Luke Scherrer — OGILVIE

Luke ScherrerC Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A BB +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.2 · 2031

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .290 / .326

PA146

HR3

K%28

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

42↗47

PWR

30↗35

SPD

50↗55

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.2	$21M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.1	$21M	+$20M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$19M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.7	$18M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.4	$15M	+$9M
Totals		$18M		$114M	+$96M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	139	116	25	7	0	0	12	29	8	4	2	.216	.331	.276	.607	.060	.281	21	9	.267	63	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	155	134	19	1	0	1	12	48	8	8	3	.142	.253	.172	.425	.030	.209	31	8	.195	7	-16	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	34	31	6	1	0	0	1	18	0	1	0	.194	.219	.226	.445	.032	.400	53	3	.189	3	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
ROS	21	MLB	PIT	112	101	22	4	1	2	9	34	1	2	1	.218	.288	.337	.625	.119	.295	30	8	.275	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
TOT	21	MLB	PIT	146	132	28	5	1	2	10	52	1	3	1	.212	.273	.311	.583	.098	.321	36	7	.255	54	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	PIT	235	210	46	8	1	5	20	58	3	5	1	.219	.296	.338	.634	.119	.283	25	9	.292	82	-5	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2028	23	MLB 28%	PIT	340	303	69	12	2	8	30	82	4	7	2	.228	.306	.360	.665	.132	.284	24	9	.300	88	-5	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.2
2029	24	MLB 45%	PIT	412	366	84	15	2	10	38	98	5	9	2	.230	.311	.363	.674	.134	.285	24	9	.306	92	-4	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2030	25	MLB 60%	PIT	453	401	93	17	2	12	43	107	6	10	2	.232	.316	.374	.690	.142	.285	24	9	.309	95	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.0
2031	26	MLB 77%	PIT	477	422	99	18	3	12	46	113	6	10	2	.235	.319	.377	.695	.142	.286	24	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	PIT	486	430	101	18	3	13	47	115	6	11	2	.235	.319	.381	.700	.147	.286	24	10	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+9	+14	2.2
2033	28	MLB	PIT	488	431	101	18	3	13	48	117	6	10	2	.234	.320	.381	.700	.146	.285	24	10	.310	95	-3	+1	-1	+9	+14	2.1
2034	29	MLB	PIT	482	426	97	17	2	12	47	117	6	10	1	.228	.313	.362	.675	.134	.285	24	10	.308	94	-3	+2	-1	+9	+14	1.9
2035	30	MLB	PIT	474	418	95	17	2	12	47	116	6	9	1	.227	.314	.364	.678	.136	.283	24	10	.305	91	-5	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.7
2036	31	MLB	PIT	448	395	89	16	2	11	44	112	6	8	0	.225	.312	.359	.672	.134	.282	25	10	.301	88	-6	+2	-3	+8	+13	1.4
2037	32	MLB	PIT	417	368	81	14	2	10	41	106	5	7	0	.220	.307	.351	.657	.130	.280	25	10	.296	85	-7	+1	-4	+7	+12	1.0
2038	33	MLB	PIT	378	333	73	13	2	8	37	99	5	6	0	.219	.307	.342	.649	.123	.279	26	10	.291	81	-8	+1	-4	+7	+11	0.6
2039	34	MLB	PIT	326	287	60	10	1	7	32	88	4	6	0	.209	.297	.324	.621	.115	.277	27	10	.284	76	-9	+1	-5	+6	+9	0.3
2040	35	MLB	PIT	269	238	48	8	1	5	26	75	3	5	0	.202	.288	.307	.595	.105	.275	28	10	.277	70	-9	+1	-6	+5	+8	-0.1
2041	36	MLB	PIT	212	188	38	6	1	4	20	62	2	4	0	.202	.286	.309	.594	.106	.272	29	9	.268	64	-9	+1	-6	+4	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6303	5567	1240	219	30	145	599	1576	90	131	21	.223	.308	.351	.659	.128	.282	25	10	.297	85	-105	+18	-31	+113	+179	17.6
/ 162G	—			650	574	128	23	3	15	62	163	9	14	2	.223	.309	.352	.660	.129	.283	25	10	.297	85	-11	+2	-3	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	139	110	30	8	0	18	21	8	4	2	.273	.412	.345	.757	.073	.330	15	13	.350	126	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	63	55	9	0	0	7	19	1	1	1	.164	.270	.164	.433	.000	.250	30	11	.218	25	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	92	72	14	1	1	12	15	7	7	2	.194	.363	.250	.613	.056	.228	16	13	.302	89	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Scherrer (OGILVIE)	21	42→47	30→35	50→55	55	.213/.290/.326	.113	.288	3	3	28%	8%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Lou Marson 2007 · A	21	44→54	40	53→50	44	.211/.271/.304	.093	.282	6	6	27%	7%	58	-1.2	.248/.316/.343	.095	.329	7	4	24%	9%	88	+0.9	.265/.339/.354	.089	.347	6	4	23%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	48	43→45	47→45	46	.231/.301/.344	.113	.287	10	6	22%	7%	82	+0.5	.218/.273/.326	.108	.274	10	5	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→51	42→45	48→50	42	.220/.290/.336	.116	.325	8	9	33%	7%	76	+0.0	.228/.308/.351	.123	.315	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.9	.221/.304/.343	.122	.294	13	10	27%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	48	.209/.289/.317	.108	.281	9	6	28%	9%	70	-0.3	.221/.304/.311	.090	.312	8	6	29%	9%	75	-0.0	.236/.329/.308	.072	.330	7	6	28%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
✕José Caballero 2018 · A	21	47→45	39→45	53→70	39	.223/.275/.316	.093	.301	6	8	27%	5%	63	-0.8	.224/.292/.329	.105	.281	8	18	22%	7%	75	-0.0	.229/.321/.344	.115	.305	10	63	26%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	.215/.280/.308	.092	.280	6	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.217/.270/.311	.094	.277	7	4	23%	6%	60	-1.0	.236/.301/.377	.140	.278	16	2	21%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→50	51→50	43	.218/.284/.328	.110	.300	9	11	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.204/.275/.332	.128	.317	14	12	38%	7%	69	-0.4	.220/.308/.345	.126	.328	13	10	34%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A	20	48→44	45→50	48→55	46	.232/.304/.355	.124	.309	12	12	28%	8%	86	+0.8	.239/.303/.370	.131	.306	13	16	25%	7%	89	+1.0	.238/.303/.382	.143	.296	14	19	24%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Jairo Encarnacion 2007 · A	21	44	41→40	52→45	46	.212/.275/.307	.095	.247	9	8	18%	6%	62	-0.9	.229/.297/.318	.089	.270	8	7	17%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.322/.325	.079	.284	8	4	15%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	47	40	51→55	46	.225/.293/.318	.094	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.201/.260/.278	.077	.307	5	12	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.135/.182/.184	.049	.223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
✕Henry Henry 2008 · A	21	52	40	49→60	53	.246/.330/.342	.097	.293	8	14	18%	9%	94	+1.3	.241/.302/.320	.079	.274	5	21	13%	7%	76	+0.0	.250/.305/.317	.067	.277	4	30	11%	6%	72	-0.1
●Tony Granadillo 2006 · A	21	47→57	42→45	49→30	45	.227/.294/.333	.106	.295	9	5	25%	7%	76	+0.1	.238/.300/.360	.122	.292	11	3	21%	7%	85	+0.7	.239/.305/.359	.121	.290	10	2	20%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA	21	44	42→30	51→45	44	.220/.275/.323	.103	.279	11	12	25%	6%	66	-0.6	.233/.277/.301	.068	.286	5	8	19%	5%	59	-1.1	.272/.316/.326	.054	.333	2	7	18%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2014 · A	21	46	39→45	49→50	41	.219/.279/.316	.097	.283	4	11	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.207/.254/.303	.096	.295	8	8	31%	5%	51	-1.7	.197/.237/.286	.089	.285	10	7	34%	4%	36	-0.8
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	44→45	53→55	45	.232/.297/.346	.114	.275	12	15	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.274/.310	.095	.277	8	11	24%	5%	62	-0.9	.185/.240/.257	.072	.258	6	6	29%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Jose Lobatón 2006 · A	21	45	39→45	50→30	46	.215/.277/.302	.088	.284	6	8	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.215/.286/.335	.120	.300	12	3	30%	9%	73	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)