Cole Stasio — OGILVIE

Cole Stasio P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%23.0%

BB%9.1%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	40	6	66	270	75	22	8	15%	1.6	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.7%	3.41	4.41	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	40	6	66	270	75	22	8	15%	1.6	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.7%	3.41	4.41	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	TEX	20	0	27	99	23	5	2	0%	1.4	23.2%	5.1%	18.2%	2.0%	1.33	2.89	—
2026	24	AA RAW	TEX	19	6	37	163	49	16	6	32%	1.9	30.1%	9.8%	20.2%	3.7%	5.11	3.83	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	TEX	1	0	2	8	3	1	0	0%	2.0	37.5%	12.5%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.52	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	62	0	65	276	65	24	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.8%	14.6%	3.0%	4.31	4.28	+0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	62	0	65	276	65	24	8	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.8%	14.8%	3.0%	4.28	4.26	+0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	61	0	64	272	64	24	8	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.9%	14.7%	3.1%	4.29	4.30	+0.2
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	28	0	29	122	29	11	4	0%	1.0	23.4%	8.8%	14.6%	3.0%	4.31	4.28	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	42	0	44	186	44	16	6	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.8%	14.8%	3.0%	4.28	4.26	+0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	48	0	50	211	50	19	6	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.9%	14.7%	3.1%	4.29	4.30	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		117	0	122	517	122	46	16	0%	1.0	23.6%	8.9%	14.7%	3.0%	4.29	3.90	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	75	26	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.9%	14.7%	3.0%	4.29	3.90	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		40	6	66	270	59	24	10	15%	1.6	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.7%	3.41	4.41	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	18	200	818	179	73	30	15%	1.6	21.9%	8.9%	13.0%	3.7%	3.41	4.41	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Stasio (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	23.0%	9.1%	3.0%	—	4.28	23.6%	14.7%	195	-0.07	—	—	—
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.07	20.4%	11.3%	128	+2.55	3.52	207	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	85
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	85
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	85
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	85
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	85
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	84
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	84
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	84
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	84
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	84
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	84
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	84
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	84
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	84
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	57	23.5%	8.9%	1.18	4.30
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58