Luke Scherrer

C Bradenton Marauders
Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419ROKPIT139.273/.412/.3450463—.207/.324/.259
202520A/ROKPIT155.181/.325/.2131818—.142/.253/.173
202621APIT263.232/.336/.3356648—.185/.270/.254
2027PROJMLE22MLBPIT373.180/.256/.2716650-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBPIT66.184/.261/.2811156-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBPIT126.189/.265/.2912260-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Max EV68
Z-Con%62
Chase%60
Whiff%59
Speed47
K%38
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsFrank Rodriguez (age 22) · Steven Baron (age 22) · Yassel Pino (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 156 proj PA
wRC+†50
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .254 / .268
PA156
HR2
K%29
BB%7
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT31
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE52
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202419 ROKFCL Pirates — 139110 30800 18218 42 273412345757 73330 1513 350 63 — — — — — —
202520 ABradenton Marauders — 6355 9000 7191 11 164270164433 250 3011 218 -3 — — — — — —
202520 ROKFCL Pirates — 9272 14101 12157 72 194363250613 56228 1613 302 32 — — — — — —
202621 ABradenton Marauders — 263224 52316 26709 64 232336335671 103303 2710 307 48 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 139116 24600 12298 42 207324259582 52259 219 262 63 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 6357 7000 5261 11 123206123329 235 418 164 -3 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 9277 12101 7217 72 156286208494 52179 238 216 32 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 263232 43214 18959 64 185270254525 69273 367 239 48 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 139116 24600 12298 42 207324259582 52270 219 262 63 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 139110 30800 18218 42 273412345757 73330 1513 350 63 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLE2 teams — 155134 19101 12478 83 142253172425 30207 308 195 18 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAW2 teams — 155127 23101 19348 83 181325213537 31237 2212 268 18 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 263232 43214 18959 64 185270254525 69285 367 239 48 — — — — — —
202621 A RAWBradenton Marauders — 263224 52316 26709 64 232336335671 103303 2710 307 48 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 139118 24600 12298 42 203324254578 51259 219 262 63 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLE2 teams — 155134 19101 12478 83 142253172425 30202 308 195 18 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 263234 43214 18959 64 184270252522 68273 367 239 48 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 139118 24600 12298 42 203324254578 51259 219 262 63 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLE2 teams — 155134 19101 12478 83 142253172425 30202 308 195 18 — — — — — —
202621 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 263234 43214 18959 64 184270252522 68273 367 239 48 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEPIT 0% 373336 611026 271097 62 180256271527 91244 297 243 50 -22 +0 +0 +7 +8 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEPIT 34% 192172 32613 14554 31 185262285546 99247 297 251 56 -10 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.2
202924 MLB MLEPIT 46% 274246 46815 21775 52 190266295561 105250 288 257 60 -13 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.2
203025 MLB MLEPIT 52% 332298 581017 25926 62 193269302572 109253 288 261 63 -15 +0 +0 +6 +7 -0.1
203126 MLB MLEPIT 54% 366329 641127 281016 62 195272307579 112254 288 264 65 -15 +0 +0 +7 +8 -0.1
203227 MLB MLEPIT 54% 380341 681228 301046 62 197273310583 113256 278 265 66 -15 +0 +0 +7 +8 -0.0
203328 MLB MLEPIT 54% 382343 671218 301066 52 195271305576 110255 288 263 64 -16 +0 -1 +7 +8 -0.2
203429 MLB MLEPIT 53% 376338 641117 291056 32 193268298567 106253 288 259 61 -17 -0 -1 +7 +8 -0.4
202823 MLB CTXPIT 34% 6660 11201 5191 10 184261281542 96248 298 249 56 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202924 MLB CTXPIT 46% 126113 22412 10362 21 189265291556 102251 298 255 60 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXPIT 52% 171153 29513 13483 31 192269298566 106253 288 259 63 -8 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
203126 MLB CTXPIT 54% 198178 35614 15553 31 195271303574 108255 288 262 65 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.0
203227 MLB CTXPIT 54% 206185 37714 16573 31 196273305577 109256 288 263 66 -8 +0 +0 +4 +4 -0.0
203328 MLB CTXPIT 54% 207186 37714 16573 31 194271300571 106255 288 261 64 -9 +0 -0 +4 +4 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXPIT 53% 200180 35614 15563 21 192268294562 103254 288 257 61 -9 +0 -1 +4 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11741055 20637622 9032818 176 195270304574 109259 288 259 58 -52 +1 -1 +21 +25 -0.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 11320312 5018210 93 193269300568 106257 288 259 58 -29 +1 -1 +12 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 30152690 510831152 23085767 5523 190270287557 97254 288 255 58 -112 +2 -2 +44 +53 -1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 10918211 5018514 125 188269283551 95253 288 255 58 -30 +0 -1 +12 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 263 PAwOBA .304 → .239 (−65)K% 26.6% → 36.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.62%÷1.000×1.360——36.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.89%÷1.000×0.690——6.82%
HBP% /PA3.42%—×0.780——2.67%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.000×0.920×0.997—25.01%
Doubles /BIP1.95%÷1.000×0.830×0.997—1.61%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.000×0.910×0.997—0.59%
Home runs /BIP3.90%÷1.000×0.800——3.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .304 → .239; ISO .103 → .077; BABIP .303 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 92 PAwOBA .298 → .216 (−82)K% 16.3% → 23.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.30%÷1.006×1.440——23.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.04%÷0.998×0.620—×0.9857.98%
HBP% /PA7.61%—×0.720—×0.9855.40%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷1.022×0.820×1.010×0.98516.81%
Doubles /BIP1.75%÷1.119×0.720×1.010×0.9851.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.950×0.720×1.010×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP1.75%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.35%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .298 → .216; ISO .056 → .042; BABIP .228 → .179. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ABradenton Marauders · 63 PAwOBA .214 → .164 (−50)K% 30.2% → 41.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.16%÷1.000×1.360——41.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.052×0.690—×1.0157.40%
HBP% /PA1.59%—×0.780—×1.0151.26%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.993×0.920—×1.01523.50%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.084×0.830—×1.0150.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.932×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .214 → .164; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 139 PAwOBA .347 → .262 (−85)K% 15.1% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.11%÷1.032×1.440——21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.95%÷0.964×0.620—×0.9958.28%
HBP% /PA5.76%—×0.720—×0.9954.12%
Singles /BIP24.72%÷1.003×0.820×0.976×0.99519.62%
Doubles /BIP8.99%÷0.917×0.720×0.976×0.9956.86%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.978×0.720×0.976×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.921×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .347 → .262; ISO .073 → .058; BABIP .330 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).