Jorge Herrera — OGILVIE

Jorge Herrera P ACL Royals

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 19 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.25

FIP4.25

K%21.4%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%14.0%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	9	5	21	98	26	8	2	56%	2.4	18.0%	10.2%	7.8%	2.7%	5.91	4.37	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	9	5	21	98	26	8	2	56%	2.4	26.5%	8.2%	18.4%	2.0%	5.91	3.01	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	10	9	37	147	30	8	1	90%	3.7	13.9%	6.8%	7.1%	1.0%	2.17	3.32	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	10	9	37	147	30	8	1	90%	3.7	13.9%	6.8%	7.1%	1.0%	2.17	3.32	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	10	9	37	147	30	8	1	90%	3.7	20.4%	5.4%	15.0%	0.7%	2.17	2.48	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	14	1	30	121	29	6	3	7%	2.1	16.3%	6.2%	10.1%	3.7%	3.30	4.54	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	14	1	30	121	29	6	3	7%	2.1	16.3%	6.2%	10.1%	3.7%	3.30	4.54	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	14	1	30	121	29	6	3	7%	2.1	24.0%	5.0%	19.0%	2.5%	3.30	3.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	KC	18	0	19	80	17	6	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	7.4%	14.0%	3.0%	4.25	4.25	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	KC	26	0	27	115	25	9	3	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.4%	14.6%	3.0%	4.23	4.20	+0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	KC	11	0	12	51	11	4	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.4%	14.6%	3.0%	4.23	4.20	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	11	4	1	0%	1.1	22.0%	7.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	3.82	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	69	17	0%	1.0	22.0%	7.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.23	3.82	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		33	15	89	366	58	27	9	45%	2.7	15.8%	7.5%	8.3%	2.3%	3.45	4.00	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	34	200	826	130	62	19	45%	2.7	15.8%	7.5%	8.3%	2.3%	3.45	4.00	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jorge Herrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.25	21.4%	7.4%	3.0%	—	4.20	22.0%	14.6%	27	-0.05	—	—	—
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	84
Juan Gutierrez R 2007 · 3.96 FIP	24	SW	3.96	17.2%	4.3%	3.2%	.314	3.83	20.4%	12.6%	128	-0.13	2.67	379	82
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	80
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	77
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	77
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Jared Kollar R 2022 · 5.13 FIP	24	SW	5.13	16.9%	6.2%	4.9%	.359	4.43	14.4%	6.7%	332	-0.70	3.85	345	76
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Anthony DeSclafani R 2014 · 3.61 FIP	24	SW	3.61	17.8%	3.4%	2.9%	.324	3.62	19.8%	14.0%	321	+0.01	3.38	1,014	76
Wilmer Rios R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	23	SW	4.95	16.3%	5.8%	4.5%	.265	5.25	16.2%	12.3%	80	+0.30	2.81	156	75
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	74
Ryan Brown R 2024 · 3.11 FIP	23	SW	3.11	20.3%	8.6%	1.2%	.292	6.78	9.4%	3.8%	34	+3.67	3.11	103	74
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	74
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	73
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	73
Esmil Rogers R 2010 · 3.07 FIP	24	SW	3.07	19.8%	7.2%	1.3%	.374	4.25	18.0%	9.9%	299	+1.18	2.86	616	73
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	73
Steven Bruce R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	25	SW	3.69	14.9%	5.0%	2.2%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.8%	94	+0.25	3.69	148	73
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	73