Hector Osorio

RF Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 L/L 6'0" / 150 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP45ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ATEX	358	.251/.398/.339	4	11	74	—	.216/.330/.286
2026	21	A+TEX	155	.275/.375/.489	8	0	93	—	.226/.303/.401
2026	21	ATEX	239	.309/.441/.581	13	9	128	—	.257/.364/.475
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBTEX	504	.249/.341/.404	16	8	112	1.4
2028PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBTEX	212	.253/.345/.421	7	4	115	0.6
2029PROJ65% MLB	24	MLBTEX	316	.255/.346/.426	11	5	116	0.9

Next 3 projected WAR 2.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%97

Z-Con%94

K%93

ISO78

wOBA74

wRC+74

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 8% · didn't stick 62%

CompsLaMonte Wade Jr. (age 22) · Andrew Benintendi (age 22) · Lonnie Chisenhall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†112

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .338 / .401

PA320

HR10

SB5

K%18

BB%10

ISO156

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$50M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$10M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Red	—	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	276	462	310	772	34	348	15	21	376	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	293	484	376	860	83	326	12	22	392	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	286	461	364	824	78	362	18	20	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	251	398	339	737	88	279	12	15	342	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	155	131	36	4	0	8	17	23	4	0	0	275	375	489	864	214	275	15	11	376	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	239	191	59	11	1	13	37	27	8	9	6	309	441	581	1.022	272	301	11	15	440	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	39	31	6	1	0	0	6	7	2	1	1	194	359	226	585	32	239	18	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	172	32	6	1	0	34	33	9	17	4	186	349	233	581	47	201	15	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	84	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	214	353	286	639	71	275	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	301	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	216	330	286	615	70	246	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	155	137	31	3	0	7	11	30	4	0	0	226	303	401	704	175	228	19	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	239	202	52	9	1	11	26	37	8	9	6	257	364	475	840	218	257	15	11	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	39	31	6	1	0	0	6	7	2	1	1	194	359	226	585	32	250	18	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Red	—	39	29	8	1	0	0	8	6	2	1	1	276	462	310	772	34	348	15	21	376	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	172	32	6	1	0	34	33	9	17	4	186	349	233	581	47	218	15	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	157	46	8	1	1	49	26	9	17	4	293	484	376	860	83	326	12	22	392	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	84	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	214	353	286	639	71	304	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	104	77	22	1	1	1	21	19	4	7	1	286	461	364	824	78	362	18	20	382	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	301	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	216	330	286	615	70	256	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	283	71	5	4	4	55	43	14	11	6	251	398	339	737	88	279	12	15	342	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	340	83	12	1	18	36	67	12	9	6	244	338	444	782	200	251	17	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	394	322	95	15	1	21	54	50	12	9	6	295	415	543	958	248	290	13	14	415	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	—	39	31	6	1	0	0	6	7	2	1	1	194	359	226	585	32	239	18	15	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	—	223	178	32	6	1	0	34	33	9	17	4	180	349	225	574	45	201	15	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	85	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	212	353	282	635	71	275	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	304	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	214	330	283	612	69	246	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	343	83	12	1	18	36	67	12	9	6	242	338	440	778	198	246	17	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	104	85	18	1	1	1	14	28	4	7	1	212	353	282	635	71	275	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	358	304	65	4	4	3	37	60	14	11	6	214	330	283	612	69	246	17	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	394	343	83	12	1	18	36	67	12	9	6	242	338	440	778	198	246	17	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	504	437	109	15	3	16	49	89	13	8	4	249	341	404	745	156	275	18	10	334	112	+7	+0	-1	-5	+11	1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	438	381	95	13	2	14	43	77	11	7	4	251	343	412	754	161	277	18	10	337	115	+8	-0	-1	-5	+9	1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	488	426	107	15	3	16	47	86	12	8	4	253	344	416	760	164	278	18	10	339	116	+9	+0	-1	-5	+11	1.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	515	448	113	16	3	17	50	91	12	9	4	253	343	418	761	165	279	18	10	340	116	+10	+0	-1	-6	+11	1.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	530	462	117	17	3	18	51	95	12	9	5	252	342	417	759	165	279	18	10	339	115	+10	-0	-1	-6	+11	1.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	535	466	117	17	3	18	52	98	12	9	5	251	340	414	754	163	280	18	10	337	114	+9	-0	-1	-6	+12	1.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	76%	533	466	116	17	3	17	51	99	11	7	5	249	338	409	748	160	279	19	10	334	112	+8	-1	-1	-6	+12	1.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	TEX	74%	526	460	115	17	3	17	50	99	11	6	5	247	336	403	739	156	278	19	10	331	110	+6	-1	-2	-6	+11	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	516	451	110	16	2	16	49	99	11	5	5	244	332	396	728	152	276	19	9	326	107	+4	-1	-3	-6	+11	0.6
2036	31	MLB MLE	TEX	73%	503	441	105	15	2	15	47	98	10	3	8	240	328	386	714	146	274	19	9	321	103	+2	-3	-3	-5	+11	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	TEX	72%	485	427	100	14	2	14	45	97	10	2	25	235	322	373	695	139	270	20	9	313	98	-1	-10	-4	-5	+11	-1.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	212	184	46	6	1	7	21	37	5	4	2	253	345	421	766	168	277	17	10	342	115	+4	+0	-0	-2	+5	0.6
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	316	274	70	9	2	11	31	55	8	5	3	255	346	426	772	171	279	17	10	344	116	+6	-0	-0	-3	+7	0.9
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	374	326	83	11	2	14	36	66	9	6	3	255	345	427	773	172	279	18	10	344	116	+7	+0	-0	-4	+8	1.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	404	353	89	12	2	15	39	73	9	7	3	255	344	427	771	172	280	18	10	343	115	+7	+0	-0	-4	+9	1.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	407	356	91	13	2	15	39	75	9	7	4	253	342	423	766	170	280	18	10	341	114	+7	-0	-0	-4	+9	1.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	76%	405	354	89	13	2	14	39	75	9	6	4	251	340	419	759	167	279	19	10	338	112	+6	-0	-1	-4	+9	0.9
2034	29	MLB CTX	TEX	74%	391	342	85	12	2	13	38	74	8	5	3	249	338	412	750	163	278	19	10	335	110	+5	-0	-1	-4	+8	0.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	378	331	81	11	2	12	36	72	8	4	4	246	334	404	738	158	277	19	10	330	107	+3	-1	-2	-4	+8	0.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	TEX	73%	365	321	79	11	2	12	34	71	7	2	6	242	329	394	724	152	274	19	9	324	103	+1	-2	-2	-4	+8	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	TEX	72%	351	308	73	10	1	11	33	70	7	1	18	237	323	381	705	145	271	20	9	317	98	-1	-7	-3	-4	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3603	3149	786	108	18	124	346	668	79	47	50	250	339	413	752	164	279	19	10	336	107	+45	-11	-12	-39	+78	6.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	141	19	3	22	62	121	14	8	9	248	336	408	745	160	278	19	10	336	107	+8	-2	-2	-7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6507	5634	1368	190	35	194	643	1190	161	115	91	243	337	392	730	149	273	18	10	326	107	+69	-15	-17	-58	+117	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	136	19	3	19	64	119	16	11	9	242	336	387	723	146	272	18	10	326	107	+8	-2	-2	-7	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Hector Lopez'55-'66 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,177 PA	7.8	5,177	136	16	267*	324*	436*	-18	+8	17.6	17.5
/162	664	17	2	-2.3	+1.0	2.3	pk7: 17
#2Chris Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	110	91	248	327	419	-9	+4	15.9	16.4
/162	664	19	15	-1.6	+0.6	2.7	pk7: 17
#3Wally Westlake'47-'56 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,495 PA	5.3	3,495	127	19	262*	330*	469*	-16	+8	15.9	16.0
/162	664	24	4	-3.0	+1.4	3.0	pk7: 16
#4Cody Rosslast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,733 PA	5.6	3,733	131	33	264	324	449	-13	-12	15.1	15.6
/162	664	23	6	-2.3	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.9	3,922	125	51	249	334	406	+9	+0	16.3	14.4
/162	664	21	9	+1.6	+0.0	2.8	pk7: 13
#5Clyde Engle'09-'16 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,206 PA	4.8	3,206	12	128	261*	332*	415*	-20	-4	8.4	9.5
/162	664	2	27	-4.2	-0.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#6Chas McCormicklast yr '25 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	56	37	247	321	413	+2	+14	7.3	7.3
/162	664	24	16	+0.8	+6.0	3.1	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hector Osorio (OGILVIE)	22	32→51	29→42	49→47	51	246/338/401	154	275	10	5	18%	10%	112	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→55	45→55	55→45	53	227/305/353	125	262	13	10	18%	9%	88	+0.4	241/320/351	110	283	10	8	17%	9%	93	+0.8	241/340/429	187	272	24	4	20%	12%	119	+1.9
●Andrew Benintendi 2016 · A	22	50→60	50→55	47→50	48	254/310/407	153	286	18	11	19%	7%	102	+1.5	261/323/415	154	295	14	15	16%	8%	108	+1.9	269/339/434	166	314	16	13	19%	9%	119	+2.7
●Lonnie Chisenhall 2011 · AA	22	48→57	50→55	49→45	44	244/296/399	155	283	18	4	21%	6%	95	+1.0	248/296/400	152	291	16	4	20%	5%	95	+1.0	265/317/428	163	306	18	4	19%	6%	110	+1.4
●John Jaso 2006 · A	22	48→57	49→50	47→45	48	244/302/395	151	280	16	5	20%	7%	96	+1.0	258/317/391	133	289	14	3	16%	7%	101	+1.4	268/371/425	157	306	15	6	16%	13%	129	+1.8
●Chase Meidroth 2023 · A	22	49→58	52→40	48→50	51	248/325/415	167	283	19	12	20%	8%	109	+2.0	254/348/353	99	314	9	12	20%	11%	104	+1.6	263/352/365	101	313	10	11	17%	11%	107	+1.8
●Brian Goodwin 2013 · AA	22	47→52	46→60	48→50	49	233/308/370	136	299	14	13	26%	9%	93	+0.8	220/293/335	115	302	9	13	28%	9%	79	-0.2	243/307/436	194	312	22	11	28%	8%	108	+1.1
●Drake Baldwin 2024 · AA	23	45→55	47→55	47→30	48	225/301/359	134	293	14	3	27%	9%	88	+0.4	257/327/409	152	305	18	3	21%	9%	109	+2.0	271/342/432	161	311	21	2	20%	9%	119	+2.5
●Colby Rasmus 2009 · AAA	22	44→54	51→65	53→50	49	227/299/386	159	271	18	17	24%	8%	93	+0.8	243/308/415	172	291	20	10	23%	8%	103	+1.5	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
●Jackson Merrill 2024 · AA	21	51→57	47→60	51→50	45	253/296/391	138	291	15	12	19%	6%	93	+0.8	269/311/450	181	310	20	13	20%	6%	112	+2.2	269/313/462	193	313	22	15	21%	6%	117	+2.5
●Travis Shaw 2013 · AA	23	45→52	51→60	49→45	47	229/304/397	169	298	17	9	28%	9%	98	+1.2	227/296/376	149	286	16	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	246/323/457	211	279	27	7	22%	10%	120	+2.6
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jorbit Vivas 2023 · A	22	51→57	44→45	47→50	51	249/323/369	120	275	11	4	14%	7%	98	+1.2	233/320/339	106	267	9	14	16%	9%	91	+0.6	227/320/324	97	263	8	18	15%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	47→50	47→50	53→45	48	237/295/370	133	270	15	16	18%	7%	88	+0.4	230/300/377	147	279	16	9	23%	8%	92	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
●Alejandro Kirk 2021 · MLB	22	52→57	46→50	49→40	55	253/327/392	139	286	12	5	16%	9%	105	+1.7	260/338/400	140	280	16	2	13%	10%	111	+2.1	263/347/394	131	277	16	0	11%	10%	113	+1.5
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	52→54	50→55	51→50	45	260/311/412	152	306	17	9	21%	6%	103	+1.6	238/317/395	157	283	16	12	21%	9%	101	+1.4	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Colt Keith 2024 · AAA	22	51→53	52→55	48→45	45	254/312/429	175	324	20	5	27%	8%	107	+1.9	259/317/410	151	314	17	6	22%	8%	105	+1.7	260/323/404	144	310	16	6	20%	8%	106	+1.4
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	49→56	49→50	46→45	49	245/302/395	150	277	16	6	18%	7%	96	+1.0	261/316/385	124	320	12	6	21%	7%	99	+1.2	273/325/420	147	304	15	4	15%	6%	111	+2.0
●Tommy La Stella 2012 · A	23	53→55	51→55	48→50	48	267/321/437	170	293	18	5	16%	6%	113	+2.3	270/331/393	123	298	9	9	12%	7%	105	+1.7	269/335/437	168	266	21	1	9%	8%	119	+1.2
●Gavin Lux 2020 · MLB	22	52→60	50	50	47	261/318/424	163	324	18	11	25%	8%	108	+1.9	257/322/404	147	324	14	9	23%	9%	105	+1.7	267/342/390	122	340	8	5	22%	10%	110	+1.7
●Luis Campusano 2021 · A	22	53→56	47→50	45→30	49	263/319/402	140	300	15	3	18%	7%	103	+1.6	246/301/384	138	299	15	3	22%	6%	93	+0.8	260/336/420	160	301	19	1	20%	10%	113	+1.4

Hector Osorio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps