Brock Tibbitts — OGILVIE

Brock TibbittsC Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION150 act + 100 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .280 / .273

PA100

HR1

K%29

BB%10

BABIP259

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	91	80	21	4	0	1	9	16	1	2	0	263	344	350	694	87	312	18	10	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	91	78	22	4	0	1	11	12	1	2	0	282	378	372	750	90	318	13	12	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	197	165	25	7	2	1	20	83	7	5	0	152	271	236	507	85	279	42	10	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	197	156	34	10	2	2	29	55	7	5	0	218	365	346	711	128	308	28	15	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	TOR	—	150	130	25	5	1	2	16	50	3	6	0	192	295	292	588	100	291	33	11	263	60	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.1
YTD	23	A	TOR	—	150	124	31	6	1	3	22	35	3	6	0	250	376	387	763	137	322	23	15	347	124	+4	+1	+0	+3	+4	1.2
ROS	23	A	TOR	0%	100	88	16	3	1	1	10	29	2	2	0	182	280	273	553	91	260	29	10	255	53	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
ROS	23	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		261	—	—	243	44	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	TOR	—	150	131	25	5	1	2	16	50	3	6	0	191	295	290	585	99	287	33	11	263	60	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.1
TOT	23	A	TOR	—	250	218	41	8	2	3	26	79	5	8	0	188	289	284	574	96	277	32	10	260	57	-12	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	30%	269	238	45	9	1	4	25	77	4	5	1	189	277	286	563	97	262	29	9	264	61	-12	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	341	300	60	12	2	6	32	96	6	6	1	200	290	313	603	113	265	28	9	271	66	-13	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.3
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	388	342	69	14	2	7	37	108	6	7	1	202	291	316	607	114	266	28	10	275	69	-14	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2030	27	MLB	TOR	52%	410	361	72	14	2	7	39	113	7	8	1	199	290	307	597	108	267	28	10	276	70	-14	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.6
2031	28	MLB	TOR	53%	422	371	75	15	2	8	41	117	7	7	1	202	294	318	612	116	266	28	10	275	69	-15	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.5
2027	24	MLB	TOR	30%	81	72	13	3	0	1	8	23	1	1	0	181	272	264	535	83	264	28	10	253	52	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	151	134	27	5	1	3	14	42	2	3	0	201	287	321	608	119	266	28	9	260	57	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	197	173	35	7	1	4	19	55	3	4	1	202	292	324	616	121	268	28	10	264	60	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2030	27	MLB	TOR	52%	215	190	39	8	1	4	20	60	3	4	1	205	291	321	612	116	268	28	9	265	61	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB	TOR	53%	225	197	40	8	1	4	22	63	4	4	1	203	296	315	611	112	268	28	10	264	61	-10	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	869	767	154	31	4	16	83	243	13	16	3	201	290	314	604	113	270	28	10	263	59	-40	+2	-0	+16	+25	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	115	23	3	12	62	182	10	12	2	200	290	314	604	113	269	28	10	263	59	-30	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2218	1945	383	78	12	35	213	639	40	42	5	197	289	303	593	106	271	29	10	270	65	-88	+6	-1	+40	+63	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	113	23	4	10	62	187	12	12	1	198	290	305	595	107	273	29	10	270	65	-26	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	91	78	22	4	0	1	11	12	1	2	282	378	372	750	90	318	13	12	341	119	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	176	143	30	9	2	2	22	52	6	5	210	339	343	682	133	298	30	12	307	93	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	22	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	21	13	4	1	0	0	7	3	1	0	308	571	385	956	77	400	14	33	458	209	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,070	17	19	196	283	302	+19	+12	0.8	0.9
	/162	664	11	12	196	283	302	+11.9	+7.4	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brock Tibbitts (OGILVIE)	23	25	35	45	50	188/289/284	96	277	3	8	32%	10%	57	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→43	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	50	-1.7	210/273/324	114	268	12	11	25%	6%	65	-0.7	206/269/325	118	259	13	11	25%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	223/272/296	73	306	3	7	26%	6%	56	-1.3	239/281/303	65	323	1	7	25%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕David Narodowski 2011 · A	22	36	40	42→45	46	181/257/264	83	246	8	7	29%	8%	43	-2.2	200/260/286	86	282	7	8	29%	7%	50	-1.8	185/240/258	73	257	4	7	28%	7%	30	-0.7
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2012 · A	23	39	35→30	46→30	41	187/226/248	61	230	3	5	20%	4%	24	-3.5	214/259/272	58	268	3	3	20%	5%	44	-2.1	216/259/262	46	264	2	1	18%	4%	39	-0.8
✕Riccio Torrez 2013 · A	23	36→33	40	47→45	40	182/238/273	91	226	8	7	24%	4%	37	-2.6	196/252/283	87	254	7	6	25%	4%	46	-2.0	190/245/269	79	248	6	3	25%	3%	37	-1.0
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	40→30	44→45	43	189/258/273	84	244	8	6	25%	6%	46	-2.0	208/266/289	81	270	5	4	23%	6%	53	-1.5	200/262/272	72	270	4	3	26%	5%	45	-1.0