Diego Dominguez

P Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 178 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKTOR	15	30	5.40	2.70	22.8%	12.4%	—	K 15.5% · BB 15.5% · FIP 3.76
2025	21	MIX2 levels	26	39	2.52	2.95	20.8%	10.1%	—	K 14.5% · BB 12.4% · FIP 3.78
2026	22	ATOR	23	36	6.06	5.57	17.6%	16.4%	—	K 13.0% · BB 19.3% · FIP 6.61
2027PROJ	23	MLBTOR	21	22	5.69	5.69	16.9%	15.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBTOR	15	16	5.38	5.26	18.7%	13.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJackson Rose (age 22) · Junior Rincon (age 23) · Brett Lockwood (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%16.9%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%1.2%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	0	20	88	16	13	3	0%	1.8	12.4%	18.5%	-6.1%	4.6%	5.49	6.92	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	0	20	88	16	13	3	0%	1.8	18.2%	14.8%	3.4%	3.4%	5.49	5.44	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	30	145	33	18	0	0%	2.0	15.5%	15.5%	-0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.76	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	30	145	33	18	0	0%	2.0	15.5%	15.5%	-0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.76	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	30	145	33	18	0	0%	2.0	22.8%	12.4%	10.3%	0.0%	5.40	2.70	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	39	168	35	17	1	0%	1.5	14.5%	12.4%	2.0%	0.6%	2.52	3.78	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	39	168	35	17	1	0%	1.5	14.5%	12.4%	2.0%	0.6%	2.52	3.78	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	39	168	35	17	1	0%	1.5	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	0.6%	2.52	2.95	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	0	36	165	29	27	5	0%	1.6	13.0%	19.3%	-6.3%	3.9%	6.06	6.61	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	0	36	165	29	27	5	0%	1.6	13.0%	19.3%	-6.3%	3.9%	6.06	6.61	—
2026	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	0	36	165	29	27	5	0%	1.6	17.6%	16.4%	1.2%	3.0%	6.06	5.57	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TOR	21	0	22	93	16	15	3	0%	1.0	16.9%	15.7%	1.2%	3.0%	5.69	5.69	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	35	0	36	153	29	21	5	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.7%	5.0%	3.0%	5.38	5.26	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	15	0	16	68	13	9	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.7%	5.0%	3.0%	5.38	5.26	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	12	9	2	0%	1.0	18.7%	13.7%	5.0%	3.0%	5.38	4.88	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	155	116	26	0%	1.1	18.7%	13.7%	5.0%	3.0%	5.38	4.88	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		75	0	125	566	79	92	12	0%	1.7	14.0%	16.2%	-2.2%	2.0%	4.69	5.09	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	0	200	908	127	147	19	0%	1.7	14.0%	16.2%	-2.2%	2.0%	4.69	5.09	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diego Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	16.9%	15.7%	3.0%	—	5.26	18.7%	5.0%	36	-0.43	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	88
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	88
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	88
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	88
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	88
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	87
Julio Mateo R 2002 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	16.0%	12.8%	2.1%	.277	4.23	17.5%	13.8%	232	-0.31	3.42	318	87
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	87
Brooks Crawford R 2019 · 4.78 FIP	22	SU	4.78	14.9%	13.7%	2.2%	.262	3.56	22.1%	14.5%	103	-1.22	2.50	296	86
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	86
Lendy Castillo R 2012 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	14.8%	13.6%	2.4%	.361	4.81	13.9%	1.0%	49	-0.07	4.41	116	86
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	86
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	86
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	85
Alaska Abney R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.8%	13.8%	3.0%	.301	3.89	17.4%	7.9%	104	-1.03	3.38	207	85
Jacinto Arredondo R 2021 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	14.4%	12.7%	2.6%	.310	4.89	15.7%	5.0%	50	-0.04	4.89	101	85
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	18.0%	14.4%	1.15	5.50
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*