Eminen Flores — OGILVIE

Eminen Flores P Vancouver Canadians

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 52 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.17

FIP6.17

K%17.9%

BB%20.5%

K-BB%-2.5%

ROS IP52

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	8	6	26	99	17	7	3	75%	3.2	11.7%	8.8%	2.8%	3.8%	2.10	5.29	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	8	6	26	99	17	7	3	75%	3.2	17.2%	7.1%	10.1%	3.0%	2.10	4.11	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	10	10	45	195	41	18	4	100%	4.5	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	2.7%	4.17	4.81	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	10	10	45	195	41	18	4	100%	4.5	14.3%	11.5%	2.8%	2.7%	4.17	4.81	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	10	10	45	195	41	18	4	100%	4.5	21.0%	9.2%	11.8%	2.1%	4.17	3.63	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	8	62	275	58	43	6	53%	4.1	14.7%	19.2%	-4.5%	3.0%	4.23	5.93	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	8	62	275	58	43	6	53%	4.1	14.7%	19.2%	-4.5%	3.0%	4.23	5.93	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	8	62	275	58	43	6	53%	4.1	21.1%	15.6%	5.5%	2.2%	4.23	4.58	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	30	0	42	202	53	33	4	0%	1.4	19.4%	19.3%	0.1%	2.0%	7.78	5.00	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	30	0	42	202	53	33	4	0%	1.4	19.4%	19.3%	0.1%	2.0%	7.78	5.00	—
2025	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	30	0	42	202	53	33	4	0%	1.4	26.2%	16.3%	9.9%	2.0%	7.78	4.18	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	9	0	17	74	14	13	1	0%	1.9	14.6%	20.2%	-5.6%	1.7%	4.86	5.36	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	9	0	17	74	14	13	1	0%	1.9	14.6%	20.2%	-5.6%	1.7%	4.86	5.36	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	TOR	9	0	17	74	14	13	1	0%	1.9	18.9%	17.6%	1.4%	1.4%	4.86	4.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	54	0	57	240	46	42	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	17.6%	1.5%	2.9%	5.81	5.69	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	55	0	58	243	48	38	7	0%	1.0	19.8%	15.7%	4.1%	2.9%	5.52	5.39	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	23	0	24	101	19	18	3	0%	1.0	19.1%	17.6%	1.5%	2.9%	5.81	5.69	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	36	0	38	160	32	25	5	0%	1.1	19.8%	15.7%	4.1%	2.9%	5.52	5.39	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	265	52	44	8	0%	1.0	19.5%	16.4%	3.1%	2.9%	5.63	5.13	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	140	26	0%	1.1	19.5%	16.4%	3.1%	2.9%	5.63	5.13	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		72	24	191	845	130	138	22	33%	2.7	15.4%	16.3%	-1.0%	2.7%	4.76	5.32	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	25	200	885	136	144	23	33%	2.7	15.4%	16.3%	-1.0%	2.7%	4.76	5.32	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eminen Flores (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.17	17.9%	20.5%	2.9%	—	5.54	19.4%	2.8%	114	-0.63	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	88
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	86
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	84
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	83
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	82
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	80
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	80
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	80
Josue Gerardo R 2016 · 5.33 FIP	23	SU	5.33	17.8%	23.5%	1.4%	.220	5.99	16.5%	-6.0%	30	+0.66	4.59	122	80
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	79
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	79
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	79
David Lucroy R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	15.8%	16.8%	2.0%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	103	78
Ronny Lopez R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	20	SW	5.33	15.1%	20.6%	1.6%	.232	5.01	13.7%	-5.7%	85	-0.32	4.23	121	78
Jared Kelley R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	21	SW	5.03	18.9%	19.4%	1.9%	.365	4.90	16.4%	0.7%	99	-0.13	4.25	250	78
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	78
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	77
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	77
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	56	19.0%	17.8%	1.13	5.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99