Will Dion
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 26
LHP
5'10" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 91100vR 109
ERA3.94
FIP3.94
K%21.1%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 87 IP
Grades · Statcast · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1191.7
Whiff%
p2221.3%
K%
p5823.6%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 60% | 2.4 | 51.2% | 12.2% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.32 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 60% | 2.4 | 51.2% | 12.2% | 39.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.85 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 128 | 507 | 157 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.7% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 2.11 | 3.38 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 128 | 507 | 157 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 5.1 | 31.0% | 6.7% | 24.3% | 1.8% | 2.11 | 2.36 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 117 | 462 | 129 | 35 | 7 | 73% | 4.5 | 22.3% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 2.39 | 3.47 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 117 | 462 | 129 | 35 | 7 | 73% | 4.5 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 1.5% | 2.39 | 2.57 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 29 | 27 | 117 | 518 | 116 | 54 | 21 | 93% | 4.0 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 5.48 | 5.01 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 29 | 27 | 117 | 518 | 116 | 54 | 21 | 93% | 4.0 | 22.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 5.48 | 4.84 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 31 | 13 | 99 | 434 | 96 | 37 | 9 | 42% | 3.2 | 19.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 4.09 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 31 | 13 | 99 | 434 | 96 | 37 | 9 | 42% | 3.2 | 22.1% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 2.1% | 4.09 | 3.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 27 | 0 | 49 | 203 | 65 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 28.9% | 5.1% | 23.8% | 2.1% | 4.07 | 2.44 | +1.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CLE | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 87 | 366 | 99 | 24 | 8 | — | — | 27.2% | 6.7% | 20.5% | 2.3% | 4.01 | 3.10 | +2.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 50 | 211 | 99 | 24 | 8 | — | — | 47.1% | 11.6% | 35.6% | 4.0% | 7.01 | 2.79 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 70 | 0 | 73 | 309 | 62 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 68 | 0 | 71 | 299 | 61 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 64 | 0 | 68 | 286 | 58 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.71 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 59 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 58 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 55 | 25 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 0 | 251 | 1067 | 220 | 95 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.16 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 175 | 76 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 143 | 87 | 521 | 2165 | 484 | 190 | 54 | 61% | 3.6 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 3.44 | 3.70 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 33 | 200 | 831 | 186 | 73 | 21 | 61% | 3.6 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 2.5% | 3.44 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Dion (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.58 | 19.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.60 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 212 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 81 |
| Jordan Carr L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.39 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 1.2% | .270 | 5.11 | 12.6% | 1.9% | 129 | +1.72 | 3.39 | 261 | 77 |
| Nico Tellache L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 77 |
| Irwin Delgado L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.49 | 14.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .349 | 3.45 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 237 | -1.04 | 3.42 | 383 | 76 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 76 |
| Garrett Gainey L 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 75 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.39 | 18.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .282 | 4.13 | 16.2% | 7.0% | 87 | +0.74 | 3.39 | 300 | 74 |
| Matt Tracy L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 14.4% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .306 | 4.04 | 14.7% | 5.5% | 208 | +0.03 | 3.24 | 298 | 73 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 71 |
| Chris Reed L 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.84 | 16.4% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .238 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 137 | 71 |
| Ethan Flanagan L 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.23 | 21.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 102 | 71 |
| Kyle Ryan L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.79 | 20.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | .231 | 4.21 | 20.4% | 11.2% | 115 | -0.58 | 2.88 | 489 | 70 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 135 | 70 |
| Nate Peterson L 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 68 |
| Avery Weems L 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.13 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | .323 | 5.19 | 20.5% | 12.3% | 38 | +0.06 | 2.46 | 227 | 68 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.01 | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 381 | 68 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 68 |
| Frank Garces L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.13 | 16.9% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .317 | 4.56 | 15.0% | 7.1% | 132 | +0.43 | 4.13 | 306 | 68 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 68 |
| Rito Lugo L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 18.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 176 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 65 | 20.1% | 9.2% | 1.17 | 4.57 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |