Alex Birge

C Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs A HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202623A+/ASTL204.181/.310/.3104522—.134/.237/.228
2027PROJMLE24MLBSTL254.166/.240/.2654443-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBSTL41.170/.245/.2731147-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%57
Max EV42
Chase%40
Z-Con%22
Whiff%12
K%11
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsJacob Wetzel (age 24) · Garrett Kennedy (age 24) · Cody Morissette (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .238 / .262
PA95
HR2
K%34
BB%7
ISO99
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202623 A+Peoria Chiefs — 2822 5200 590 20 227370318689 91357 3218 313 57 — — — — — —
202623 APalm Beach Cardinals — 176149 26614 21666 31 174301309610 134278 3812 286 16 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202623 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 2824 5200 4110 20 208333292625 83309 3914 253 57 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 176156 19413 14906 31 122222218440 96239 518 192 16 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 204179 24613 181016 51 134236229466 95276 509 200 22 — — — — — —
202623 A RAW2 teams — 204171 31814 26756 51 181310310620 129290 3713 289 22 — — — — — —
202623 A MLE2 teams — 204178 24613 181016 51 135236230467 96249 509 200 22 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202623 A MLE2 teams — 204178 24613 181016 51 135236230467 96249 509 200 22 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESTL 0% 254230 37714 19883 41 166240265505 99241 357 232 43 -17 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESTL 30% 135122 22413 10462 21 170245276520 105244 347 238 47 -8 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXSTL 30% 4137 6101 3141 10 170245273517 102246 347 237 47 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4137 6101 3141 10 162244270514 108227 347 237 34 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 9516016 4822216 160 162245271515 109226 347 237 34 -41 +3 +0 +12 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 434388 601328 351809 92 155241260501 106257 418 219 34 -15 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 8919312 5227013 133 153238258496 105255 428 219 34 -42 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 176 PAwOBA .279 → .192 (−87)K% 37.5% → 51.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.50%÷1.000×1.360——51.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.93%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9808.07%
HBP% /PA3.41%—×0.780—×0.9802.61%
Singles /BIP18.07%÷1.000×0.920×0.989×0.98016.11%
Doubles /BIP7.23%÷1.000×0.830×0.989×0.9805.81%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.910×0.989×0.9801.06%
Home runs /BIP4.82%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9803.78%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .279 → .192; ISO .134 → .087; BABIP .278 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Peoria Chiefs · 28 PAwOBA .318 → .253 (−65)K% 32.1% → 40.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.14%÷1.000×1.270——40.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.86%÷1.000×0.710—×0.98812.53%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.000×0.920—×0.98820.98%
Doubles /BIP15.38%÷1.000×0.810—×0.98812.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850—×0.9880.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9880.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .318 → .253; ISO .091 → .073; BABIP .357 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).