Nathan HumphreysOF
Clearwater Threshers
Age 23
L/R
6'2" / 207 lbs
A
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2030
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .274 / .328
PA105
HR2
SB5
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-2M | -$6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 102 | 89 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .191 | .280 | .281 | .561 | .090 | .356 | 43 | 11 | .252 | 51 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 61 | 53 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 3 | .189 | .295 | .415 | .710 | .226 | .206 | 26 | 13 | .295 | 84 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 44 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .273 | .325 | .598 | .125 | .279 | 30 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | 105 | 93 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 0 | 5 | 3 | .194 | .286 | .376 | .662 | .183 | .233 | 28 | 11 | .288 | 78 | -3 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | PHI | 187 | 167 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .216 | .292 | .359 | .651 | .144 | .273 | 26 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | PHI | 282 | 252 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 3 | .222 | .300 | .373 | .673 | .151 | .276 | 26 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | PHI | 347 | 309 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 88 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .223 | .302 | .375 | .678 | .152 | .277 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 90 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | PHI | 380 | 338 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 36 | 97 | 3 | 9 | 4 | .222 | .302 | .373 | .675 | .151 | .277 | 26 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | PHI | 399 | 355 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 103 | 3 | 9 | 4 | .223 | .303 | .369 | .672 | .146 | .277 | 26 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | PHI | 404 | 359 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 105 | 3 | 8 | 3 | .220 | .302 | .365 | .667 | .145 | .276 | 26 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | PHI | 404 | 359 | 79 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 106 | 3 | 7 | 3 | .220 | .302 | .365 | .667 | .145 | .275 | 26 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | PHI | 395 | 351 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 106 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .217 | .298 | .362 | .660 | .145 | .273 | 27 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 380 | 338 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 104 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .213 | .294 | .352 | .647 | .139 | .271 | 27 | 9 | .289 | 80 | -9 | -0 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 352 | 313 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 98 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .211 | .292 | .348 | .641 | .137 | .270 | 28 | 9 | .284 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 310 | 276 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .199 | .280 | .319 | .599 | .120 | .268 | 29 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -10 | -0 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3986 | 3546 | 767 | 145 | 20 | 106 | 378 | 1074 | 29 | 69 | 29 | .216 | .297 | .358 | .655 | .142 | .277 | 27 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -75 | +2 | -20 | -24 | +113 | -0.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 578 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 175 | 5 | 11 | 5 | .216 | .298 | .356 | .654 | .140 | .278 | 27 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -12 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +18 | -0.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 102 | 86 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .233 | .340 | .360 | .700 | .128 | .346 | 32 | 14 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nathan Humphreys (OGILVIE) | 23 | — | — | — | — | .209/.274/.328 | .119 | .290 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 7% | 67 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A |
23 | 39→47 | 48→55 | 46→45 | 43 | .204/.269/.341 | .137 | .271 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.282/.376 | .150 | .297 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A |
23 | 41→46 | 42→50 | 51→40 | 45 | .201/.269/.304 | .103 | .264 | 9 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.280/.362 | .140 | .293 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.286/.378 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 44→60 | 48→50 | 41 | .191/.252/.307 | .116 | .277 | 12 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .211/.294/.396 | .185 | .299 | 24 | 9 | 35% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .210/.307/.421 | .211 | .281 | 28 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→47 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .211/.270/.356 | .146 | .270 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.290/.386 | .163 | .284 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.295/.390 | .167 | .282 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 45 | .204/.281/.326 | .122 | .262 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.391 | .172 | .284 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.266/.411 | .196 | .270 | 28 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
●Ryan Schimpf 2011 · A |
23 | 39 | 43→60 | 52→45 | 39 | .192/.257/.314 | .121 | .284 | 9 | 10 | 34% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .198/.273/.355 | .157 | .273 | 17 | 7 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .201/.284/.419 | .218 | .235 | 28 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A |
23 | 36→45 | 43→55 | 52→40 | 41 | .184/.246/.294 | .110 | .257 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .210/.280/.351 | .141 | .289 | 15 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .218/.292/.382 | .164 | .293 | 19 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A |
23 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 47 | .198/.263/.312 | .114 | .259 | 9 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .192/.274/.305 | .113 | .267 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A |
23 | 43→44 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 47 | .209/.291/.330 | .121 | .305 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.290/.374 | .164 | .332 | 20 | 4 | 39% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .200/.288/.364 | .164 | .316 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2012 · A |
23 | 41→51 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.277/.322 | .124 | .308 | 11 | 11 | 36% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.273/.363 | .147 | .317 | 15 | 12 | 35% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .234/.288/.372 | .138 | .297 | 14 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A |
22 | 40→43 | 45→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .201/.261/.328 | .127 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.262/.357 | .142 | .295 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A |
23 | 41→43 | 50→60 | 47→50 | 43 | .211/.272/.363 | .152 | .278 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .212/.264/.386 | .174 | .301 | 22 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .212/.281/.401 | .189 | .265 | 26 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A |
23 | 42→48 | 44→50 | 52→50 | 37 | .208/.257/.321 | .112 | .300 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .230/.279/.338 | .108 | .309 | 11 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.287/.332 | .097 | .308 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Sam Hilliard 2017 · A |
23 | 43→48 | 45→55 | 53→55 | 39 | .209/.263/.333 | .124 | .313 | 12 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .208/.258/.324 | .116 | .328 | 12 | 20 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.279/.381 | .178 | .280 | 21 | 18 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A |
23 | 42→49 | 43→50 | 47→50 | 40 | .210/.271/.317 | .108 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.282/.365 | .141 | .307 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .221/.281/.375 | .154 | .306 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A |
23 | 42 | 48→55 | 54→50 | 43 | .211/.278/.356 | .145 | .284 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.265/.369 | .152 | .281 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.256/.369 | .155 | .272 | 16 | 10 | 27% | 5% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
●Sean Bouchard 2019 · A |
23 | 38→44 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 37 | .196/.244/.314 | .117 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .296 | 13 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.323/.415 | .191 | .292 | 21 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 106 | +1.0 |
|
✕Sean Ratliff 2010 · A |
23 | 41→49 | 46→55 | 48→45 | 33 | .210/.243/.342 | .132 | .299 | 13 | 8 | 34% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .228/.269/.373 | .145 | .330 | 16 | 8 | 34% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .240/.284/.400 | .160 | .340 | 19 | 7 | 34% | 5% | 86 | +0.7 |
|
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A |
23 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 48→45 | 41 | .209/.270/.334 | .124 | .291 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.279/.341 | .130 | .295 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.275/.338 | .132 | .284 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.4 |