Spencer PackardOF
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 28
L/R
5'11" / 210 lbs
AAA
HR +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2026
wRC+†99
AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .326 / .364
PA250
HR5
K%18
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
60→60
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
EYE
53↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $2M | $0.6M | -$1M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 138 | 125 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .208 | .283 | .320 | .603 | .112 | .237 | 18 | 6 | .270 | 65 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 363 | 320 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 77 | 12 | 5 | 1 | .222 | .308 | .356 | .665 | .134 | .262 | 21 | 8 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 550 | 490 | 124 | 23 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 107 | 11 | 1 | 1 | .253 | .328 | .400 | .728 | .147 | .292 | 19 | 8 | .321 | 104 | +2 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 403 | 354 | 84 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 0 | .237 | .323 | .342 | .665 | .105 | .284 | 20 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | 2 teams | 579 | 509 | 115 | 23 | 1 | 8 | 51 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 0 | .226 | .316 | .322 | .638 | .096 | .261 | 16 | 9 | .288 | 79 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +16 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 250 | 221 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .249 | .331 | .376 | .706 | .127 | .287 | 18 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 20% | SEA | 323 | 285 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .249 | .331 | .379 | .710 | .130 | .288 | 19 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 33% | SEA | 343 | 304 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 68 | 6 | 1 | 0 | .240 | .321 | .362 | .682 | .122 | .287 | 20 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 43% | SEA | 342 | 303 | 73 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 69 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .322 | .363 | .685 | .122 | .287 | 20 | 9 | .309 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 52% | SEA | 332 | 294 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 69 | 6 | 0 | 0 | .238 | .319 | .361 | .680 | .122 | .286 | 21 | 9 | .305 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 64% | SEA | 308 | 273 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .315 | .352 | .666 | .117 | .285 | 21 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -4 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 73% | SEA | 268 | 238 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .231 | .312 | .345 | .657 | .113 | .284 | 22 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -5 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4199 | 3716 | 881 | 167 | 12 | 86 | 360 | 823 | 89 | 13 | 2 | .237 | .319 | .358 | .677 | .121 | .281 | 20 | 9 | .302 | 90 | -49 | +2 | -19 | -25 | +119 | 2.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 136 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 127 | 14 | 2 | 0 | .237 | .319 | .357 | .676 | .120 | .280 | 20 | 9 | .302 | 90 | -8 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 138 | 120 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .348 | .375 | .723 | .125 | .276 | 14 | 9 | .331 | 111 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 307 | 255 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 41 | 47 | 9 | 5 | 1 | .282 | .400 | .490 | .890 | .208 | .303 | 15 | 13 | .394 | 159 | +21 | +1 | — | — | +9 | 3.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | 56 | 40 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .275 | .473 | .525 | .998 | .250 | .450 | 34 | 21 | .436 | 192 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 550 | 466 | 136 | 27 | 2 | 14 | 68 | 86 | 11 | 1 | 1 | .292 | .394 | .448 | .843 | .157 | .329 | 16 | 12 | .376 | 146 | +28 | -0 | — | — | +16 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 176 | 154 | 43 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .279 | .362 | .416 | .778 | .136 | .320 | 15 | 11 | .346 | 123 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 227 | 186 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .285 | .409 | .392 | .801 | .108 | .331 | 17 | 15 | .366 | 138 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 494 | 414 | 115 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 64 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 0 | .278 | .392 | .413 | .805 | .135 | .308 | 13 | 13 | .366 | 138 | +21 | +0 | — | — | +14 | 3.6 |
| 2025 | 27 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | 85 | 73 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .301 | .393 | .438 | .831 | .137 | .323 | 12 | 11 | .371 | 142 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Spencer Packard (OGILVIE) | 28 | 60 | 45 | 45 | 60 | .244/.326/.364 | .120 | .287 | 5 | 1 | 18% | 9% | 99 | +0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Brian Buscher 2009 · MLB |
28 | 53→57 | 45 | 40→45 | 49 | .261/.315/.385 | .124 | .289 | 13 | 4 | 15% | 6% | 98 | +1.6 | .240/.310/.354 | .114 | .274 | 12 | 4 | 16% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .216/.299/.309 | .093 | .249 | 9 | 0 | 16% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
●James Loney 2012 · MLB |
28 | 57→64 | 45→50 | 46→45 | 55 | .279/.340/.408 | .129 | .304 | 11 | 7 | 13% | 8% | 114 | +2.7 | .278/.328/.394 | .116 | .306 | 11 | 4 | 12% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .291/.340/.396 | .105 | .319 | 10 | 3 | 12% | 7% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
●Daniel Nava 2011 · MLB |
28 | 53→61 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 49 | .258/.332/.396 | .138 | .321 | 12 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 | .248/.330/.377 | .129 | .302 | 12 | 7 | 20% | 9% | 103 | +1.9 | .266/.354/.385 | .119 | .321 | 11 | 4 | 19% | 9% | 111 | +2.1 |
|
✕Donovan Walton 2022 · MLB |
28 | 51→54 | 49→50 | 40→45 | 50 | .256/.322/.403 | .148 | .284 | 16 | 7 | 16% | 7% | 107 | +2.2 | .231/.292/.363 | .132 | .265 | 13 | 8 | 18% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .238/.301/.343 | .104 | .271 | 12 | 5 | 16% | 7% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brennan Boesch 2013 · MLB |
28 | 51→55 | 49→55 | 46→50 | 47 | .256/.312/.407 | .151 | .297 | 17 | 8 | 20% | 7% | 103 | +1.9 | .245/.290/.397 | .152 | .298 | 17 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .235/.271/.374 | .139 | .293 | 16 | 9 | 25% | 4% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Larry Bigbie 2006 · MLB |
28 | 54→56 | 47→50 | 48→50 | 50 | .264/.325/.404 | .140 | .319 | 15 | 10 | 22% | 8% | 107 | +2.2 | .247/.309/.366 | .119 | .318 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .251/.312/.354 | .103 | .331 | 7 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2021 · MLB |
28 | 48→53 | 49→50 | 50 | 49 | .243/.307/.396 | .153 | .283 | 16 | 9 | 20% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .221/.283/.333 | .112 | .291 | 12 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .187/.257/.236 | .049 | .270 | 3 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 31 | -0.7 |
|
✕Ben Gamel 2020 · MLB |
28 | 56→63 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 51 | .264/.336/.390 | .126 | .337 | 10 | 9 | 23% | 9% | 108 | +2.3 | .246/.333/.385 | .139 | .327 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 11% | 106 | +2.2 | .235/.329/.378 | .143 | .305 | 15 | 6 | 26% | 12% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Paul McAnulty 2009 · MLB |
28 | 47→49 | 49→55 | 40 | 52 | .237/.313/.387 | .150 | .282 | 16 | 2 | 22% | 9% | 98 | +1.6 | .223/.289/.378 | .155 | .271 | 18 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .231/.293/.412 | .181 | .270 | 23 | 2 | 24% | 7% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
✕Mark Teahen 2011 · MLB |
29 | 54→60 | 46→55 | 44→50 | 49 | .262/.323/.396 | .134 | .321 | 12 | 7 | 22% | 8% | 104 | +2.0 | .232/.294/.332 | .100 | .306 | 8 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .212/.271/.287 | .075 | .290 | 5 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 51 | -0.8 |
|
✕Dominic Smith 2023 · MLB |
28 | 49→55 | 48→50 | 46→40 | 46 | .244/.308/.391 | .146 | .294 | 15 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .242/.309/.368 | .126 | .289 | 13 | 4 | 20% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .243/.312/.368 | .125 | .289 | 13 | 4 | 20% | 8% | 91 | +0.9 |
|
✕Travis Snider 2016 · MLB |
28 | 49→53 | 48→55 | 43→50 | 51 | .246/.317/.393 | .146 | .297 | 16 | 4 | 22% | 9% | 102 | +1.8 | .234/.299/.343 | .109 | .310 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .223/.293/.324 | .101 | .309 | 8 | 2 | 28% | 9% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Bronson Sardinha 2011 · AAA |
28 | 51→53 | 47→50 | 47→50 | 50 | .250/.315/.394 | .144 | .303 | 13 | 9 | 21% | 8% | 101 | +1.8 | .255/.325/.401 | .146 | .310 | 15 | 11 | 21% | 9% | 107 | +2.2 | .269/.340/.404 | .135 | .322 | 16 | 10 | 20% | 9% | 110 | +1.3 |
|
✕Casey Kotchman 2012 · MLB |
29 | 56→65 | 45→50 | 43→40 | 55 | .272/.341/.396 | .124 | .292 | 12 | 3 | 12% | 8% | 111 | +2.5 | .249/.308/.363 | .114 | .265 | 13 | 5 | 11% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .238/.293/.341 | .103 | .252 | 11 | 2 | 11% | 6% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Matt Beaty 2020 · MLB |
27 | 53→58 | 47→50 | 49→45 | 48 | .260/.311/.403 | .143 | .285 | 14 | 6 | 15% | 6% | 102 | +1.8 | .246/.317/.375 | .129 | .287 | 13 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .238/.331/.338 | .100 | .292 | 11 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
●Robbie Grossman 2018 · MLB |
28 | 49→57 | 46→45 | 44→50 | 58 | .241/.337/.370 | .129 | .297 | 13 | 8 | 22% | 12% | 104 | +2.0 | .254/.349/.383 | .129 | .306 | 11 | 7 | 19% | 12% | 112 | +2.6 | .242/.350/.402 | .161 | .287 | 17 | 17 | 21% | 13% | 111 | +1.9 |
|
✕David Cooper 2014 · MLB |
27 | 55→60 | 45→50 | 38→30 | 51 | .268/.320/.404 | .136 | .293 | 11 | 3 | 13% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .219/.277/.313 | .094 | .253 | 7 | 6 | 16% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .195/.262/.234 | .039 | .219 | 0 | 0 | 10% | 8% | 33 | -0.8 |
|
✕Luke Appert 2008 · AA |
28 | 50→54 | 45 | 45→40 | 58 | .243/.333/.371 | .128 | .281 | 12 | 3 | 18% | 11% | 102 | +1.9 | .237/.308/.350 | .113 | .291 | 11 | 4 | 21% | 9% | 86 | +0.8 | .226/.285/.331 | .106 | .277 | 11 | 1 | 22% | 8% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Terrence Long 2005 · MLB |
29 | 52→58 | 47→50 | 44→45 | 50 | .256/.307/.396 | .141 | .281 | 13 | 5 | 15% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .258/.302/.375 | .117 | .295 | 11 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .254/.296/.360 | .106 | .292 | 10 | 2 | 16% | 5% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
●Yonder Alonso 2014 · MLB |
27 | 55→57 | 45→55 | 48→45 | 53 | .267/.333/.392 | .125 | .303 | 12 | 7 | 16% | 9% | 107 | +2.2 | .258/.322/.374 | .116 | .288 | 10 | 7 | 14% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .253/.331/.423 | .170 | .287 | 21 | 2 | 19% | 10% | 110 | +2.2 |