Daniel Corniel

P Wisconsin Timber Rattlers

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 177 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.5 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ACarolina Mudc…	21	21	99	4.29	3.36	22.9%	11.1%	—	K 17.0% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.27
2025	21	A+MIL	1	0	3	3.00	0.43	33.3%	0.0%	—	K 33.3% · BB 0.0% · FIP 0.29
2026	22	MIX2 levels	17	11	50	5.04	3.98	17.1%	8.1%	—	K 12.6% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.60
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIL	5	5	29	5.10	5.10	16.2%	11.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIL	4	4	20	4.97	4.89	18.2%	10.3%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBMIL	5	5	31	4.80	4.72	19.4%	9.8%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsRyan Atkinson (age 23) · Andrew Quezada (age 24) · Tanner Hall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%16.2%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%5.0%

Proj IP29

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	10	9	42	183	47	14	3	90%	4.2	17.5%	9.6%	7.9%	1.2%	4.97	3.50	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	10	9	42	183	47	14	3	90%	4.2	25.7%	7.7%	18.0%	1.6%	4.97	2.79	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	11	8	36	161	48	22	3	73%	3.3	20.3%	17.1%	3.2%	2.9%	5.70	5.15	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	11	8	36	161	48	22	3	73%	3.3	29.8%	13.7%	16.1%	1.9%	5.70	3.35	—
2024	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	21	21	99	414	95	46	6	100%	4.7	17.0%	13.1%	3.9%	1.7%	4.29	4.27	—
2024	20	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	21	21	99	414	95	46	6	100%	4.7	17.0%	13.1%	3.9%	1.7%	4.29	4.27	—
2024	20	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	21	21	99	414	95	46	6	100%	4.7	22.9%	11.1%	11.8%	1.4%	4.29	3.36	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	1	0	3	12	4	0	0	0%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	1	0	3	12	4	0	0	0%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.29	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	1	0	3	12	4	0	0	0%	3.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.00	0.43	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	11	50	210	36	17	5	65%	2.9	12.6%	11.0%	1.6%	2.1%	5.04	4.60	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	11	50	210	36	17	5	65%	2.9	12.6%	11.0%	1.6%	2.1%	5.04	4.60	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	11	50	210	36	17	5	65%	2.9	17.1%	8.1%	9.0%	2.4%	5.04	3.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIL	5	5	29	122	20	14	3	100%	5.8	16.2%	11.2%	5.0%	2.8%	5.10	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	8	8	46	195	35	20	6	100%	5.8	18.2%	10.3%	7.8%	2.8%	4.89	4.81	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	8	8	47	197	38	19	6	100%	5.8	19.4%	9.8%	9.6%	2.8%	4.72	4.64	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIL	8	8	47	197	40	19	6	100%	5.8	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	2.8%	4.63	4.58	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIL	8	8	46	194	39	19	6	100%	5.8	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	2.9%	4.62	4.61	+0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIL	7	7	45	188	38	19	6	100%	6.4	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	3.0%	4.67	4.70	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	4	4	20	84	15	9	3	100%	5.0	18.2%	10.3%	7.8%	3.0%	4.97	4.89	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	5	5	31	131	25	13	4	100%	6.2	19.4%	9.8%	9.6%	3.0%	4.80	4.72	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIL	6	6	37	156	31	15	5	100%	6.2	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.71	4.66	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIL	6	6	39	165	33	16	5	100%	6.5	20.1%	9.8%	10.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.69	+0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIL	7	7	40	169	34	17	5	100%	5.7	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	3.1%	4.75	4.78	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		28	28	167	704	139	70	21	100%	6.0	19.7%	9.9%	9.8%	3.0%	4.76	4.35	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	167	84	25	100%	5.9	19.7%	9.9%	9.8%	3.0%	4.76	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		60	49	230	980	165	122	18	82%	3.8	16.9%	12.5%	4.4%	1.9%	4.78	4.29	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	43	200	853	144	107	16	82%	3.8	16.9%	12.5%	4.4%	1.9%	4.78	4.29	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Corniel (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	16.2%	11.2%	2.8%	—	4.68	19.2%	9.2%	140	-0.42	—	—	—
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	93
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	84
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	84
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	83
Jordan Geber R 2022 · 5.03 FIP	23	SP-	5.03	15.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.341	4.39	15.5%	7.8%	176	-0.64	4.26	241	82
Jeremy Lee R 2024 · 4.17 FIP	22	SP-	4.17	16.8%	11.5%	1.9%	.318	5.21	11.2%	-0.5%	46	+1.04	4.17	125	81
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	81
Caleb Boushley R 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP	4.11	14.2%	10.0%	1.7%	.351	3.21	18.3%	14.2%	163	-0.90	3.05	790	81
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	81
Cole Wiper R 2015 · 5.41 FIP	23	SP	5.41	14.6%	10.5%	4.0%	.343	4.52	15.6%	5.2%	136	-0.89	3.97	170	81
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	81
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	80
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	80
Allen Webster R 2013 · 6.05 FIP	23	SP	6.05	15.9%	12.4%	5.0%	.309	4.66	14.0%	4.3%	167	-1.39	3.95	267	80
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	79
Rubén Menes R 2024 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	15.8%	15.2%	3.5%	.235	4.77	15.6%	2.4%	81	-0.85	3.39	112	79
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	79
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	79
Cha Seung Baek R 2004 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP-	4.77	14.4%	7.2%	3.6%	.288	3.95	15.7%	10.0%	108	-0.82	3.35	280	79
Sam Whiting R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP	4.12	14.6%	12.3%	1.3%	.320	4.88	17.1%	3.5%	105	+0.76	4.12	177	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	43	19.2%	10.1%	1.11	4.75
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*