Alex Birge — OGILVIE

Alex BirgeC Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 177 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .269 / .312

PA177

HR4

K%39

BB%8

BABIP294

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	STL	—	143	126	16	4	1	3	12	72	5	2	1	127	231	246	477	119	255	50	8	214	22	-13	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.6
YTD	23	A	STL	—	143	122	23	6	1	4	16	51	5	2	1	189	308	352	660	164	284	36	11	303	90	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.5
ROS	23	A	STL	0%	177	157	29	6	1	4	14	69	4	3	1	185	269	312	581	127	284	39	8	255	54	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	240	42	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	STL	—	143	127	16	4	1	3	12	72	5	2	1	126	231	244	475	118	250	50	8	214	22	-13	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.6
TOT	23	A	STL	—	320	283	45	10	2	7	26	141	9	5	2	159	252	283	534	124	279	44	8	237	39	-22	+0	+0	+6	+9	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	STL	30%	414	371	69	14	2	9	32	154	8	5	2	186	265	307	572	121	287	37	8	263	60	-19	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.0
2028	25	MLB	STL	44%	498	447	85	17	3	11	39	179	9	6	2	190	269	315	584	125	287	36	8	269	64	-20	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.3
2029	26	MLB	STL	51%	520	464	90	18	3	12	41	184	10	7	2	194	274	323	597	129	288	35	8	273	67	-20	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.5
2030	27	MLB	STL	52%	520	463	90	18	3	12	42	183	10	7	2	194	276	324	600	130	287	35	8	274	68	-19	+1	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2027	24	MLB	STL	30%	125	112	21	4	1	3	10	46	2	2	1	188	266	321	588	134	286	37	8	249	49	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	STL	44%	220	197	38	8	1	5	17	79	4	3	1	193	271	320	590	127	287	36	8	255	53	-12	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	STL	51%	264	236	46	9	2	6	21	93	5	3	1	195	275	326	601	131	287	35	8	259	56	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	STL	52%	273	244	49	10	2	7	22	96	5	3	1	201	280	344	625	143	287	35	8	260	57	-13	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	882	790	154	31	6	21	70	314	16	11	4	195	274	329	603	134	290	36	8	257	55	-45	+1	+0	+16	+25	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	113	23	4	15	52	231	12	8	3	194	274	325	599	131	289	36	8	257	55	-33	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2129	1902	363	73	12	48	168	769	41	28	9	191	271	318	589	127	287	36	8	269	64	-87	+2	+0	+38	+60	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	111	22	4	15	51	235	13	9	3	191	271	320	591	129	287	36	8	269	64	-27	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,200	27	16	195	271	324	+21	+12	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	15	9	195	271	324	+11.9	+6.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Birge (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	159/252/283	124	279	7	5	44%	8%	39	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	36→32	47→50	48→50	38	189/248/323	134	278	14	6	36%	7%	55	-1.4	185/241/292	107	322	11	8	43%	6%	43	-2.2	157/213/246	90	292	9	9	47%	5%	18	-3.1
✕Kellin Deglan 2015 · A	23	36	48→50	47→40	38	192/251/330	138	270	16	3	34%	6%	58	-1.2	186/235/308	122	289	15	4	39%	5%	45	-2.1	174/241/288	114	278	13	2	40%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→26	45→50	49→50	36	179/246/303	123	286	13	9	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/241/281	103	288	9	9	39%	7%	40	-2.4	101/165/157	56	173	2	6	41%	7%	-25	-1.9
✕Mark Fleury 2011 · A	23	39	46→45	48→45	41	202/258/331	130	269	13	4	30%	6%	61	-1.0	203/275/301	98	305	7	6	33%	8%	60	-1.0	189/278/266	77	293	4	6	33%	10%	51	-0.6
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	34	41→50	42→40	41	176/240/273	97	255	9	4	33%	7%	38	-2.6	207/260/304	97	277	8	3	27%	6%	53	-1.5	221/281/340	119	284	13	0	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Cody Morissette 2023 · A	23	38→30	47→45	45→50	42	198/262/332	134	266	16	5	31%	7%	63	-0.8	181/233/300	119	243	14	11	31%	6%	43	-2.2	177/232/287	110	241	13	21	31%	6%	37	-1.4
✕Miguel Jerez 2021 · A	23	33	47→60	48→40	37	177/245/308	131	274	16	5	40%	7%	50	-1.7	188/257/316	128	307	14	5	41%	7%	57	-1.2	125/206/261	136	192	17	0	44%	7%	20	-1.2
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	46→50	45→30	47	200/276/328	128	267	13	3	29%	9%	68	-0.5	198/272/313	115	288	10	5	32%	9%	63	-0.9	146/236/243	98	222	7	0	35%	10%	29	-1.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A	23	37	46→55	47→30	44	188/274/317	128	274	14	2	35%	9%	65	-0.7	199/274/344	145	282	17	3	34%	7%	72	-0.2	184/260/325	141	260	18	0	35%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Sean Coughlin 2008 · A	23	40→37	41→50	43→30	41	194/262/294	99	288	9	3	34%	7%	53	-1.5	213/283/342	129	261	14	2	23%	8%	75	-0.0	209/281/339	130	248	15	1	22%	8%	73	-0.1