Eminen Flores
P
Vancouver Canadians
Age 23
RHP
5'11" / 160 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152143vR 134
ERA5.95
FIP5.95
K%17.9%
BB%18.9%
K-BB%-1.0%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 8 | 6 | 26 | 99 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 75% | 3.2 | 11.7% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.10 | 5.08 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 8 | 6 | 26 | 99 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 75% | 3.2 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 2.10 | 4.11 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 10 | 10 | 45 | 195 | 41 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 4.5 | 14.3% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.17 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 10 | 10 | 45 | 195 | 41 | 18 | 4 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 4.17 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 8 | 62 | 275 | 58 | 43 | 6 | 53% | 4.1 | 14.7% | 19.2% | -4.5% | 3.1% | 4.23 | 5.98 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 8 | 62 | 275 | 58 | 43 | 6 | 53% | 4.1 | 21.1% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 4.23 | 4.58 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 30 | 0 | 42 | 202 | 53 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 19.3% | 0.1% | 1.6% | 7.78 | 4.80 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 30 | 0 | 42 | 202 | 53 | 33 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.2% | 16.3% | 9.9% | 2.0% | 7.78 | 4.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | 9 | 0 | 17 | 74 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 14.6% | 20.2% | -5.6% | 1.7% | 4.86 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 40 | 42 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 18.9% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.95 | 5.95 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.9% | 18.9% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.95 | 5.95 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 69 | 295 | 54 | 55 | 7 | — | — | 18.2% | 18.6% | -0.4% | 2.5% | 5.69 | 5.81 | -0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.9% | 18.9% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.95 | 5.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 51 | 0 | 54 | 227 | 43 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 45 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 14.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 52 | 0 | 54 | 230 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 14.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TOR | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 16.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.63 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TOR | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 14.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TOR | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 37 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 14.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 0 | 103 | 433 | 86 | 65 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 15.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.38 | 4.92 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 168 | 127 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 15.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.38 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 24 | 191 | 845 | 130 | 138 | 21 | 33% | 2.7 | 15.4% | 16.3% | -1.0% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 5.24 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 75 | 25 | 200 | 885 | 136 | 144 | 22 | 33% | 2.7 | 15.4% | 16.3% | -1.0% | 2.5% | 4.76 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eminen Flores (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.95 | 17.9% | 18.9% | 2.9% | — | 5.33 | 19.7% | 4.4% | 162 | -0.62 | — | — | — |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 87 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 84 |
| Jon Keller R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.41 | 15.3% | 20.9% | 1.7% | .265 | 3.84 | 8.9% | -2.9% | 15 | -1.57 | 3.62 | 156 | 83 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.84 | 3.92 | 116 | 82 |
| Jordan Brink R 2026 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 82 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 80 |
| James Acuna R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.89 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 2.6% | .302 | 4.23 | 19.4% | 4.6% | 60 | -0.66 | 4.23 | 107 | 80 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 80 |
| Jake Eddington R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.98 | 18.8% | 24.1% | 0.7% | .316 | 5.09 | 15.8% | -4.0% | 85 | +0.11 | 4.88 | 114 | 80 |
| Cole Aker R 2025 · 5.51 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.51 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 2.6% | .239 | 6.10 | 12.0% | -9.9% | 28 | +0.59 | 3.60 | 147 | 80 |
| Junior Rincon R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.93 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.77 | 17.6% | 5.1% | 82 | -1.16 | 3.50 | 113 | 80 |
| Josue Gerardo R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.33 | 17.8% | 23.5% | 1.4% | .220 | 5.99 | 16.5% | -6.0% | 30 | +0.66 | 4.59 | 122 | 79 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 79 |
| Luis Ledo R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.45 | 17.1% | 17.6% | 2.9% | .329 | 3.60 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 85 | -1.85 | 3.22 | 376 | 79 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 79 |
| Edwardo Melendez R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 20.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 139 | 79 |
| Jacob Morris R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 78 |
| David Lucroy R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.85 | 15.8% | 16.8% | 1.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 103 | 78 |
| Zach Jacobs R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.94 | 16.9% | 16.4% | 4.0% | .220 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 238 | 77 |
| Ted Stuka R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 54 | 19.2% | 16.1% | 1.11 | 5.55 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |