Caden Favors

P Akron RubberDucks

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 219 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.6 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #319MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP42ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	A+CLE	25	25	108	4.08	3.41	24.4%	11.2%	—	K 18.8% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.32
2026	24	AACLE	26	25	128	4.71	4.27	25.9%	8.9%	—	K 21.0% · BB 9.8% · FIP 5.25
2027PROJ	25	MLBCLE	25	25	148	5.03	5.03	21.3%	10.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCLE	12	12	70	4.92	4.90	21.9%	10.5%	0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCLE	17	17	100	4.88	4.89	21.9%	10.3%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$1M2033Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control45Command50FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 83%

CompsErik Bedard (age 25) · Anthony Veneziano (age 25) · Dalton Sawyer (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 129

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%21.3%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%10.4%

Proj IP148

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 148 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL—45

CMD4050

K†5050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	4	1	12	53	13	2	1	25%	2.9	18.2%	4.5%	13.7%	2.9%	3.09	3.73	—
2024	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	4	1	12	53	13	2	1	25%	2.9	18.2%	4.5%	13.7%	2.9%	3.09	3.73	—
2024	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	4	1	12	53	13	2	1	25%	2.9	24.5%	3.8%	20.8%	1.9%	3.09	2.50	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	25	25	108	463	113	52	8	100%	4.3	18.8%	12.9%	5.9%	2.1%	4.08	4.32	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	25	25	108	463	113	52	8	100%	4.3	18.8%	12.9%	5.9%	2.1%	4.08	4.32	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	25	25	108	463	113	52	8	100%	4.3	24.4%	11.2%	13.2%	1.7%	4.08	3.41	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	26	25	128	540	140	48	22	96%	4.9	21.0%	9.8%	11.2%	4.9%	4.71	5.25	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	26	25	128	540	140	48	22	96%	4.9	21.0%	9.8%	11.2%	4.9%	4.71	5.25	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	26	25	128	540	140	48	22	96%	4.9	25.9%	8.9%	17.0%	4.1%	4.71	4.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CLE	25	25	148	625	133	68	22	100%	5.9	21.3%	10.8%	10.4%	3.6%	5.03	5.03	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CLE	27	27	160	676	148	71	24	100%	5.9	21.9%	10.5%	11.4%	3.5%	4.92	4.90	0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	CLE	26	26	158	665	146	69	24	100%	6.1	21.9%	10.3%	11.6%	3.5%	4.88	4.89	+0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	CLE	25	25	153	646	141	67	23	100%	6.1	21.8%	10.4%	11.4%	3.6%	4.90	4.94	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	CLE	24	24	146	616	133	65	23	100%	6.1	21.6%	10.5%	11.0%	3.8%	4.99	5.06	-0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	CLE	23	23	137	579	123	63	23	100%	6.0	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	4.0%	5.14	5.23	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	CLE	12	12	70	296	65	31	10	100%	5.8	21.9%	10.5%	11.4%	3.5%	4.92	4.90	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	CLE	17	17	100	422	92	44	15	100%	5.9	21.9%	10.3%	11.6%	3.5%	4.88	4.89	+0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	CLE	19	19	115	486	106	50	18	100%	6.1	21.8%	10.4%	11.4%	3.6%	4.90	4.94	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	CLE	20	20	119	502	108	53	19	100%	6.0	21.6%	10.5%	11.0%	3.7%	4.98	5.05	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	CLE	20	20	118	498	106	54	20	100%	5.9	21.2%	10.8%	10.4%	3.9%	5.13	5.22	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		87	87	523	2206	477	232	82	100%	6.0	21.6%	10.5%	11.1%	3.7%	4.97	4.63	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	183	89	31	100%	6.0	21.6%	10.5%	11.1%	3.7%	4.97	4.63	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		55	51	248	1056	210	115	38	93%	4.5	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	3.6%	4.36	4.77	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	41	200	853	170	93	31	93%	4.5	19.9%	10.9%	9.0%	3.6%	4.36	4.77	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caden Favors (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	21.3%	10.8%	3.6%	—	4.91	21.9%	11.5%	470	-0.12	—	—	—
Erik Bedard L 2004 · 4.01 FIP	25	SP	4.01	19.1%	11.1%	2.1%	.317	3.28	23.8%	15.5%	520	-0.73	2.96	1,317	83
Anthony Veneziano L 2023 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	19.4%	8.0%	3.1%	.292	4.51	17.5%	8.3%	190	+0.30	4.18	539	82
Dalton Sawyer L 2017 · 4.11 FIP	23	SP-	4.11	20.6%	9.4%	2.8%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	160	81
Austin Warner L 2019 · 5.04 FIP	25	SP	5.04	18.9%	9.0%	4.4%	.313	4.37	19.3%	11.0%	159	-0.67	3.81	491	80
Amir Garrett L 2017 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP	5.33	18.7%	10.1%	4.6%	.302	3.60	30.3%	19.5%	137	-1.73	3.06	712	80
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	80
Matthew Boyd L 2016 · 4.27 FIP	25	SP	4.27	19.7%	7.0%	3.6%	.276	4.23	24.1%	17.0%	542	-0.04	2.22	1,457	79
Brandon Schaeffer L 2023 · 4.07 FIP	23	SP	4.07	16.4%	8.5%	2.3%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	134	79
Sean Newcomb L 2018 · 4.03 FIP	25	SP	4.03	23.0%	11.5%	2.6%	.272	3.63	24.5%	13.9%	152	-0.40	2.76	1,030	78
Juan Pablo Oramas L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SP	3.99	16.5%	8.6%	2.2%	.313	3.87	17.4%	6.8%	186	-0.12	3.46	440	78
Will Dion L 2024 · 4.97 FIP	24	SP	4.97	19.3%	9.4%	4.2%	.309	3.39	23.5%	16.3%	186	-1.58	3.14	535	77
Darin Gorski L 2015 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP	4.93	15.2%	11.4%	3.0%	.323	4.50	15.0%	5.2%	69	-0.43	4.50	206	77
Bryan Sammons L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	24	SP	4.28	21.1%	11.0%	2.9%	.287	6.30	18.5%	6.7%	158	+2.02	3.58	688	76
Daniel Camarena L 2018 · 4.32 FIP	25	SP	4.32	15.9%	9.7%	2.4%	.338	4.71	16.9%	10.5%	187	+0.39	3.76	674	76
Jonathan Dziedzic L 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SP	4.32	15.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.292	4.80	14.2%	5.3%	243	+0.48	3.88	522	76
Misael Siverio L 2015 · 3.89 FIP	26	SP	3.89	16.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.343	4.32	17.3%	8.2%	63	+0.43	3.89	185	76
Joe Whitman L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	22	SP	3.89	18.6%	9.9%	2.0%	.303	3.65	19.8%	11.7%	252	-0.24	3.51	355	76
Jeriome Robertson L 2003 · 4.70 FIP	26	SP	4.70	13.9%	7.9%	3.2%	.295	7.27	8.0%	-1.3%	14	+2.57	4.70	175	76
Colton Gordon L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SP	3.89	20.4%	6.7%	3.0%	.286	4.69	18.3%	13.4%	281	+0.80	2.73	586	75
Chad Bell L 2015 · 3.97 FIP	26	SP	3.97	15.7%	7.4%	2.3%	.326	4.07	19.0%	10.2%	252	+0.10	3.39	393	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.5	150	21.6%	10.6%	1.42	4.97
Jack Bentley ('13-'27, 5 WAR*)	3.6	143	21.1%*	9.8%*	1.35*	4.67*
Bill Stoneman ('67-'74, 7 WAR*)	6.2	155	22.8%*	11.1%*	1.25*	4.75*
Rip Hagerman ('09-'16, 0 WAR*)	2.2	144	21.2%*	11.8%*	1.44*	4.55*
Kevin Foster ('01)	2.5	127	18.9%	10.0%	1.55	4.86
Matt Beech ('98)	1.5	98	20.2%	10.0%	1.59	5.37
John Maine ('13)	3.0	99	19.5%	10.5%	1.23	4.45