Ryan Brown
P Lansing Lugnuts| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROKOAK | 5 | 0 | 8 | 5.62 | 4.10 | 11.4% | 2.9% | — | K 11.4% · BB 2.9% · FIP 4.07 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX2 levels | 24 | 7 | 73 | 4.91 | 2.53 | 26.8% | 7.7% | — | K 20.3% · BB 8.6% · FIP 3.11 |
| 2026 | 25 | A+OAK | 27 | 0 | 34 | 6.88 | 6.07 | 12.2% | 4.9% | — | K 9.4% · BB 5.6% · FIP 6.78 |
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBOAK | — | — | 0 | 4.97 | 4.97 | 14.8% | 6.8% | — | |
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 27 | MLBOAK | 9 | 0 | 9 | 4.93 | 4.94 | 15.7% | 7.1% | -0.0 |
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | 5 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 11.4% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | 5 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 11.4% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 4.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 24 | 7 | 73 | 310 | 83 | 24 | 4 | 29% | 3.1 | 20.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 1.2% | 4.91 | 3.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 24 | 7 | 73 | 310 | 83 | 24 | 4 | 29% | 3.1 | 20.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 1.2% | 4.91 | 3.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 24 | 7 | 73 | 310 | 83 | 24 | 4 | 29% | 3.1 | 26.8% | 7.7% | 19.0% | 1.3% | 4.91 | 2.53 | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | 27 | 0 | 34 | 164 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.88 | 6.78 | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | 27 | 0 | 34 | 164 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.88 | 6.78 | — |
| 2026 | 25 | A+ RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | 27 | 0 | 34 | 164 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.88 | 6.07 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 4.97 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 22 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.56 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 139 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 4.56 | -0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 56 | 7 | 115 | 509 | 82 | 37 | 16 | 12% | 2.1 | 16.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 5.54 | 4.36 | -0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 97 | 12 | 200 | 883 | 143 | 64 | 27 | 12% | 2.1 | 16.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 5.54 | 4.36 | -0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 34 IPFIP 5.70 → 6.78 (+1.08)K% 12.2% → 9.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 12.20% | — | ×0.770 | 9.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.88% | — | ×1.150 | 5.61% |
| HR / BF /BF | 5.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.250 | 6.86% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 5.70 → 6.78, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AStockton Ports · 69 IPFIP 2.28 → 3.11 (+0.84)K% 27.4% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.43% | — | ×0.740 | 20.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 7.29% | — | ×1.180 | 8.60% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.04% | ÷1.164 | ×1.300 | 1.16% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 133).
Result: FIP 2.28 → 3.11, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 4 IPFIP 5.79 → 6.08 (+0.29)K% 18.2% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.18% | — | ×0.860 | 15.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.64% | — | ×0.900 | 12.27% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.55% | ÷1.001 | ×1.100 | 4.99% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 5.79 → 6.08, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Athletics · 8 IPFIP 4.07 → 5.12 (+1.05)K% 11.4% → 7.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 11.43% | — | ×0.680 | 7.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 2.86% | — | ×1.250 | 3.57% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.86% | ÷0.989 | ×1.400 | 4.04% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 98).
Result: FIP 4.07 → 5.12, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).