Robert Gonzalez

OF FCL Braves

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	18	ROKATL	187	.241/.319/.295	0	11	32	—	.192/.249/.238
2024	19	A/ROKATL	268	.189/.308/.278	2	19	30	—	.155/.244/.218
2025	20	ROKATL	86	.186/.329/.243	1	5	15	—	.145/.235/.197
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBATL	227	.209/.276/.321	4	4	69	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBATL	32	.213/.281/.335	1	0	74	-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBATL	77	.217/.285/.345	2	1	78	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%76

wRC+28

K%26

ISO25

Speed22

wOBA18

CompsTravis Blankenhorn (age 22) · Iverson Leonardo (age 21) · Leandro Pineda (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .274 / .319

PA53

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	240	212	56	9	4	2	25	51	1	12	5	264	345	373	717	108	335	21	10	323	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	187	166	40	5	2	0	17	44	2	11	2	241	319	295	614	54	323	24	9	283	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	216	42	8	3	2	34	88	1	19	2	194	307	287	594	93	312	35	13	277	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	15	11	1	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	91	333	91	424		125	20	20	249	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	86	70	13	1	0	1	15	23	0	5	1	186	329	243	572	57	255	27	17	277	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	240	219	38	5	2	1	18	60	1	12	5	174	239	228	468	55	228	25	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	187	172	33	4	2	0	11	62	2	11	2	192	249	238	487	47	284	33	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	253	226	36	6	3	1	24	119	1	19	2	159	243	226	469	66	313	47	9	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	15	12	1	0	0	0	2	4	1	0	0	83	267	83	350		97	27	13	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	86	76	11	1	0	1	9	34	0	5	1	145	235	197	433	53	212	40	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	240	219	38	5	2	1	18	60	1	12	5	174	239	228	468	55	231	25	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	240	212	56	9	4	2	25	51	1	12	5	264	345	373	717	108	335	21	10	323	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	187	172	33	4	2	0	11	62	2	11	2	192	249	238	487	47	295	33	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	187	166	40	5	2	0	17	44	2	11	2	241	319	295	614	54	323	24	9	283	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	268	239	37	6	3	1	25	123	2	19	2	155	241	218	458	63	308	46	9	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	268	227	43	8	3	2	37	91	2	19	2	189	308	278	586	88	301	34	14	275	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	86	76	11	1	0	1	9	34	0	5	1	145	235	197	433	53	238	40	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	86	70	13	1	0	1	15	23	0	5	1	186	329	243	572	57	255	27	17	277	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	240	219	38	5	2	1	18	60	1	12	5	174	239	228	468	55	228	25	8	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	187	172	33	4	2	0	11	62	2	11	2	192	249	238	487	47	284	33	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	268	239	37	6	3	1	25	123	2	19	2	155	241	218	458	63	301	46	9	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	86	77	11	1	0	1	9	34	0	5	1	143	235	195	430	52	212	40	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	268	239	37	6	3	1	25	123	2	19	2	155	241	218	458	63	301	46	9	213	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	86	77	11	1	0	1	9	34	0	5	1	143	235	195	430	52	212	40	10	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	227	206	44	8	2	4	17	67	2	4	1	209	276	321	598	113	284	30	7	270	69	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	92	84	18	3	1	2	7	27	1	1	0	213	281	335	616	121	285	29	8	277	74	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	46%	167	151	33	6	1	4	13	47	1	2	0	217	285	345	630	128	286	28	8	283	78	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	32	30	6	1	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	213	281	335	616	121	285	28	6	277	74	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	46%	77	70	16	3	1	2	6	22	1	1	0	217	285	345	630	128	286	29	8	283	78	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	109	100	22	4	1	3	8	31	1	1	0	220	284	370	654	150	288	28	7	281	42	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	131	24	6	18	48	185	6	6	0	220	285	371	655	151	288	28	7	281	42	-18	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1093	990	180	27	9	10	87	369	7	51	10	182	253	258	510	76	275	34	8	231	42	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	107	16	5	6	52	219	4	30	6	182	253	256	509	75	274	34	8	231	42	-19	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 86 PAwOBA .274 → .191 (−83)K% 26.7% → 39.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.74%	÷0.980	×1.440	—	—	39.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.44%	÷1.013	×0.620	—	×0.985	10.52%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.40%	÷1.005	×0.820	×1.050	×0.985	19.75%
Doubles /BIP	2.13%	÷0.996	×0.720	×1.050	×0.985	1.59%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.13%	÷0.856	×0.780	—	×0.985	1.91%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .274 → .191; ISO .057 → .045; BABIP .255 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 253 PAwOBA .271 → .216 (−54)K% 34.8% → 46.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.78%	÷1.009	×1.360	—	—	46.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.04%	÷0.998	×0.690	—	×1.030	9.29%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	0.32%
Singles /BIP	22.66%	÷0.959	×0.920	×1.048	×1.030	23.46%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.983	×0.830	×1.048	×1.030	5.69%
Triples /BIP	2.34%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.048	×1.030	2.30%
Home runs /BIP	1.56%	÷1.010	×0.800	—	×1.030	1.27%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 92, 2B 97, 3B 100, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .271 → .216; ISO .093 → .072; BABIP .312 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 15 PAwOBA .245 → .170 (−75)K% 20.0% → 27.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.037	×1.440	—	—	27.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.00%	÷0.965	×0.620	—	×0.995	12.78%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	4.78%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.047	×0.820	—	×0.995	9.74%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.022	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.266	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .245 → .170; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .097. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Braves · 187 PAwOBA .279 → .215 (−64)K% 23.5% → 33.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.53%	÷1.020	×1.440	—	—	33.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷0.958	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.93%
HBP% /PA	1.07%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.78%
Singles /BIP	27.05%	÷0.977	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	24.01%
Doubles /BIP	4.10%	÷0.882	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	3.54%
Triples /BIP	1.64%	÷0.928	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	1.35%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.893	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 76, 3B 86, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .279 → .215; ISO .054 → .042; BABIP .323 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Braves · 240 PAwOBA .317 → .213 (−105)K% 21.2% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.25%	÷1.027	×1.220	—	—	25.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.42%	÷0.994	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.39%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.29%
Singles /BIP	25.47%	÷0.935	×0.680	×0.996	×1.008	18.59%
Doubles /BIP	5.59%	÷1.118	×0.600	×0.996	×1.008	3.01%
Triples /BIP	2.48%	÷1.122	×0.600	×0.996	×1.008	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	1.24%	÷0.885	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.66%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 87, 2B 124, 3B 124, K 105, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .317 → .213; ISO .108 → .058; BABIP .335 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robert Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	207/274/319	112	284	1	1	29%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Donald Lutz 2011 · A	22	40→49	43→50	50→45	40	202/253/312	110	269	10	8	28%	6%	59	-1.7	224/267/358	134	308	14	6	31%	5%	74	-0.5	217/262/369	152	289	16	8	30%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Brian Pointer 2014 · A	22	39→41	42→45	51→50	40	189/265/296	107	289	9	13	36%	7%	61	-1.5	210/285/338	128	315	13	12	35%	8%	77	-0.3	209/287/345	136	311	14	12	35%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2024 · A	22	46→41	43→55	51→50	45	223/285/341	118	292	9	12	26%	7%	77	-0.3	212/261/361	149	283	14	14	29%	6%	73	-0.6	199/246/361	161	266	17	15	31%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Grant Witherspoon 2019 · A	22	39→46	40→50	52→50	36	192/241/285	93	289	8	9	35%	5%	47	-2.5	197/246/304	107	278	11	12	32%	6%	54	-2.0	212/271/360	149	286	18	14	32%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Alex Glenn 2013 · A	22	39→42	48→55	53→50	39	198/264/339	141	300	15	10	38%	7%	70	-0.9	213/268/361	148	284	15	11	29%	6%	76	-0.4	210/261/367	156	270	16	12	28%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2015 · A	22	41	47→55	53→50	36	211/240/345	133	266	15	9	27%	4%	61	-1.5	205/244/289	84	282	6	8	28%	5%	49	-2.4	202/238/261	60	287	0	6	28%	4%	36	-0.8
✕Alexis Rivera 2016 · A	22	41	44→45	49→50	41	205/261/317	113	282	11	10	31%	6%	63	-1.4	227/269/334	107	305	10	8	28%	5%	69	-0.9	242/270/333	91	317	8	6	26%	3%	66	-0.5
✕Ademar Rifaela 2017 · A	22	39→45	46→50	44→45	38	202/248/330	128	280	14	5	33%	5%	61	-1.5	221/267/351	130	318	14	5	33%	5%	73	-0.6	221/268/350	129	317	13	3	33%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Mike Daniel 2007 · A	22	39→49	41→45	48→50	43	192/259/288	96	277	9	11	33%	8%	55	-1.9	236/287/346	110	319	10	14	28%	6%	79	-0.2	241/292/350	108	319	10	15	26%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Dillon Paulson 2019 · A	22	40→36	47→50	50→30	48	205/279/349	145	264	14	4	27%	9%	78	-0.3	206/284/335	129	302	13	4	33%	10%	76	-0.4	192/275/318	126	272	13	2	32%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8