Nathan Humphreys

Nathan HumphreysOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 L/R 6'2" / 207 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION277 act + 184 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†96

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .312 / .396

PA184

HR6

SB7

K%25

BB%10

BABIP271

ISO173

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.1M
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$16M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	89	17	5	0	1	11	41	0	4	1	191	280	281	561	90	333	40	11	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	86	20	5	0	2	14	33	0	4	1	233	340	360	700	128	346	32	14	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	PHI	—	277	239	56	15	0	10	31	64	5	17	5	234	335	423	757	188	277	23	11	331	111	+4	+1	+0	-2	+8	1.1
YTD	23	A	PHI	—	277	229	62	16	0	12	41	45	5	17	5	271	393	498	891	227	289	16	15	392	158	+18	+1	+0	-2	+8	2.6
ROS	23	A	PHI	0%	184	161	36	8	1	6	19	46	2	7	2	223	312	396	708	173	266	25	10	310	96	-1	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		268	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	PHI	—	277	240	56	15	0	10	31	64	5	17	5	233	335	421	755	188	275	23	11	331	111	+4	+1	+0	-2	+8	1.1
TOT	23	A	PHI	—	461	400	92	23	1	16	50	110	7	24	7	230	326	412	737	182	275	24	11	323	105	+3	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	510	446	99	21	2	16	53	126	6	13	4	222	313	386	699	164	269	25	10	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-3	+14	1.1
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	523	457	103	22	2	17	54	128	7	13	4	225	317	394	710	168	271	24	10	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-3	+15	1.3
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	528	462	105	22	2	17	54	128	7	13	4	227	317	394	711	167	272	24	10	317	101	+0	+1	+0	-3	+15	1.4
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	527	460	104	22	2	17	55	128	7	13	4	226	318	393	711	167	273	24	10	317	101	+1	+1	+0	-3	+15	1.4
2031	28	MLB	PHI	53%	523	456	104	22	2	17	55	128	7	13	3	228	320	397	717	169	272	24	11	316	100	+0	+1	-1	-3	+15	1.3
2032	29	MLB	PHI	53%	516	451	101	21	2	16	54	127	6	12	3	224	315	386	701	162	271	25	10	314	99	-1	+1	-1	-3	+15	1.1
2033	30	MLB	PHI	52%	508	444	98	21	1	16	53	127	6	10	3	221	312	381	693	160	270	25	10	312	97	-2	+1	-2	-3	+14	0.8
2034	31	MLB	PHI	52%	500	438	95	20	1	15	52	126	6	9	2	217	308	370	678	153	267	25	10	307	93	-4	+1	-3	-3	+14	0.6
2035	32	MLB	PHI	52%	491	431	91	19	1	14	51	126	6	7	2	211	303	357	661	146	264	26	10	302	89	-6	+1	-4	-3	+14	0.2
2036	33	MLB	PHI	56%	424	372	78	16	1	12	44	111	5	5	1	210	302	355	657	145	259	26	10	295	84	-8	+1	-4	-3	+12	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	153	134	30	7	0	5	16	38	2	4	1	224	316	388	704	164	271	25	10	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	231	202	47	10	1	8	24	56	3	6	2	233	323	411	734	178	274	24	10	309	95	-1	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.4
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	268	235	53	11	1	9	28	65	3	7	2	226	316	396	712	170	275	24	10	310	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.5
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	276	242	55	12	1	9	29	67	3	7	2	227	318	397	714	169	275	24	11	310	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2031	28	MLB	PHI	53%	279	244	56	12	1	9	29	68	4	7	2	230	321	398	719	168	274	24	10	309	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.5
2032	29	MLB	PHI	53%	271	238	54	11	1	9	28	67	3	6	2	227	316	395	711	168	273	25	10	308	94	-2	+0	-1	-2	+8	0.4
2033	30	MLB	PHI	52%	265	232	52	11	1	8	28	66	3	5	1	224	316	384	699	159	272	25	11	305	92	-3	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.3
2034	31	MLB	PHI	52%	259	227	51	11	1	8	27	65	3	5	1	225	315	388	703	163	270	25	10	301	88	-3	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2035	32	MLB	PHI	52%	254	222	49	10	1	8	27	65	3	4	1	221	313	383	696	162	266	26	11	295	84	-5	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.0
2036	33	MLB	PHI	56%	237	207	44	9	1	7	25	62	3	3	1	213	306	367	674	155	261	26	11	288	79	-6	+0	-2	-1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2493	2184	491	104	9	80	261	619	30	54	15	225	316	391	707	166	275	25	10	304	91	-25	+5	-8	-15	+71	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	128	27	2	21	68	161	8	14	4	225	316	390	706	165	274	25	10	304	91	-7	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5336	4667	1031	219	17	164	555	1342	65	119	33	221	312	380	693	160	272	25	10	310	96	-26	+11	-15	-32	+151	9.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	126	27	2	20	68	163	8	14	4	221	314	381	695	160	272	25	10	310	96	-3	+1	-2	-4	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	102	86	20	5	0	2	14	33	0	4	1	233	340	360	700	128	346	32	14	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,679	83	57	221	309	381	-16	+0	4.7	4.4
	/162	664	21	14	221	309	381	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Humphreys (OGILVIE)	23	39→44	48→53	55→60	64	230/326/412	182	275	16	24	24%	11%	105	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	46→55	48→50	56→60	50	230/303/374	143	281	15	18	24%	9%	90	+1.0	227/285/354	127	322	12	22	31%	7%	78	+0.2	229/293/352	123	335	9	33	32%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	88	+0.9	207/267/292	85	288	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	167/229/205	38	244	0	2	29%	7%	13	-1.3
●Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	51→60	52→55	42	210/269/372	161	268	19	12	29%	7%	76	+0.1	228/295/407	179	286	20	20	27%	8%	95	+1.4	229/301/413	184	286	21	22	27%	9%	97	+1.3
✕Daulton Varsho 2019 · A	23	47→49	47→60	55→50	42	237/293/366	130	303	15	18	27%	6%	85	+0.7	242/305/419	177	281	21	17	21%	7%	103	+1.9	227/294/419	192	260	25	15	23%	8%	96	+1.3
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA	24	46→47	49→60	52→50	47	230/301/375	145	284	16	16	25%	8%	91	+1.1	224/300/390	166	270	20	11	24%	8%	94	+1.3	212/319/414	202	253	29	2	28%	11%	105	+1.0
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→60	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	85	+0.7	225/286/339	114	297	8	7	26%	6%	74	-0.1	224/283/416	193	281	26	5	30%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Dustin Harris 2022 · A	23	50→51	52→55	55→60	46	256/312/420	164	298	20	16	22%	7%	107	+2.2	230/299/387	157	287	18	24	26%	8%	92	+1.2	236/306/357	121	292	13	33	22%	8%	85	+0.6
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	47→48	49→55	57→55	45	236/289/395	160	287	15	16	24%	7%	90	+1.0	235/296/383	148	288	14	17	23%	8%	90	+1.0	234/299/385	150	285	15	17	23%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→43	50→55	55→50	42	210/278/365	154	290	17	11	32%	7%	78	+0.2	216/261/364	148	282	14	11	28%	5%	70	-0.3	214/254/362	148	274	14	10	27%	4%	63	-0.6
●Spencer Packard 2022 · A	24	45→52	45→50	51→40	46	223/289/347	124	263	13	7	20%	6%	78	+0.2	237/308/377	140	278	16	5	20%	8%	94	+1.3	243/323/372	129	281	14	1	18%	9%	96	+1.2
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	45→53	45→50	53→50	49	224/290/352	128	265	11	11	20%	7%	79	+0.3	236/299/370	134	274	15	14	20%	7%	88	+0.9	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Jaff Decker 2013 · AA	23	37→47	52→55	50→55	47	201/282/368	167	258	20	11	30%	9%	82	+0.5	216/289/343	127	286	12	11	27%	9%	77	+0.1	217/292/336	119	282	11	13	25%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	86	+0.8	217/296/385	168	279	20	10	28%	9%	92	+1.2	213/294/385	172	258	21	8	26%	9%	88	+0.7
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	34→44	50→55	53→55	43	182/261/332	150	274	19	14	39%	9%	63	-0.8	211/311/389	178	311	20	18	35%	12%	98	+1.6	225/329/410	185	318	19	26	32%	12%	109	+1.7
✕Robert Perry 2008 · A	23	50→42	44→50	53→55	51	241/317/370	129	275	10	16	17%	8%	95	+1.4	207/289/302	95	254	6	12	20%	7%	67	-0.5	193/280/260	67	234	3	12	17%	8%	50	-1.3
✕Michael Massey 2022 · A	24	42→51	53→55	51→50	44	223/278/397	173	250	21	11	21%	6%	86	+0.8	242/291/412	170	288	20	10	23%	5%	96	+1.5	249/295/423	175	291	22	9	22%	5%	99	+1.3
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/298/376	137	272	15	16	19%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/379	153	275	18	9	24%	8%	89	+1.0	216/291/376	160	255	19	8	23%	8%	84	+0.5