 | 43 | 4 | 77% | 4.3 | 32.3% | 11.3% | 21.0% | 1.0% | 1.81 | 2.41 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 21 | 13 | 77 | 346 | 86 | 48 | 12 | 62% | 3.7 | 20.1% | 15.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 4.84 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 21 | 13 | 77 | 346 | 86 | 48 | 12 | 62% | 3.7 | 24.9% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 5.47 | 4.76 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 22 | 7 | 40 | 190 | 50 | 38 | 4 | 32% | 1.8 | 21.3% | 22.0% | -0.7% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.70 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 22 | 7 | 40 | 190 | 50 | 38 | 4 | 32% | 1.8 | 26.3% | 20.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 5.13 | 4.74 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 10 | 10 | 41 | 182 | 51 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 3.7% | 5.01 | 4.83 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 10 | 10 | 41 | 182 | 51 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 28.0% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 5.01 | 4.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 4 | 4 | 22 | 94 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.19 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 86 | 29 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 4.49 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 109 | 68 | 330 | 1421 | 300 | 204 | 31 | 62% | 3.0 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 4.01 | 4.34 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 66 | 41 | 200 | 860 | 182 | 123 | 19 | 62% | 3.0 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 4.01 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gray Fenter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.57 | 22.9% | 13.1% | 22 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 71 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 70 |
| Carlos Frías R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 66 |
| Steve Johnson R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 66 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 64 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 64 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 64 |
| Chris Mazza R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.90 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .348 | 3.84 | 21.4% | 13.5% | 111 | -0.06 | 3.27 | 563 | 64 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 63 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 63 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 62 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 62 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 61 |
| Nick Tropeano R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.21 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .302 | 4.48 | 20.8% | 1.9% | 21 | +0.27 | 2.28 | 446 | 61 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 60 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 60 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 60 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 60 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 60 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 59 |