Evelio Hernandez

P ACL Guardians

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 167 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKCLE	3	1	8	2.16	3.22	25.6%	17.9%	—	K 25.6% · BB 17.9% · FIP 3.21
2026	22	ROKCLE	15	0	17	7.94	6.75	21.4%	13.1%	—	K 14.6% · BB 16.4% · FIP 8.52
2027PROJ	23	MLBCLE	10	0	10	5.15	5.15	21.2%	13.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCLE	9	0	9	4.95	4.87	21.9%	12.2%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTrent Fennell (age 23) · Joey Matulovich (age 22) · Radhames Liz (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%21.2%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%7.4%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	11	11	42	169	53	16	3	100%	3.8	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.2%	2.16	4.01	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	11	11	42	169	53	16	3	100%	3.8	31.4%	9.5%	21.9%	1.8%	2.16	2.64	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	8	41	188	52	17	6	73%	3.7	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.3%	5.93	4.76	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	11	8	41	188	52	17	6	73%	3.7	27.7%	9.0%	18.6%	3.2%	5.93	3.71	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	3	1	8	39	10	7	0	33%	2.8	25.6%	17.9%	7.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.21	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	3	1	8	39	10	7	0	33%	2.8	25.6%	17.9%	7.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.21	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	3	1	8	39	10	7	0	33%	2.8	25.6%	17.9%	7.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.22	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	17	84	18	11	5	0%	1.1	14.6%	16.4%	-1.8%	8.3%	7.94	8.52	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	17	84	18	11	5	0%	1.1	14.6%	16.4%	-1.8%	8.3%	7.94	8.52	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	15	0	17	84	18	11	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	6.0%	7.94	6.75	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CLE	10	0	10	42	9	6	1	0%	1.0	21.2%	13.8%	7.4%	3.1%	5.15	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	3.1%	4.95	4.87	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	9	0	9	38	8	5	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	3.1%	4.95	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	3.1%	4.95	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.2%	9.7%	3.1%	4.95	4.49	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		40	20	108	480	94	62	17	50%	2.7	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	3.5%	4.50	5.03	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	37	200	889	173	115	31	50%	2.7	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	3.5%	4.50	5.03	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evelio Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	21.2%	13.8%	3.1%	—	4.87	21.9%	9.7%	20	-0.28	—	—	—
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	81
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	81
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	78
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	78
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	77
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	77
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	77
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	76
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	76
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	76
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	76
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	76
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	76
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	75
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	75
Luis Rujano R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	21	SW	4.54	17.0%	12.3%	2.4%	.361	4.80	17.9%	-0.8%	97	+0.26	4.54	203	75
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	75