Nathan Humphreys

Nathan HumphreysCF Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 207 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION416 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP258

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	86	20	5	0	2	14	33	0	4	1	233	340	360	700	128	346	32	14	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	89	17	5	0	1	11	44	0	4	1	191	280	281	561	90	326	43	11	252	57	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	89	17	5	0	1	11	44	0	4	1	191	280	281	561	90	356	43	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	86	20	5	0	2	14	33	0	4	1	233	340	360	700	128	346	32	14	315	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	90	17	5	0	1	11	44	0	4	1	189	280	278	558	89	326	43	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	90	17	5	0	1	11	44	0	4	1	189	280	278	558	89	326	43	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A MLE	PHI	—	416	361	75	19	1	12	44	100	8	23	7	208	308	366	673	158	251	24	11	294	85	-7	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	PHI	—	310	254	67	17	0	12	48	49	5	21	5	264	391	472	863	209	282	16	15	382	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	PHI	—	106	91	16	3	1	2	12	23	3	2	2	176	292	297	589	121	212	22	11	276	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		255	22	11	299	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	PHI	—	425	369	76	19	1	12	45	102	8	23	7	206	306	360	666	154	249	24	11	295	85	-7	+2	+0	+2	+9	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	454	398	85	18	2	13	47	110	6	12	3	214	306	367	673	153	259	24	10	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	490	430	93	20	2	14	50	117	7	13	4	216	308	370	678	153	261	24	10	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	512	448	98	21	2	15	52	122	7	13	4	219	310	375	685	156	263	24	10	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	511	446	98	21	2	15	53	122	7	13	4	220	312	377	689	157	263	24	10	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	506	441	97	21	2	15	53	122	7	13	4	220	313	379	692	159	263	24	10	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	500	437	95	20	2	15	52	121	7	11	3	217	310	375	686	158	262	24	10	305	93	-4	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.8
2033	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	492	431	92	20	1	14	52	120	6	10	3	213	307	362	669	148	261	24	11	303	91	-5	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.6
2034	31	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	403	353	74	16	1	11	42	100	5	7	2	210	302	354	657	144	258	25	10	299	88	-6	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	137	120	26	6	0	4	14	33	2	4	1	217	309	367	675	150	261	24	10	299	91	-1	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	216	189	42	9	1	7	22	52	3	6	2	222	313	392	705	169	264	24	10	302	93	-2	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	260	228	51	11	1	8	27	62	3	7	2	224	314	386	700	162	266	24	10	304	94	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	268	234	53	11	1	9	28	64	4	7	2	226	320	397	717	171	266	24	10	304	95	-2	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	270	236	53	11	1	9	28	65	4	7	2	225	317	394	711	169	266	24	10	303	94	-2	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	263	231	51	11	1	8	27	64	3	6	2	221	310	381	691	160	265	24	10	301	93	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	256	224	49	10	1	8	27	63	3	5	2	219	311	379	690	161	263	25	11	299	91	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	209	182	39	8	1	6	22	52	3	4	1	214	309	368	677	154	261	25	11	294	88	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1879	1644	364	77	7	59	195	455	25	46	14	221	313	384	698	163	268	24	10	301	92	-16	+4	-4	+7	+41	3.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	125	27	2	20	67	157	9	16	5	220	312	380	691	160	266	24	10	301	92	-6	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3979	3481	750	162	14	113	413	980	52	96	28	215	308	367	675	152	265	25	10	304	92	-34	+8	-7	+14	+84	6.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	121	26	2	18	67	160	8	16	5	213	304	360	664	148	261	25	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.1	2,065	60	49	217	306	370	-11	+0	2.8	2.7
/162	664	19	16	-3.4	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 3
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Humphreys (OGILVIE)	23	39→44	45→50	54→59	63	207/302/355	148	255	5	7	25%	10%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	45→53	48→45	56→60	49	229/300/373	144	280	16	18	24%	8%	91	+0.6	227/285/347	120	317	11	22	30%	7%	78	-0.3	228/294/342	115	331	8	33	31%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	89	+0.5	206/266/291	85	289	6	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	164/227/201	37	243	0	2	30%	7%	22	-1.4
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA	24	46→48	47→55	52→50	49	232/305/370	139	284	15	16	24%	8%	92	+0.7	221/298/372	151	270	17	11	24%	9%	91	+0.6	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	51→54	51→50	55→60	46	257/314/415	157	302	19	16	22%	7%	105	+1.7	227/296/370	143	286	16	24	25%	8%	88	+0.5	236/302/353	118	292	12	34	22%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Robert Perry 2008 · A	23	50→42	44→50	53→55	51	241/317/370	129	275	10	16	17%	8%	96	+1.0	207/289/302	95	254	6	12	20%	7%	71	-0.8	193/280/260	67	234	3	12	17%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	88	+0.4	216/294/377	161	276	19	10	28%	9%	90	+0.6	211/292/376	165	256	20	8	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	90	+0.6	211/279/321	110	284	8	11	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/275/315	109	281	7	9	27%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	47→50	58→55	46	200/276/339	139	268	15	19	30%	9%	74	-0.5	213/284/345	132	280	14	17	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	71	-0.8	236/296/330	94	314	8	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	261/318/385	124	324	11	31	22%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Daulton Varsho 2019 · A	23	47→49	47→60	55→50	42	233/291/362	129	300	15	18	27%	6%	84	+0.2	239/303/406	167	279	19	17	21%	7%	99	+1.3	228/296/424	195	260	25	15	23%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A	24	43	50→55	56→55	42	220/284/372	152	280	18	16	28%	6%	84	+0.2	197/264/361	164	273	20	17	35%	6%	75	-0.5	170/241/333	163	239	21	19	38%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45→44	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	211/273/334	123	271	14	11	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/394	170	271	21	14	25%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	47→52	45	53→50	48	229/294/357	128	272	11	11	20%	7%	84	+0.2	233/296/353	120	273	13	14	19%	7%	84	+0.2	228/318/350	122	261	10	9	16%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/276/353	144	286	15	11	31%	7%	77	-0.3	217/263/366	149	281	15	11	28%	5%	75	-0.5	215/257/366	151	272	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→45	58→60	54	211/315/327	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	86	+0.3	215/313/338	123	273	13	33	24%	11%	88	+0.5	211/310/338	127	264	13	40	24%	11%	84	+0.2
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	18%	9%	89	+0.5	239/317/346	107	281	10	8	17%	9%	91	+0.6	243/344/432	189	274	24	4	20%	12%	118	+1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps